NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
NVDA has the edge over TTD overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
TTD
The Trade Desk, Inc.
TTD trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
NVDA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
TTD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
TTD's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
NVDA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 12x | $166 | — |
| Current | 21x | $166 | — |
| Cheap | 44x | $345 | +108% |
| Fair | 65x | $511 | +207% |
| Expensive | 93x | $734 | +342% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NVDA has the edge over TTD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TTD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 22x | $15.47 | — |
| Forward | 43x | $15.47 | — |
| Cheap | 59x | $40.54 | +162% |
| Fair | 171x | $118 | +661% |
| Expensive | 276x | $190 | +1130% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TTD's PE is in its cheap range at 22x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 43x next year's earnings.
NVDA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Broad | |
| Moderate |
NVDA has the edge over TTD on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
TTD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong decline | |
| Decline | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect TTD's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NVDA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.77 | +74% |
| Q3 2026 | $7.91 | +125% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.53 | +111% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.90 | +67% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.03 | +59% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.51 | +65% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.10 | +81% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.94 | +147% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.54 | +234% |
NVDA has the edge over TTD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TTD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.36 | -47% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.69 | -21% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.84 | +1.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.88 | +7.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.90 | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.87 | +43% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.83 | +66% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.82 | +105% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.78 | +117% |
TTD earned $0.69 per share over the past year, down 21% from the year before.
NVDA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $96.2B | +106% |
| Q2 2026 | $81.6B | +85% |
| Q1 2026 | $68.1B | +73% |
| Q4 2025 | $57B | +62% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.7B | +56% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.1B | +69% |
| Q1 2025 | $39.3B | +78% |
| Q4 2024 | $35.1B | +94% |
NVDA has the edge over TTD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 66% | +5.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 66% | +17 points |
| Q1 2026 | 65% | +3.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 63% | +0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 61% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 49% | -16 points |
| Q1 2025 | 61% | -0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 62% | +4.9 points |
NVDA has the edge over TTD on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TTD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $736M | -0.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $715.1M | +3% |
| Q1 2026 | $688.9M | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $846.8M | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $739.4M | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $694M | +19% |
| Q1 2025 | $616M | +25% |
| Q4 2024 | $741M | +22% |
TTD's revenue is growing: $736M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 13% | -9.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | -2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 9.7% | +0.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 30% | +4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 22% | +4.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | +0.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8.8% | +3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 26% | +2.5 points |
TTD's operating margin was 13% last quarter, down 9.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NVDA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $21.4B | +59% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.6B | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $34.9B | +124% |
| Q4 2025 | $22.1B | +32% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.5B | -0.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $26.2B | +75% |
| Q1 2025 | $15.6B | +38% |
| Q3 2024 | $13.5B | +113% |
NVDA has the edge over TTD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TTD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $157.5M | -0.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $140.4M | +17% |
| Q1 2026 | $279.1M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $285.3M | +59% |
| Q3 2025 | $158.4M | -30% |
| Q2 2025 | $119.8M | +103% |
| Q1 2025 | $232.3M | +30% |
| Q4 2024 | $179.2M | +172% |
TTD generated $862M in free cash flow over the past year, up 25% from the year before.
NVDA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -106M shares |
| 1 year | -1% | -247M shares |
| 3 years | -2.8% | -705M shares |
| 5 years | -4.1% | -1B shares |
| Available history | -1.8% | -435M shares |
NVDA has 24.3B diluted shares, down 1% from a year ago, with $55.3B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $19.7B |
| Q2 2026 | $19.3B |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $12.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $9.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $14.1B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $11B |
NVDA spent $55.3B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 30% from the year before.
TTD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +249K shares |
| 1 year | -4.6% | -22.8M shares |
| 3 years | -6.3% | -31.7M shares |
| 5 years | -5.8% | -28.7M shares |
| Available history | -1.6% | -7.9M shares |
TTD has the edge over NVDA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $77.8M |
| Q1 2026 | $163.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $422.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $310.4M |
| Q2 2025 | $260.8M |
| Q1 2025 | $386.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $57.4M |
TTD spent $664M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 35% from the year before.
NVDA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
TTD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -2.7x | Net Cash |
TTD has the edge over NVDA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
NVDA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 33.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.1 | Oversold |
NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).
TTD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 35.1 | Neutral |
TTD's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).
NVDA PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | NVDA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 28x | 25% below |
| PE % | 0 | 35 | 35 pts below |
NVDA has the edge over TTD on valuation relative to its sector.
TTD PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | TTD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22x | 28x | 20% below |
| PE % | 7 | 35 | 28 pts below |
TTD is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
NVDA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $208.9 | 20% below |
| 20 week MA | $212.0 | 22% below |
| 50 week MA | $199.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $175.1 | 5.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $123.6 | 34% above |
NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.
TTD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.8 | 21% above |
| 20 week MA | $14.6 | 5.8% above |
| 50 week MA | $22.1 | 30% below |
| 100 week MA | $45.8 | 66% below |
| 200 week MA | $64.5 | 76% below |
TTD has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NVDA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $5.92 | $13.0 | +119% |
| 2021 | $13.0 | $29.6 | +128% |
| 2022 | $29.6 | $15.2 | -49% |
| 2023 | $15.2 | $49.5 | +226% |
| 2024 | $49.5 | $137.0 | +177% |
| 2025 | $137.0 | $190.5 | +39% |
| 2026 YTD | $190.5 | $166.2 | -13% |
NVDA has the edge over TTD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TTD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $27.2 | $93.2 | +242% |
| 2021 | $93.2 | $96.1 | +3.1% |
| 2022 | $96.1 | $44.9 | -53% |
| 2023 | $44.9 | $72.0 | +60% |
| 2024 | $72.0 | $121.4 | +69% |
| 2025 | $121.4 | $38.3 | -68% |
| 2026 YTD | $38.3 | $15.5 | -60% |
TTD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +242% in 2020 to −68% in 2025. It's down 60% so far in 2026.