NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over TLS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

TLS

Telos Corporation

70
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

TLS's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

TLS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Strong
Strong

TLS's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

TLS PE Valuation

TLS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

TLS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

TLS has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TLS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TLS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$11.18
Downside-30%$5.38

Calculated from the latest close: $7.72 on Nov 12.

TLS trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over TLS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

TLS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.50Q1 2024: $-0.44Q2 2024: $-0.43Q3 2024: $-0.70Q4 2024: $-0.73Q1 2025: $-0.75Q2 2025: $-0.77Q3 2025: $-0.41Q4 2025: $-0.50Q1 2026: $-0.35Q2 2026: $-0.21Q3 2026: $-0.12Forward: $0.28
Q4 2023: $-0.50Q1 2024: $-0.44Q2 2024: $-0.43Q3 2024: $-0.70Q4 2024: $-0.73Q1 2025: $-0.75Q2 2025: $-0.77Q3 2025: $-0.41Q4 2025: $-0.50Q1 2026: $-0.35Q2 2026: $-0.21Q3 2026: $-0.12Forward: $0.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.28—
Q3 2026-$0.12+$0.29
Q2 2026-$0.21+$0.56
Q1 2026-$0.35+$0.40
Q4 2025-$0.50+$0.23
Q3 2025-$0.41+$0.29
Q2 2025-$0.77-$0.34
Q1 2025-$0.75-$0.31
Q4 2024-$0.73-$0.23

TLS is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.12 per share over the past year, against $0.77 at its worst in mid-2025.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over TLS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TLS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $41MQ1 2024: $30MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $26MQ1 2025: $31MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $51MQ4 2025: $47MQ1 2026: $48MQ2 2026: $48MQ3 2026: $55M
Q4 2023: $41MQ1 2024: $30MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $26MQ1 2025: $31MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $51MQ4 2025: $47MQ1 2026: $48MQ2 2026: $48MQ3 2026: $55M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$55.2M+7.3%
Q2 2026$47.7M+33%
Q1 2026$47.7M+56%
Q4 2025$46.8M+77%
Q3 2025$51.4M+116%
Q2 2025$36M+26%
Q1 2025$30.6M+3.4%
Q4 2024$26.4M-36%

TLS's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $55M last quarter, up 7.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for six years: $127B over the past year, up 76% from the year before.

TLS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: −$447,000Q2 2024: −$8MQ3 2024: −$7MQ4 2024: −$12MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: $9M
Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: −$447,000Q2 2024: −$8MQ3 2024: −$7MQ4 2024: −$12MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: $9M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$9.4M+7.6%
Q2 2026$8.6M+26%
Q1 2026$8.5M+42%
Q4 2025$8M+$20.3M
Q3 2025$8.7M+$15.8M
Q2 2025$6.8M+$15M
Q1 2025$6M+$6.4M
Q4 2024-$12.4M-383%

TLS generated $34M in free cash flow over the past year, about four times what it generated the year before.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over TLS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TLS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 69MQ1 2024: 71MQ2 2024: 72MQ3 2024: 72MQ4 2024: 72MQ1 2025: 73MQ2 2025: 73MQ3 2025: 73MQ4 2025: 73MQ1 2026: 78MQ2 2026: 78MQ3 2026: 76M
Q4 2023: 69MQ1 2024: 71MQ2 2024: 72MQ3 2024: 72MQ4 2024: 72MQ1 2025: 73MQ2 2025: 73MQ3 2025: 73MQ4 2025: 73MQ1 2026: 78MQ2 2026: 78MQ3 2026: 76M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.4%-1.1M shares
1 year+5.4%+3.9M shares
3 years+10%+6.9M shares
5 years+15%+9.7M shares
Available history+56%+27.4M shares

TLS has 76M diluted shares, up 5.4% from a year ago, despite $19M in buybacks over the past year.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

TLS Net Leverage

Q3 2026: -50.6x
Q3 2026: -50.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-50.6xNet Cash
Q4 2020-18.7xNet Cash
Q3 202010.3xHigh
Q2 202010.0xHigh
Q1 202013.8xHigh
Q4 201916.8xHigh

TLS has the edge over NVDA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

TLS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI71.2Overbought
Stochastic72.5Neutral

TLS's weekly RSI is 71 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

TLS PE vs Technology Sector

TLS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

TLS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.9656% above
20 week MA$4.7363% above
50 week MA$4.7064% above
100 week MA$4.3577% above
200 week MA$3.85101% above

TLS has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

TLS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.1$30.2+58%
2021$30.2$16.2-46%
2022$16.2$4.87-70%
2023$4.87$3.65-25%
2024$3.65$3.40-6.8%
2025$3.40$5.18+52%
2026 YTD$5.18$7.72+49%

TLS has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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