NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
NVDA has the edge over TEL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
TEL
TE Connectivity Ltd.
TEL's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
NVDA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
TEL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
TEL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
NVDA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 12x | $166 | — |
| Current | 21x | $166 | — |
| Cheap | 44x | $345 | +108% |
| Fair | 65x | $511 | +207% |
| Expensive | 93x | $734 | +342% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NVDA has the edge over TEL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TEL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $163 | -25% |
| Forward | 16x | $218 | — |
| Fair | 20x | $224 | +2.7% |
| Current | 20x | $218 | — |
| Expensive | 38x | $418 | +92% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TEL's PE is in its fair range at 20x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
NVDA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Broad | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.
TEL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
TEL has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
NVDA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.77 | +74% |
| Q3 2026 | $7.91 | +125% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.53 | +111% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.90 | +67% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.03 | +59% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.51 | +65% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.10 | +81% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.94 | +147% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.54 | +234% |
NVDA has the edge over TEL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TEL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.67 | +24% |
| Q3 2026 | $11.06 | +80% |
| Q2 2026 | $10.21 | +109% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.80 | +113% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.94 | +9.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.16 | -40% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.89 | -56% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.61 | -58% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.32 | -40% |
TEL earned $11.06 per share over the past year, up 80% from the year before.
NVDA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $96.2B | +106% |
| Q2 2026 | $81.6B | +85% |
| Q1 2026 | $68.1B | +73% |
| Q4 2025 | $57B | +62% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.7B | +56% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.1B | +69% |
| Q1 2025 | $39.3B | +78% |
| Q4 2024 | $35.1B | +94% |
NVDA has the edge over TEL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 66% | +5.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 66% | +17 points |
| Q1 2026 | 65% | +3.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 63% | +0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 61% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 49% | -16 points |
| Q1 2025 | 61% | -0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 62% | +4.9 points |
NVDA has the edge over TEL on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TEL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.2B | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.7B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.7B | +22% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.7B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B | +14% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.1B | +4.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.8B | +0.1% |
TEL's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $5.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 21% | +1.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 19% | +0.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 20% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 21% | +2.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 19% | +3.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 19% | -0.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.2 points |
TEL's operating margin was 21% last quarter, up 1.3 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
NVDA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $21.4B | +59% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.6B | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $34.9B | +124% |
| Q4 2025 | $22.1B | +32% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.5B | -0.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $26.2B | +75% |
| Q1 2025 | $15.6B | +38% |
| Q3 2024 | $13.5B | +113% |
NVDA has the edge over TEL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TEL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +7.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $881M | -7.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $677M | +60% |
| Q4 2025 | $607M | -9.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.2B | +39% |
| Q2 2025 | $957M | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $423M | -22% |
| Q4 2024 | $673M | +18% |
TEL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $3.4B over the past year, up 6.2% from the year before.
NVDA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -106M shares |
| 1 year | -1% | -247M shares |
| 3 years | -2.8% | -705M shares |
| 5 years | -4.1% | -1B shares |
| Available history | -1.8% | -435M shares |
NVDA has 24.3B diluted shares, down 1% from a year ago, with $55.3B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $19.7B |
| Q2 2026 | $19.3B |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $12.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $9.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $14.1B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $11B |
NVDA spent $55.3B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 30% from the year before.
TEL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | -1.7% | -5M shares |
| 3 years | -7.3% | -23M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -39M shares |
| Available history | -13% | -43M shares |
TEL has the edge over NVDA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $544M |
| Q2 2026 | $529M |
| Q1 2026 | $414M |
| Q4 2025 | $405M |
| Q3 2025 | $437M |
| Q2 2025 | $301M |
| Q1 2025 | $306M |
| Q4 2024 | $303M |
TEL spent $1.9B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 40% from the year before.
NVDA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
NVDA has the edge over TEL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
TEL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.8x | Very low |
TEL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.1 years a year ago.
NVDA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 33.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.1 | Oversold |
NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).
TEL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 53.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 43.4 | Neutral |
TEL's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).
NVDA PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | NVDA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 28x | 25% below |
| PE % | 0 | 35 | 35 pts below |
NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
TEL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | TEL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20x | 28x | 29% below |
| PE % | 46 | 35 | 11 pts above |
TEL has the edge over NVDA on valuation relative to its sector.
NVDA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $208.9 | 20% below |
| 20 week MA | $212.0 | 22% below |
| 50 week MA | $199.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $175.1 | 5.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $123.6 | 34% above |
NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.
TEL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $214.5 | 1.6% above |
| 20 week MA | $209.5 | 4% above |
| 50 week MA | $215.3 | 1.2% above |
| 100 week MA | $196.2 | 11% above |
| 200 week MA | $167.1 | 30% above |
TEL has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NVDA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $5.92 | $13.0 | +119% |
| 2021 | $13.0 | $29.6 | +128% |
| 2022 | $29.6 | $15.2 | -49% |
| 2023 | $15.2 | $49.5 | +226% |
| 2024 | $49.5 | $137.0 | +177% |
| 2025 | $137.0 | $190.5 | +39% |
| 2026 YTD | $190.5 | $166.2 | -13% |
NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.
TEL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $95.5 | $119.8 | +25% |
| 2021 | $119.8 | $158.5 | +32% |
| 2022 | $158.5 | $114.0 | -28% |
| 2023 | $114.0 | $140.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $140.5 | $145.0 | +3.2% |
| 2025 | $145.0 | $232.5 | +60% |
| 2026 YTD | $232.5 | $217.8 | -6.3% |
TEL has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.