NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
NVDA has the edge over SVCO overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
SVCO
Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock
SVCO's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
NVDA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
SVCO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
SVCO's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
NVDA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 12x | $166 | — |
| Current | 21x | $166 | — |
| Cheap | 44x | $345 | +108% |
| Fair | 65x | $511 | +207% |
| Expensive | 93x | $734 | +342% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NVDA's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.
SVCO PE Valuation
SVCO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 32x next year's earnings.
NVDA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Broad | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.
SVCO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
SVCO has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
NVDA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.77 | +74% |
| Q3 2026 | $7.91 | +125% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.53 | +111% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.90 | +67% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.03 | +59% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.51 | +65% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.10 | +81% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.94 | +147% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.54 | +234% |
NVDA has the edge over SVCO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
SVCO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.23 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.66 | +$0.33 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.70 | +$0.34 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.91 | +$1.36 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.39 | +$0.14 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.99 | +$0.75 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.04 | +$0.50 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$2.26 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.53 | -$1.48 |
SVCO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.66 per share over the past year, against $2.27 at its worst in early 2025.
NVDA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $96.2B | +106% |
| Q2 2026 | $81.6B | +85% |
| Q1 2026 | $68.1B | +73% |
| Q4 2025 | $57B | +62% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.7B | +56% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.1B | +69% |
| Q1 2025 | $39.3B | +78% |
| Q4 2024 | $35.1B | +94% |
NVDA has the edge over SVCO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 66% | +5.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 66% | +17 points |
| Q1 2026 | 65% | +3.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 63% | +0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 61% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 49% | -16 points |
| Q1 2025 | 61% | -0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 62% | +4.9 points |
NVDA has the edge over SVCO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SVCO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $16.3M | -13% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.8M | +48% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.8M | +26% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.3M | +2.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.7M | +70% |
| Q2 2025 | $12M | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.1M | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $17.9M | +30% |
SVCO's revenue is growing: $16M last quarter, down 13% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -26% | +24 points |
| Q2 2026 | -22% | +62 points |
| Q1 2026 | -32% | +108 points |
| Q4 2025 | -37% | -51 points |
| Q3 2025 | -50% | +17 points |
| Q2 2025 | -84% | +168 points |
| Q1 2025 | -139% | -154 points |
| Q4 2024 | 14% | +16 points |
SVCO's operating margin was −26% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NVDA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $21.4B | +59% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.6B | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $34.9B | +124% |
| Q4 2025 | $22.1B | +32% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.5B | -0.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $26.2B | +75% |
| Q1 2025 | $15.6B | +38% |
| Q3 2024 | $13.5B | +113% |
NVDA has the edge over SVCO on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SVCO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$781K | +$7.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$5.5M | +$10.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11M | -$9.8M |
| Q4 2025 | -$9.5M | -$246K |
| Q3 2025 | -$8.2M | -$6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$15.6M | -$9.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.2M | +$1.4M |
| Q4 2024 | -$9.3M | -1378% |
SVCO has burned cash in most quarters: −$27M over the past year, against −$34M the year before.
NVDA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -106M shares |
| 1 year | -1% | -247M shares |
| 3 years | -2.8% | -705M shares |
| 5 years | -4.1% | -1B shares |
| Available history | -1.8% | -435M shares |
NVDA has the edge over SVCO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $19.7B |
| Q2 2026 | $19.3B |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $12.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $9.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $14.1B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $11B |
NVDA spent $55.3B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 30% from the year before.
SVCO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.9% | +946K shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +3.7M shares |
| 3 years | +70% | +14M shares |
SVCO has 34M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
NVDA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
SVCO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2024 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2023 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
SVCO has more cash than debt.
NVDA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 33.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.1 | Oversold |
NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).
SVCO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 49.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 28.5 | Neutral |
SVCO's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).
NVDA PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | NVDA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 28x | 25% below |
| PE % | 0 | 35 | 35 pts below |
NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
SVCO PE vs Technology Sector
SVCO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NVDA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $208.9 | 20% below |
| 20 week MA | $212.0 | 22% below |
| 50 week MA | $199.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $175.1 | 5.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $123.6 | 34% above |
SVCO has stronger trend alignment. NVDA is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus SVCO above 3 of 4.
SVCO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $7.31 | 1.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $7.62 | 2.2% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.23 | 3% above |
| 100 week MA | $6.39 | 17% above |
SVCO's trend is mixed: it's above three of its four weekly moving averages, and 17% above its 100-week average.
NVDA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $5.92 | $13.0 | +119% |
| 2021 | $13.0 | $29.6 | +128% |
| 2022 | $29.6 | $15.2 | -49% |
| 2023 | $15.2 | $49.5 | +226% |
| 2024 | $49.5 | $137.0 | +177% |
| 2025 | $137.0 | $190.5 | +39% |
| 2026 YTD | $190.5 | $166.2 | -13% |
NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.
SVCO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $18.9 | $8.11 | -57% |
| 2025 | $8.11 | $4.25 | -48% |
| 2026 YTD | $4.25 | $7.45 | +75% |
SVCO has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.