NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over STUB overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

STUB

StubHub Holdings, Inc.

55
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

STUB's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

STUB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

STUB's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

STUB PE Valuation

STUB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

STUB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

STUB has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than STUB, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

STUB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+72%$8.71
Downside-42%$2.95

Calculated from the latest close: $5.05 on Nov 12.

STUB trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over STUB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

STUB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.03Q1 2024: $1.02Q2 2024: $0.92Q3 2024: $0.68Q4 2024: $-0.09Q1 2025: $-0.10Q2 2025: $-0.25Q3 2025: $-4.43Q4 2025: $-6.33Q1 2026: $-6.18Forward: $0.35
Q4 2023: $1.03Q1 2024: $1.02Q2 2024: $0.92Q3 2024: $0.68Q4 2024: $-0.09Q1 2025: $-0.10Q2 2025: $-0.25Q3 2025: $-4.43Q4 2025: $-6.33Q1 2026: $-6.18Forward: $0.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.35—
Q1 2026-$6.18-$6.08
Q4 2025-$6.33-$6.24
Q3 2025-$4.43-751%
Q2 2025-$0.25-127%
Q1 2025-$0.10-110%
Q4 2024-$0.09-109%
Q3 2024$0.68+$0.72
Q2 2024$0.92+$1.32

STUB lost $6.18 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over STUB on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

STUB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $332MQ1 2024: $360MQ2 2024: $443MQ3 2024: $434MQ4 2024: $533MQ1 2025: $398MQ2 2025: $430MQ3 2025: $468MQ4 2025: $449MQ1 2026: $446MQ2 2026: $573MQ3 2026: $502M
Q4 2023: $332MQ1 2024: $360MQ2 2024: $443MQ3 2024: $434MQ4 2024: $533MQ1 2025: $398MQ2 2025: $430MQ3 2025: $468MQ4 2025: $449MQ1 2026: $446MQ2 2026: $573MQ3 2026: $502M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$502M+7.2%
Q2 2026$573.1M+33%
Q1 2026$446M+12%
Q4 2025$449.2M-16%
Q3 2025$468.1M+7.9%
Q2 2025$430.3M-2.9%
Q1 2025$397.6M+10%
Q4 2024$533.4M+60%

STUB's revenue is growing: $502M last quarter, up 7.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over STUB in the latest year-over-year cash flow comparison.

STUB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $259MQ2 2024: $136MQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $151MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: $298MQ2 2026: $321MQ3 2026: −$399M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $259MQ2 2024: $136MQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $151MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: $298MQ2 2026: $321MQ3 2026: −$399M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$321.4M+3208%
Q1 2026$298.2M+97%
Q4 2025$10.9M+$10.9M
Q2 2025$9.7M-93%
Q1 2025$151.1M-42%
Q4 2024$0$0
Q2 2024$136.4M+$168.6M
Q1 2024$258.7M+40%

STUB usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$399M, but it generated $232M over the past year.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over STUB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

STUB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 368MQ1 2024: 329MQ2 2024: 329MQ3 2024: 368MQ4 2024: 368MQ1 2025: 368MQ2 2025: 368MQ3 2025: 313MQ4 2025: 319MQ1 2026: 378MQ3 2026: 388M
Q4 2023: 368MQ1 2024: 329MQ2 2024: 329MQ3 2024: 368MQ4 2024: 368MQ1 2025: 368MQ2 2025: 368MQ3 2025: 313MQ4 2025: 319MQ1 2026: 378MQ3 2026: 388M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.7%+10M shares
1 year+5.6%+20.5M shares
3 years+5.6%+20.5M shares

STUB has 388M diluted shares, up 5.6% from a year ago.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA has the edge over STUB on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

STUB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 6.2xQ1 2024: 5.3xQ2 2024: 4.7xQ3 2024: 9.3xQ4 2024: 5.8xQ1 2025: 5.0xQ2 2025: 8.3xQ3 2026: 1.4x
Q4 2023: 6.2xQ1 2024: 5.3xQ2 2024: 4.7xQ3 2024: 9.3xQ4 2024: 5.8xQ1 2025: 5.0xQ2 2025: 8.3xQ3 2026: 1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.4xHealthy
Q2 20258.3xHigh
Q1 20255.0xHigh
Q4 20245.8xHigh
Q3 20249.3xHigh
Q2 20244.7xHigh
Q1 20245.3xHigh
Q4 20236.2xHigh

STUB's net debt is about 1.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 9.3 years a year ago.

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

STUB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic11.8Oversold

STUB's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

STUB PE vs Technology Sector

STUB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has stronger trend alignment. NVDA is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus STUB above 0 of 3.

STUB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.7112% below
20 week MA$7.2230% below
50 week MA$9.0544% below

STUB is in a downtrend: it's below all three of its weekly moving averages, and 44% below its 50-week average.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA has the edge over STUB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

STUB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$18.5$13.3-28%
2026 YTD$13.3$5.05-62%

STUB has finished every year since 2025 lower, and it's down 62% so far in 2026.

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