NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
NVDA has the edge over ST overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
ST
Sensata Technologies Holding plc
ST trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
NVDA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
ST Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
ST's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
NVDA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 12x | $166 | — |
| Current | 21x | $166 | — |
| Cheap | 44x | $345 | +108% |
| Fair | 65x | $511 | +207% |
| Expensive | 93x | $734 | +342% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NVDA has the edge over ST in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
ST PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 9.9x | $39.41 | — |
| Current | 16x | $39.41 | — |
| Cheap | 18x | $46.39 | +18% |
| Fair | 26x | $66.46 | +69% |
| Expensive | 77x | $194 | +393% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ST's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.9x next year's earnings.
NVDA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Broad | |
| Moderate |
NVDA has the edge over ST on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
ST Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect ST's earnings to grow, but its profitability to weaken.
NVDA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.77 | +74% |
| Q3 2026 | $7.91 | +125% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.53 | +111% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.90 | +67% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.03 | +59% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.51 | +65% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.10 | +81% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.94 | +147% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.54 | +234% |
NVDA has the edge over ST on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ST Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.97 | +57% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.52 | +$2.71 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.62 | -18% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.33 | -60% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.21 | -75% |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.19 | +$0.33 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.76 | +1167% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.82 | +$0.91 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.85 | +$0.88 |
ST has returned to profit: it earned $2.52 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
NVDA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $96.2B | +106% |
| Q2 2026 | $81.6B | +85% |
| Q1 2026 | $68.1B | +73% |
| Q4 2025 | $57B | +62% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.7B | +56% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.1B | +69% |
| Q1 2025 | $39.3B | +78% |
| Q4 2024 | $35.1B | +94% |
NVDA has the edge over ST on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 66% | +5.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 66% | +17 points |
| Q1 2026 | 65% | +3.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 63% | +0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 61% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 49% | -16 points |
| Q1 2025 | 61% | -0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 62% | +4.9 points |
NVDA has the edge over ST on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ST Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1B | +7.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $990.6M | +5% |
| Q1 2026 | $934.8M | +2.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $917.9M | +1.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $932M | -5.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $943.4M | -8.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $911.3M | -9.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $907.7M | -8.5% |
ST's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $1B last quarter, up 7.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 17% | +31 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +2.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 15% | +1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 11% | +2.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | -13% | +7.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 15% | +2.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 13% | -1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.1% | +28 points |
ST's operating margin was 17% last quarter, up 31 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
NVDA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $21.4B | +59% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.6B | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $34.9B | +124% |
| Q4 2025 | $22.1B | +32% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.5B | -0.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $26.2B | +75% |
| Q1 2025 | $15.6B | +38% |
| Q3 2024 | $13.5B | +113% |
NVDA's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for six years: $127B over the past year, up 76% from the year before.
ST Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $198.3M | +46% |
| Q2 2026 | $186.4M | +61% |
| Q1 2026 | $104.6M | +21% |
| Q4 2025 | $151.9M | +9.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $136.2M | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $115.5M | +17% |
| Q1 2025 | $86.6M | +35% |
| Q4 2024 | $138.9M | +145% |
ST's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $641M over the past year, up 34% from the year before.
NVDA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -106M shares |
| 1 year | -1% | -247M shares |
| 3 years | -2.8% | -705M shares |
| 5 years | -4.1% | -1B shares |
| Available history | -1.8% | -435M shares |
NVDA has the edge over ST on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $19.7B |
| Q2 2026 | $19.3B |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $12.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $9.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $14.1B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $11B |
NVDA spent $55.3B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 30% from the year before.
ST Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +300K shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +1.3M shares |
| 3 years | -3.5% | -5.4M shares |
| 5 years | -7.8% | -12.5M shares |
| Available history | -9.2% | -15M shares |
ST has 147M diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $25.1M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $20.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $100.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $21.6M |
ST spent $25M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 82% from the year before.
NVDA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
NVDA has the edge over ST on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ST Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 4.4x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 4.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 4.9x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 6.0x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 6.0x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 5.6x | High |
ST's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.9 years a year ago.
NVDA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 33.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.1 | Oversold |
NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).
ST Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 10.0 | Oversold |
ST's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
NVDA PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | NVDA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 28x | 25% below |
| PE % | 0 | 35 | 35 pts below |
NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
ST PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ST | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16x | 28x | 44% below |
| PE % | 5 | 35 | 30 pts below |
ST has the edge over NVDA on valuation relative to its sector.
NVDA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $208.9 | 20% below |
| 20 week MA | $212.0 | 22% below |
| 50 week MA | $199.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $175.1 | 5.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $123.6 | 34% above |
NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.
ST Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $41.0 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $43.1 | 8.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $40.9 | 3.5% below |
| 100 week MA | $34.6 | 14% above |
| 200 week MA | $36.8 | 7.2% above |
ST has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NVDA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $5.92 | $13.0 | +119% |
| 2021 | $13.0 | $29.6 | +128% |
| 2022 | $29.6 | $15.2 | -49% |
| 2023 | $15.2 | $49.5 | +226% |
| 2024 | $49.5 | $137.0 | +177% |
| 2025 | $137.0 | $190.5 | +39% |
| 2026 YTD | $190.5 | $166.2 | -13% |
NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.
ST Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $53.7 | $52.2 | -2.8% |
| 2021 | $52.2 | $59.8 | +15% |
| 2022 | $59.8 | $39.8 | -34% |
| 2023 | $39.8 | $37.6 | -5.5% |
| 2024 | $37.6 | $27.4 | -27% |
| 2025 | $27.4 | $33.6 | +23% |
| 2026 YTD | $33.6 | $39.4 | +17% |
ST has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.