NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
NVDA has the edge over SSTI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
SSTI
SoundThinking, Inc.
SSTI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
NVDA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
SSTI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Weak | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
SSTI's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
NVDA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 12x | $166 | — |
| Current | 21x | $166 | — |
| Cheap | 44x | $345 | +108% |
| Fair | 65x | $511 | +207% |
| Expensive | 93x | $734 | +342% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NVDA's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.
SSTI PE Valuation
SSTI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NVDA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Broad | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.
SSTI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
SSTI has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
NVDA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.77 | +74% |
| Q3 2026 | $7.91 | +125% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.53 | +111% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.90 | +67% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.03 | +59% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.51 | +65% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.10 | +81% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.94 | +147% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.54 | +234% |
NVDA has the edge over SSTI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
SSTI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.77 | -$0.93 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.29 | -$0.50 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.16 | -$0.55 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.74 | -$0.02 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.84 | -$0.74 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.79 | -$0.65 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.61 | -$0.31 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.72 | -$0.50 |
SSTI lost $1.77 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last three quarters.
NVDA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $96.2B | +106% |
| Q2 2026 | $81.6B | +85% |
| Q1 2026 | $68.1B | +73% |
| Q4 2025 | $57B | +62% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.7B | +56% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.1B | +69% |
| Q1 2025 | $39.3B | +78% |
| Q4 2024 | $35.1B | +94% |
NVDA has the edge over SSTI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 66% | +5.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 66% | +17 points |
| Q1 2026 | 65% | +3.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 63% | +0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 61% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 49% | -16 points |
| Q1 2025 | 61% | -0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 62% | +4.9 points |
NVDA has the edge over SSTI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SSTI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M | -0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.9M | -7.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $24.2M | -15% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.8M | +5.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.1M | -4.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.9M | -4% |
| Q1 2025 | $28.3M | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $23.4M | -10% |
SSTI's revenue is shrinking: $25M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -33% | -25 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | -8.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | -28% | -24 points |
| Q4 2025 | -10% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -8.2% | -4.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | -4.3% | +6 points |
| Q4 2024 | -16% | -33 points |
SSTI's operating margin was −33% last quarter, down 25 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
NVDA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $21.4B | +59% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.6B | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $34.9B | +124% |
| Q4 2025 | $22.1B | +32% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.5B | -0.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $26.2B | +75% |
| Q1 2025 | $15.6B | +38% |
| Q3 2024 | $13.5B | +113% |
NVDA has the edge over SSTI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SSTI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1M | -35% |
| Q2 2026 | -$8.1M | -$5.5M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.5M | -$474K |
| Q4 2025 | $3.7M | +$5.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $4.9M | -61% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7M | -194% |
| Q1 2025 | -$1M | -137% |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.2M | -$1.8M |
SSTI's free cash flow was −$3M over the past year, against −$1M the year before.
NVDA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -106M shares |
| 1 year | -1% | -247M shares |
| 3 years | -2.8% | -705M shares |
| 5 years | -4.1% | -1B shares |
| Available history | -1.8% | -435M shares |
NVDA has the edge over SSTI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $19.7B |
| Q2 2026 | $19.3B |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $12.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $9.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $14.1B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $11B |
NVDA spent $55.3B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 30% from the year before.
SSTI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +80.9K shares |
| 1 year | +3.3% | +427K shares |
| 3 years | +5.7% | +707K shares |
| 5 years | +13% | +1.5M shares |
| Available history | +11% | +1.3M shares |
SSTI has 13M diluted shares, up 3.3% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $2M |
| Q2 2025 | $470,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $504,000 |
| Q4 2024 | $1,000 |
SSTI hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
NVDA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
SSTI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | -10.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2024 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
SSTI has more cash than debt.
NVDA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 33.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.1 | Oversold |
NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).
SSTI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 57.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 85.8 | Overbought |
SSTI's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).
NVDA PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | NVDA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 28x | 25% below |
| PE % | 0 | 35 | 35 pts below |
NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
SSTI PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | SSTI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
SSTI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NVDA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $208.9 | 20% below |
| 20 week MA | $212.0 | 22% below |
| 50 week MA | $199.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $175.1 | 5.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $123.6 | 34% above |
NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.
SSTI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $7.98 | 3.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $7.50 | 10% above |
| 50 week MA | $7.37 | 12% above |
| 100 week MA | $10.3 | 20% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.2 | 46% below |
SSTI has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NVDA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $5.92 | $13.0 | +119% |
| 2021 | $13.0 | $29.6 | +128% |
| 2022 | $29.6 | $15.2 | -49% |
| 2023 | $15.2 | $49.5 | +226% |
| 2024 | $49.5 | $137.0 | +177% |
| 2025 | $137.0 | $190.5 | +39% |
| 2026 YTD | $190.5 | $166.2 | -13% |
NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.
SSTI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $25.3 | $38.5 | +52% |
| 2021 | $38.5 | $30.6 | -20% |
| 2022 | $30.6 | $33.3 | +8.6% |
| 2023 | $33.3 | $25.5 | -23% |
| 2024 | $25.5 | $12.8 | -50% |
| 2025 | $12.8 | $8.05 | -37% |
| 2026 YTD | $8.05 | $8.25 | +2.5% |
SSTI has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.