NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over SPT overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

SPT

Sprout Social, Inc.

65
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

SPT's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

SPT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy
Unavailable

SPT's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

SPT PE Valuation

SPT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

SPT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect SPT's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SPT, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

SPT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+53%$17.65
Downside-34%$7.66

Calculated from the latest close: $11.53 on Nov 12.

SPT trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over SPT on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SPT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.19Q1 2024: $-1.24Q2 2024: $-1.30Q3 2024: $-1.19Q4 2024: $-1.09Q1 2025: $-1.04Q2 2025: $-0.95Q3 2025: $-0.81Q4 2025: $-0.74Q1 2026: $-0.66Q2 2026: $-0.50Q3 2026: $-0.45Forward: $1.57
Q4 2023: $-1.19Q1 2024: $-1.24Q2 2024: $-1.30Q3 2024: $-1.19Q4 2024: $-1.09Q1 2025: $-1.04Q2 2025: $-0.95Q3 2025: $-0.81Q4 2025: $-0.74Q1 2026: $-0.66Q2 2026: $-0.50Q3 2026: $-0.45Forward: $1.57
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.57—
Q3 2026-$0.45+$0.36
Q2 2026-$0.50+$0.45
Q1 2026-$0.66+$0.38
Q4 2025-$0.74+$0.35
Q3 2025-$0.81+$0.38
Q2 2025-$0.95+$0.35
Q1 2025-$1.04+$0.20
Q4 2024-$1.09+$0.10

SPT is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.45 per share over the past year, against $2.36 at its worst in late 2019.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over SPT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SPT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94MQ1 2024: $97MQ2 2024: $99MQ3 2024: $103MQ4 2024: $107MQ1 2025: $109MQ2 2025: $112MQ3 2025: $116MQ4 2025: $121MQ1 2026: $121MQ2 2026: $124MQ3 2026: $125M
Q4 2023: $94MQ1 2024: $97MQ2 2024: $99MQ3 2024: $103MQ4 2024: $107MQ1 2025: $109MQ2 2025: $112MQ3 2025: $116MQ4 2025: $121MQ1 2026: $121MQ2 2026: $124MQ3 2026: $125M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$125.1M+8.3%
Q2 2026$123.8M+11%
Q1 2026$121.5M+11%
Q4 2025$120.9M+13%
Q3 2025$115.6M+13%
Q2 2025$111.8M+12%
Q1 2025$109.3M+13%
Q4 2024$107.1M+14%

SPT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $125M last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for six years: $127B over the past year, up 76% from the year before.

SPT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $17MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $8MQ3 2026: $10M
Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $17MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $8MQ3 2026: $10M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$10.2M+20%
Q2 2026$7.8M+88%
Q1 2026$24.1M+44%
Q4 2025$9.9M+204%
Q3 2025$8.5M+0.4%
Q2 2025$4.2M+166%
Q1 2025$16.7M+66%
Q4 2024$3.3M+$6.5M

SPT has the edge over NVDA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over SPT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SPT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 56MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 57MQ4 2024: 57MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 59MQ4 2025: 59MQ1 2026: 60MQ2 2026: 60MQ3 2026: 60M
Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 56MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 57MQ4 2024: 57MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 59MQ4 2025: 59MQ1 2026: 60MQ2 2026: 60MQ3 2026: 60M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-576K shares
1 year+1.2%+736K shares
3 years+6.9%+3.8M shares
5 years+11%+5.8M shares
Available history+157%+36.5M shares

SPT has 60M diluted shares, up 1.2% from a year ago.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

SPT Net Leverage

SPT's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

SPT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.0Neutral
Stochastic64.1Neutral

SPT's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

SPT PE vs Technology Sector

SPT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

SPT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.23.1% above
20 week MA$10.213% above
50 week MA$8.7132% above
100 week MA$14.621% below
200 week MA$30.662% below

SPT has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

SPT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2019$16.6$16.1-2.9%
2020$16.1$50.0+210%
2021$50.0$94.7+89%
2022$94.7$56.0-41%
2023$56.0$61.4+9.8%
2024$61.4$31.4-49%
2025$31.4$11.1-65%
2026 YTD$11.1$11.5+3.9%

SPT has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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