NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over SITM overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

SITM

SiTime Corporation

67
Fundamentals80/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

SITM's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

SITM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Healthy
Weak

SITM's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over SITM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SITM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2439x4877x7316x9755x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2439x4877x7316x9755x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward26x$471—
Cheap50x$51.83-89%
Fair119x$123-74%
Expensive409x$425-9.7%
Current452x$471—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SITM's PE is in its expensive range at 452x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 26x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

SITM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

SITM has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SITM, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

SITM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+113%$1,002.49
Downside-26%$348.32

Calculated from the latest close: $470.55 on Nov 12.

SITM trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over SITM on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SITM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.63Q1 2024: $-4.13Q2 2024: $-4.12Q3 2024: $-4.14Q4 2024: $-4.05Q1 2025: $-3.80Q2 2025: $-3.48Q3 2025: $-2.96Q4 2025: $-1.72Q1 2026: $-0.91Q2 2026: $0.59Q3 2026: $1.04Forward: $18.02
Q4 2023: $-3.63Q1 2024: $-4.13Q2 2024: $-4.12Q3 2024: $-4.14Q4 2024: $-4.05Q1 2025: $-3.80Q2 2025: $-3.48Q3 2025: $-2.96Q4 2025: $-1.72Q1 2026: $-0.91Q2 2026: $0.59Q3 2026: $1.04Forward: $18.02
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$18.02+1633%
Q3 2026$1.04+$4.00
Q2 2026$0.59+$4.07
Q1 2026-$0.91+$2.89
Q4 2025-$1.72+$2.33
Q3 2025-$2.96+$1.18
Q2 2025-$3.48+$0.64
Q1 2025-$3.80+$0.33
Q4 2024-$4.05-$0.42

SITM has returned to profit: it earned $1.04 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over SITM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SITM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $33MQ2 2024: $44MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: $68MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: $69MQ3 2025: $84MQ4 2025: $113MQ1 2026: $114MQ2 2026: $157MQ3 2026: $299M
Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $33MQ2 2024: $44MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: $68MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: $69MQ3 2025: $84MQ4 2025: $113MQ1 2026: $114MQ2 2026: $157MQ3 2026: $299M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$298.7M+257%
Q2 2026$157.4M+127%
Q1 2026$113.6M+88%
Q4 2025$113.3M+66%
Q3 2025$83.6M+45%
Q2 2025$69.5M+58%
Q1 2025$60.3M+83%
Q4 2024$68.1M+61%

SITM's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $299M last quarter, up 257% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over SITM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SITM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: −$1MQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: −$7MQ4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: $26MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $18MQ2 2026: $27MQ3 2026: −$17M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: −$1MQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: −$7MQ4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: $26MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $18MQ2 2026: $27MQ3 2026: −$17M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$16.7M-164%
Q2 2026$27.3M+$30.2M
Q1 2026$17.9M+$19.1M
Q4 2025$13M+$15.4M
Q3 2025$26.3M+$33M
Q2 2025-$2.9M-$149K
Q1 2025-$1.3M-$98K
Q4 2024-$2.4M+$1.8M

SITM usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$17M, but it generated $41M over the past year.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over SITM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SITM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 23MQ2 2024: 23MQ3 2024: 23MQ4 2024: 23MQ1 2025: 24MQ2 2025: 24MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 25MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 27MQ3 2026: 31M
Q4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 23MQ2 2024: 23MQ3 2024: 23MQ4 2024: 23MQ1 2025: 24MQ2 2025: 24MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 25MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 27MQ3 2026: 31M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+3.7M shares
1 year+20%+5.1M shares
3 years+40%+8.8M shares
5 years+47%+9.9M shares
Available history+108%+16.2M shares

SITM has 31M diluted shares, up 20% from a year ago.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA has the edge over SITM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SITM Net Leverage

Q2 2026: -21.3xQ3 2026: 8.8x
Q2 2026: -21.3xQ3 2026: 8.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20268.8xHigh
Q2 2026-21.3xNet Cash

SITM's net debt is about 8.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

SITM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.0Neutral
Stochastic19.0Oversold

SITM's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA has the edge over SITM on valuation relative to its sector.

SITM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSITMSector medianRelative
PE452x28x1,524% above
PE %853550 pts above

SITM is trading at 452x earnings, a 1524% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

SITM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$531.411% below
20 week MA$579.919% below
50 week MA$520.09.5% below
100 week MA$369.327% above
200 week MA$248.390% above

SITM has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

SITM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$22.7$106.9+370%
2021$106.9$283.9+166%
2022$283.9$99.4-65%
2023$99.4$122.1+23%
2024$122.1$220.9+81%
2025$220.9$377.1+71%
2026 YTD$377.1$470.6+25%

SITM has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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