NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
NVDA has the edge over SIMO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
SIMO
Silicon Motion Technology Corporation
SIMO's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
NVDA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
SIMO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
SIMO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.
NVDA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 12x | $166 | — |
| Current | 21x | $166 | — |
| Cheap | 44x | $345 | +108% |
| Fair | 65x | $511 | +207% |
| Expensive | 93x | $734 | +342% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NVDA's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.
SIMO PE Valuation
SIMO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NVDA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Broad | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.
SIMO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
SIMO has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
NVDA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.77 | +74% |
| Q3 2026 | $7.91 | +125% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.53 | +111% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.90 | +67% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.03 | +59% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.51 | +65% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.10 | +81% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.94 | +147% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.54 | +234% |
NVDA's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $7.91 over the past year, up 125% from the year before, and higher year over year for 13 quarters in a row.
SIMO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $34.16 | +790% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.16 | +620% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.84 | +372% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.84 | +193% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.84 | +63% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.80 | +59% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.72 | +71% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.68 | +61% |
SIMO has the edge over NVDA on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
NVDA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $96.2B | +106% |
| Q2 2026 | $81.6B | +85% |
| Q1 2026 | $68.1B | +73% |
| Q4 2025 | $57B | +62% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.7B | +56% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.1B | +69% |
| Q1 2025 | $39.3B | +78% |
| Q4 2024 | $35.1B | +94% |
NVDA has the edge over SIMO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 66% | +5.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 66% | +17 points |
| Q1 2026 | 65% | +3.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 63% | +0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 61% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 49% | -16 points |
| Q1 2025 | 61% | -0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 62% | +4.9 points |
NVDA has the edge over SIMO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SIMO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $451M | +127% |
| Q1 2026 | $342.1M | +105% |
| Q4 2025 | $278.5M | +46% |
| Q3 2025 | $242M | +14% |
| Q2 2025 | $198.7M | -5.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $166.5M | -12% |
| Q4 2024 | $191.2M | -5.5% |
| Q3 2024 | $212.4M | +23% |
SIMO's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $451M last quarter, up 127% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +11 points |
| Q1 2026 | 15% | +9.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 11% | +2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 12% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | -3.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.9% | -3.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 9.3% | +0.6 points |
| Q3 2024 | 12% | +2.8 points |
SIMO's operating margin was 22% last quarter, up 11 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NVDA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $21.4B | +59% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.6B | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $34.9B | +124% |
| Q4 2025 | $22.1B | +32% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.5B | -0.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $26.2B | +75% |
| Q1 2025 | $15.6B | +38% |
| Q3 2024 | $13.5B | +113% |
NVDA has the edge over SIMO on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SIMO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$71.5M | -$38.7M |
| Q1 2026 | -$49.4M | -228% |
| Q4 2025 | -$6.3M | +$10.7M |
| Q3 2025 | $6.8M | -84% |
| Q2 2025 | -$32.8M | -397% |
| Q1 2025 | $38.6M | +$41.5M |
| Q4 2024 | -$17M | -154% |
| Q3 2024 | $41.6M | -13% |
SIMO's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$120M over the past year.
NVDA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -106M shares |
| 1 year | -1% | -247M shares |
| 3 years | -2.8% | -705M shares |
| 5 years | -4.1% | -1B shares |
| Available history | -1.8% | -435M shares |
NVDA has the edge over SIMO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $19.7B |
| Q2 2026 | $19.3B |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $12.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $9.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $14.1B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $11B |
NVDA spent $55.3B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 30% from the year before.
SIMO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +45.3K shares |
| 1 year | +1.6% | +134K shares |
| 3 years | -75% | -24.9M shares |
| 5 years | -76% | -26.4M shares |
| Available history | -76% | -26.6M shares |
SIMO has 9M diluted shares, up 1.6% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $21,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $24.3M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
SIMO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
NVDA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
SIMO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
SIMO has the edge over NVDA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
NVDA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 33.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.1 | Oversold |
NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).
SIMO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 15.5 | Oversold |
SIMO's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
NVDA PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | NVDA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 28x | 25% below |
| PE % | 0 | 35 | 35 pts below |
NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
SIMO PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | SIMO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
SIMO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NVDA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $208.9 | 20% below |
| 20 week MA | $212.0 | 22% below |
| 50 week MA | $199.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $175.1 | 5.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $123.6 | 34% above |
NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.
SIMO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $221.3 | 19% below |
| 20 week MA | $251.4 | 29% below |
| 50 week MA | $198.9 | 9.7% below |
| 100 week MA | $133.6 | 34% above |
| 200 week MA | $98.9 | 81% above |
SIMO has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NVDA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $5.92 | $13.0 | +119% |
| 2021 | $13.0 | $29.6 | +128% |
| 2022 | $29.6 | $15.2 | -49% |
| 2023 | $15.2 | $49.5 | +226% |
| 2024 | $49.5 | $137.0 | +177% |
| 2025 | $137.0 | $190.5 | +39% |
| 2026 YTD | $190.5 | $166.2 | -13% |
NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.
SIMO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $50.5 | $44.9 | -11% |
| 2021 | $44.9 | $92.1 | +105% |
| 2022 | $92.1 | $62.4 | -32% |
| 2023 | $62.4 | $61.3 | -1.8% |
| 2024 | $61.3 | $54.9 | -10% |
| 2025 | $54.9 | $90.2 | +64% |
| 2026 YTD | $90.2 | $179.5 | +99% |
SIMO has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.