NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over SATL overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

SATL

Satellogic Inc.

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential59/ 100

SATL's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

SATL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

SATL's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

SATL PE Valuation

SATL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 93x next year's earnings.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

SATL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

SATL has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SATL, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

SATL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+144%$8.60
Downside-59%$1.45

Calculated from the latest close: $3.52 on Nov 12.

SATL trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over SATL on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SATL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.85Q1 2024: $-0.86Q2 2024: $-0.73Q3 2024: $-0.98Q4 2024: $-1.28Q1 2025: $-1.44Q2 2025: $-1.30Q3 2025: $-0.87Q4 2025: $-0.18Q1 2026: $-0.68Q2 2026: $-0.75Q3 2026: $-0.59Forward: $0.04
Q4 2023: $-0.85Q1 2024: $-0.86Q2 2024: $-0.73Q3 2024: $-0.98Q4 2024: $-1.28Q1 2025: $-1.44Q2 2025: $-1.30Q3 2025: $-0.87Q4 2025: $-0.18Q1 2026: $-0.68Q2 2026: $-0.75Q3 2026: $-0.59Forward: $0.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.04—
Q3 2026-$0.59+$0.28
Q2 2026-$0.75+$0.55
Q1 2026-$0.68+$0.76
Q4 2025-$0.18+$1.10
Q3 2025-$0.87+$0.11
Q2 2025-$1.30-$0.57
Q1 2025-$1.44-$0.58
Q4 2024-$1.28-$0.43

SATL is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.59 per share over the past year, against $1.61 at its worst in late 2021.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over SATL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SATL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $16MQ3 2026: $16M
Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $16MQ3 2026: $16M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16M+342%
Q2 2026$15.9M+259%
Q1 2026$6.1M+80%
Q4 2025$6.2M+107%
Q3 2025$3.6M+20%
Q2 2025$4.4M+27%
Q1 2025$3.4M+1.8%
Q4 2024$3M-47%

SATL's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $16M last quarter, up 342% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over SATL on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SATL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$16MQ1 2024: −$12MQ2 2024: −$15MQ3 2024: −$9MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: −$10MQ4 2025: −$13MQ1 2026: −$5MQ2 2026: −$14MQ3 2026: −$17M
Q4 2023: −$16MQ1 2024: −$12MQ2 2024: −$15MQ3 2024: −$9MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: −$10MQ4 2025: −$13MQ1 2026: −$5MQ2 2026: −$14MQ3 2026: −$17M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$16.6M-$6.9M
Q2 2026-$14.3M-$9.1M
Q1 2026-$5.4M+$1.2M
Q4 2025-$12.8M-$8.5M
Q3 2025-$9.7M-$344K
Q2 2025-$5.1M+$10.1M
Q1 2025-$6.6M+$5.4M
Q4 2024-$4.3M+$11.7M

SATL has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$49M over the past year, against −$26M the year before.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over SATL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SATL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 91MQ2 2024: 91MQ3 2024: 92MQ4 2024: 91MQ1 2025: 97MQ2 2025: 103MQ3 2025: 131MQ4 2025: 134MQ1 2026: 141MQ2 2026: 151MQ3 2026: 179M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 91MQ2 2024: 91MQ3 2024: 92MQ4 2024: 91MQ1 2025: 97MQ2 2025: 103MQ3 2025: 131MQ4 2025: 134MQ1 2026: 141MQ2 2026: 151MQ3 2026: 179M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+19%+28.7M shares
1 year+37%+48.3M shares
3 years+100%+89.5M shares
5 years+201%+120M shares
Available history+160%+110M shares

SATL has 179M diluted shares, up 37% from a year ago.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

SATL Net Leverage

SATL's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

SATL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic15.0Oversold

SATL's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

SATL PE vs Technology Sector

SATL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

SATL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.3820% below
20 week MA$4.6224% below
50 week MA$4.8828% below
100 week MA$4.0914% below
200 week MA$2.8822% above

SATL has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 22% above its 200-week average.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

SATL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$9.90$9.95+0.5%
2022$9.95$3.05-69%
2023$3.05$1.75-43%
2024$1.75$3.68+110%
2025$3.68$2.01-45%
2026 YTD$2.01$3.52+75%

SATL has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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