NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
NVDA has the edge over PICS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
PICS
PicS N.V.
PICS's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
NVDA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
PICS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Weak |
PICS's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.
NVDA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 12x | $166 | — |
| Current | 21x | $166 | — |
| Cheap | 44x | $345 | +108% |
| Fair | 65x | $511 | +207% |
| Expensive | 93x | $734 | +342% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NVDA has the edge over PICS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
PICS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 3.8x | $6.96 | — |
| Cheap | 5.2x | $9.53 | +37% |
| Fair | 6.1x | $11.33 | +63% |
| Expensive | 6.7x | $12.44 | +79% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PICS's PE is 3.8x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
NVDA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Broad | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.
PICS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for PICS, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NVDA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.77 | +74% |
| Q3 2026 | $7.91 | +125% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.53 | +111% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.90 | +67% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.03 | +59% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.51 | +65% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.10 | +81% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.94 | +147% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.54 | +234% |
NVDA's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $7.91 over the past year, up 125% from the year before, and higher year over year for 13 quarters in a row.
PICS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $1.85 | +278% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.62 | +286% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.53 | +378% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.49 | +40% |
PICS has the edge over NVDA on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
NVDA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $96.2B | +106% |
| Q2 2026 | $81.6B | +85% |
| Q1 2026 | $68.1B | +73% |
| Q4 2025 | $57B | +62% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.7B | +56% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.1B | +69% |
| Q1 2025 | $39.3B | +78% |
| Q4 2024 | $35.1B | +94% |
NVDA's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $96.2B last quarter, up 106% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 66% | +5.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 66% | +17 points |
| Q1 2026 | 65% | +3.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 63% | +0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 61% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 49% | -16 points |
| Q1 2025 | 61% | -0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 62% | +4.9 points |
NVDA has the edge over PICS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PICS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $737.9M | +78% |
| Q1 2026 | $628.9M | +70% |
| Q4 2025 | $539.6M | +80% |
| Q3 2025 | $469.8M | +101% |
| Q2 2025 | $415.6M | +99% |
| Q1 2025 | $369.5M | +82% |
| Q4 2024 | $299.8M | +76% |
| Q3 2024 | $234.1M | +39% |
PICS has the edge over NVDA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.1% | +2.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 43% | +6.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 34% | +31 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.4% | -3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.6% | -4.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 37% | +11 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.8% | +6.9 points |
| Q3 2024 | 9.4% | -33 points |
PICS's operating margin was 7.1% last quarter, up 2.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NVDA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $21.4B | +59% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.6B | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $34.9B | +124% |
| Q4 2025 | $22.1B | +32% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.5B | -0.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $26.2B | +75% |
| Q1 2025 | $15.6B | +38% |
| Q3 2024 | $13.5B | +113% |
NVDA has the edge over PICS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
PICS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $826.8M | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | -$75.9M | +$432.1M |
| Q4 2025 | -$474.3M | -$310.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $202.7M | +$218.4M |
| Q2 2025 | $625.2M | +$638.8M |
| Q1 2025 | -$507.9M | -$449M |
| Q4 2024 | -$163.8M | -267% |
| Q3 2024 | -$15.8M | -107% |
PICS's free cash flow has turned positive after two years mostly in the red: $479M over the past year.
NVDA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -106M shares |
| 1 year | -1% | -247M shares |
| 3 years | -2.8% | -705M shares |
| 5 years | -4.1% | -1B shares |
| Available history | -1.8% | -435M shares |
NVDA has the edge over PICS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $19.7B |
| Q2 2026 | $19.3B |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $12.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $9.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $14.1B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $11B |
NVDA spent $55.3B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 30% from the year before.
PICS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | 0% | -- |
PICS has 130M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
PICS hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
NVDA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
NVDA has the edge over PICS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
PICS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 14.4x | High |
| Q1 2026 | -2.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -5.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -3.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | 26.9x | High |
| Q4 2024 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
PICS's net debt is about 14 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
NVDA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 33.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.1 | Oversold |
NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).
PICS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.3 | Oversold |
PICS's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 4 (oversold).
NVDA PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | NVDA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 28x | 25% below |
| PE % | 0 | 35 | 35 pts below |
NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
PICS PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | PICS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 3.8x | 28x | 86% below |
| PE % | 9 | 17 | 8 pts below |
PICS has the edge over NVDA on valuation relative to its sector.
NVDA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $208.9 | 20% below |
| 20 week MA | $212.0 | 22% below |
| 50 week MA | $199.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $175.1 | 5.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $123.6 | 34% above |
NVDA has stronger trend alignment. NVDA is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus PICS above 0 of 2.
PICS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.91 | 30% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.7 | 35% below |
PICS is in a downtrend: it's below all two of its weekly moving averages, and 35% below its 20-week average.
NVDA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $5.92 | $13.0 | +119% |
| 2021 | $13.0 | $29.6 | +128% |
| 2022 | $29.6 | $15.2 | -49% |
| 2023 | $15.2 | $49.5 | +226% |
| 2024 | $49.5 | $137.0 | +177% |
| 2025 | $137.0 | $190.5 | +39% |
| 2026 YTD | $190.5 | $166.2 | -13% |
NVDA has the edge over PICS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
PICS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 YTD | $18.0 | $6.96 | -61% |
It's down 61% so far in 2026.