NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over PI overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

PI

Impinj, Inc.

61
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

PI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

PI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Strong
Weak

PI's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

PI PE Valuation

PI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

PI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

PI has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PI, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+65%$289.60
Downside-39%$107.57

Calculated from the latest close: $175.32 on Nov 12.

PI trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over PI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

PI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.62Q1 2024: $-0.35Q2 2024: $0.29Q3 2024: $0.89Q4 2024: $1.39Q1 2025: $-0.01Q2 2025: $0.04Q3 2025: $-0.41Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.90Q2 2026: $-0.90Q3 2026: $-0.31Forward: $2.73
Q4 2023: $-1.62Q1 2024: $-0.35Q2 2024: $0.29Q3 2024: $0.89Q4 2024: $1.39Q1 2025: $-0.01Q2 2025: $0.04Q3 2025: $-0.41Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.90Q2 2026: $-0.90Q3 2026: $-0.31Forward: $2.73
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.73—
Q3 2026-$0.31+$0.10
Q2 2026-$0.90-2350%
Q1 2026-$0.90-$0.89
Q4 2025-$0.37-127%
Q3 2025-$0.41-146%
Q2 2025$0.04-86%
Q1 2025-$0.01+$0.34
Q4 2024$1.39+$3.01

PI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.31 per share over the past year, against $2.49 at its worst in early 2021.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over PI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $77MQ2 2024: $102MQ3 2024: $95MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $74MQ2 2025: $98MQ3 2025: $96MQ4 2025: $93MQ1 2026: $74MQ2 2026: $108MQ3 2026: $112M
Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $77MQ2 2024: $102MQ3 2024: $95MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $74MQ2 2025: $98MQ3 2025: $96MQ4 2025: $93MQ1 2026: $74MQ2 2026: $108MQ3 2026: $112M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.1M+17%
Q2 2026$108.4M+11%
Q1 2026$74.3M0%
Q4 2025$92.8M+1.4%
Q3 2025$96.1M+0.9%
Q2 2025$97.9M-4.5%
Q1 2025$74.3M-3.3%
Q4 2024$91.6M+30%

PI's revenue is growing: $112M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over PI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $44MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: −$13MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $29MQ3 2026: $21M
Q4 2023: −$1MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $44MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: −$13MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $29MQ3 2026: $21M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$20.6M+15%
Q2 2026$29.2M+6.8%
Q1 2026$2.2M+$15.2M
Q4 2025$13.6M+60%
Q3 2025$18M+286%
Q2 2025$27.3M-38%
Q1 2025-$13M-124%
Q4 2024$8.5M+$9.7M

PI still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $66M over the past year.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over PI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 27MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 29MQ3 2024: 30MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 29MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 29MQ1 2026: 30MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 31M
Q4 2023: 27MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 29MQ3 2024: 30MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 29MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 29MQ1 2026: 30MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 31M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.6%+490K shares
1 year+7.4%+2.2M shares
3 years+17%+4.6M shares
5 years+29%+7.2M shares
Available history+44%+9.6M shares

PI has 31M diluted shares, up 7.4% from a year ago.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA has the edge over PI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PI Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 36.4xQ1 2025: 26.8xQ2 2025: 22.3xQ3 2025: 17.8xQ4 2025: 16.3xQ1 2026: 23.2xQ2 2026: 23.0xQ3 2026: 11.6x
Q4 2024: 36.4xQ1 2025: 26.8xQ2 2025: 22.3xQ3 2025: 17.8xQ4 2025: 16.3xQ1 2026: 23.2xQ2 2026: 23.0xQ3 2026: 11.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202611.6xHigh
Q2 202623.0xHigh
Q1 202623.2xHigh
Q4 202516.3xHigh
Q3 202517.8xHigh
Q2 202522.3xHigh
Q1 202526.8xHigh
Q4 202436.4xHigh

PI's net debt is about 12 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 18 years a year ago.

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

PI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.0Neutral
Stochastic50.4Neutral

PI's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

PI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPISector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

PI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

PI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$178.31.6% below
20 week MA$167.64.6% above
50 week MA$148.318% above
100 week MA$141.524% above
200 week MA$132.133% above

PI has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

PI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$26.7$42.6+60%
2021$42.6$90.2+112%
2022$90.2$111.9+24%
2023$111.9$90.0-20%
2024$90.0$147.9+64%
2025$147.9$174.0+18%
2026 YTD$174.0$175.3+0.8%

PI has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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