NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over PCTY overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

PCTY

Paylocity Holding Corporation

79
Fundamentals78/ 100
Valuation86/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

PCTY's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

PCTY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

PCTY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over PCTY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PCTY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x126x189x252x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x126x189x252x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$179—
Current35x$179—
Cheap39x$202+13%
Fair85x$438+145%
Expensive150x$770+330%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PCTY's PE is in its cheap range at 35x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

PCTY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
High

PCTY has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PCTY, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PCTY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$231.92
Downside-17%$149.18

Calculated from the latest close: $178.92 on Nov 12.

PCTY trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over PCTY on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

PCTY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.95Q1 2024: $3.43Q2 2024: $3.63Q3 2024: $3.90Q4 2024: $3.89Q1 2025: $4.00Q2 2025: $4.02Q3 2025: $4.00Q4 2025: $4.26Q1 2026: $4.70Q2 2026: $4.92Q3 2026: $5.13Forward: $9.45
Q4 2023: $2.95Q1 2024: $3.43Q2 2024: $3.63Q3 2024: $3.90Q4 2024: $3.89Q1 2025: $4.00Q2 2025: $4.02Q3 2025: $4.00Q4 2025: $4.26Q1 2026: $4.70Q2 2026: $4.92Q3 2026: $5.13Forward: $9.45
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.45+84%
Q3 2026$5.13+28%
Q2 2026$4.92+22%
Q1 2026$4.70+18%
Q4 2025$4.26+9.5%
Q3 2025$4.00+2.6%
Q2 2025$4.02+11%
Q1 2025$4.00+17%
Q4 2024$3.89+32%

PCTY's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $5.13 over the past year, up 28% from the year before, and higher year over year for 22 quarters in a row.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over PCTY on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

PCTY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $326MQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $357MQ3 2024: $363MQ4 2024: $377MQ1 2025: $455MQ2 2025: $401MQ3 2025: $408MQ4 2025: $416MQ1 2026: $502MQ2 2026: $445MQ3 2026: $452M
Q4 2023: $326MQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $357MQ3 2024: $363MQ4 2024: $377MQ1 2025: $455MQ2 2025: $401MQ3 2025: $408MQ4 2025: $416MQ1 2026: $502MQ2 2026: $445MQ3 2026: $452M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$451.7M+11%
Q2 2026$444.7M+11%
Q1 2026$502.3M+11%
Q4 2025$416.1M+10%
Q3 2025$408.2M+12%
Q2 2025$400.7M+12%
Q1 2025$454.5M+13%
Q4 2024$377M+16%

PCTY's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $452M last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over PCTY on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PCTY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $72MQ1 2024: $162MQ2 2024: $74MQ3 2024: $89MQ4 2024: $51MQ1 2025: $184MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $83MQ4 2025: $114MQ1 2026: $210MQ2 2026: $91MQ3 2026: $77M
Q4 2023: $72MQ1 2024: $162MQ2 2024: $74MQ3 2024: $89MQ4 2024: $51MQ1 2025: $184MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $83MQ4 2025: $114MQ1 2026: $210MQ2 2026: $91MQ3 2026: $77M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$76.6M-7.3%
Q2 2026$91.3M+12%
Q1 2026$209.5M+14%
Q4 2025$113.6M+122%
Q3 2025$82.7M-7.3%
Q2 2025$81.1M+10%
Q1 2025$183.7M+13%
Q4 2024$51.2M-29%

PCTY generated $491M in free cash flow over the past year, up 23% from the year before.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has 24.3B diluted shares, down 1% from a year ago, with $55.3B in buybacks over the past year.

PCTY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 57MQ1 2024: 57MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 56MQ4 2024: 57MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 56MQ4 2025: 55MQ1 2026: 54MQ2 2026: 55MQ3 2026: 54M
Q4 2023: 57MQ1 2024: 57MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 56MQ4 2024: 57MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 56MQ4 2025: 55MQ1 2026: 54MQ2 2026: 55MQ3 2026: 54M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.9%-1M shares
1 year-3.8%-2.1M shares
3 years-5.6%-3.2M shares
5 years-4.9%-2.8M shares
Available history-3.8%-2.1M shares

PCTY has the edge over NVDA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

PCTY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.3xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -1.3xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

PCTY has the edge over NVDA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

PCTY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI70.6Overbought
Stochastic87.5Overbought

PCTY's weekly RSI is 71 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 87 (overbought).

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA has the edge over PCTY on valuation relative to its sector.

PCTY PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPCTYSector medianRelative
PE35x28x25% above
PE %113524 pts below

PCTY is trading at 35x earnings, a 25% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

PCTY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$163.59.4% above
20 week MA$148.920% above
50 week MA$131.536% above
100 week MA$156.314% above
200 week MA$165.97.9% above

PCTY has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

PCTY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$121.7$214.3+76%
2021$214.3$239.4+12%
2022$239.4$191.9-20%
2023$191.9$164.9-14%
2024$164.9$199.7+21%
2025$199.7$153.7-23%
2026 YTD$153.7$178.9+16%

PCTY has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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