NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over PAYP overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

PAYP

PayPay Corporation

66
Fundamentals86/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

PAYP trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

PAYP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Stable

PAYP's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its balance sheet is stable.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

PAYP PE Valuation

PAYP has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

PAYP Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for PAYP to show an outlook.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PAYP, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PAYP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+51%$21.39
Downside-33%$9.52

Calculated from the latest close: $14.18 on Nov 12.

PAYP trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $7.91 over the past year, up 125% from the year before, and higher year over year for 13 quarters in a row.

PAYP Earnings Per Share

PAYP and NVDA do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over PAYP on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

PAYP Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2024: $435MQ4 2024: $492MQ1 2025: $482MQ2 2025: $516MQ3 2025: $564MQ4 2025: $606MQ1 2026: $652MQ2 2026: $659M
Q3 2024: $435MQ4 2024: $492MQ1 2025: $482MQ2 2025: $516MQ3 2025: $564MQ4 2025: $606MQ1 2026: $652MQ2 2026: $659M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$658.8M+28%
Q1 2026$652.3M+35%
Q4 2025$605.8M+23%
Q3 2025$563.9M+30%

PAYP's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2025: $659M last quarter, up 28% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over PAYP in the latest year-over-year cash flow comparison.

PAYP Free Cash Flow

Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: −$953MQ2 2025: $503MQ3 2025: $219MQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$620MQ2 2026: −$377M
Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: −$953MQ2 2025: $503MQ3 2025: $219MQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$620MQ2 2026: −$377M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$376.9M-175%
Q1 2026-$619.7M+$332.9M
Q4 2025$2.1B+47%

NVDA has the edge over PAYP in the latest year-over-year cash flow comparison.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has 24.3B diluted shares, down 1% from a year ago, with $55.3B in buybacks over the past year.

PAYP Total Shares

Q2 2025: 669MQ4 2025: 629MQ1 2026: 651MQ2 2026: 677M
Q2 2025: 669MQ4 2025: 629MQ1 2026: 651MQ2 2026: 677M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+26.2M shares

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA has the edge over PAYP on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PAYP Net Leverage

Q2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 3.2xQ4 2025: 0.7xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 2.1x
Q2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 3.2xQ4 2025: 0.7xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.1xModerate
Q1 20261.9xHealthy
Q4 20250.7xVery low
Q3 20253.2xElevated
Q2 20251.5xHealthy

PAYP's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.5 years a year ago.

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

PAYP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.4Neutral
Stochastic9.7Oversold

PAYP's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

PAYP PE vs Technology Sector

PAYP has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has stronger trend alignment. NVDA is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus PAYP above 0 of 2.

PAYP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.16.2% below
20 week MA$15.69% below

PAYP is in a downtrend: it's below all two of its weekly moving averages, and 9% below its 20-week average.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA has the edge over PAYP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PAYP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2026 YTD$21.1$14.2-33%

It's down 33% so far in 2026.

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