NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over PAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

PAY

Paymentus Holdings, Inc.

77
Fundamentals80/ 100
Valuation75/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

PAY's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

PAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

PAY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over PAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE231x463x694x926x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE231x463x694x926x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward33x$33.75—
Current46x$33.75—
Cheap60x$44.04+30%
Fair103x$75.05+122%
Expensive409x$299+785%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PAY's PE is in its cheap range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 33x next year's earnings.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

PAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Low

PAY has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PAY, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+70%$57.31
Downside-22%$26.37

Calculated from the latest close: $33.75 on Nov 12.

PAY trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over PAY on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

PAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.18Q1 2024: $0.23Q2 2024: $0.25Q3 2024: $0.31Q4 2024: $0.35Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $0.44Q3 2025: $0.47Q4 2025: $0.52Q1 2026: $0.57Q2 2026: $0.66Q3 2026: $0.73Forward: $1.04
Q4 2023: $0.18Q1 2024: $0.23Q2 2024: $0.25Q3 2024: $0.31Q4 2024: $0.35Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $0.44Q3 2025: $0.47Q4 2025: $0.52Q1 2026: $0.57Q2 2026: $0.66Q3 2026: $0.73Forward: $1.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.04+42%
Q3 2026$0.73+55%
Q2 2026$0.66+50%
Q1 2026$0.57+42%
Q4 2025$0.52+49%
Q3 2025$0.47+52%
Q2 2025$0.44+76%
Q1 2025$0.40+74%
Q4 2024$0.35+94%

PAY's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $0.73 over the past year, up 55% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over PAY on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

PAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $165MQ1 2024: $185MQ2 2024: $197MQ3 2024: $232MQ4 2024: $258MQ1 2025: $275MQ2 2025: $280MQ3 2025: $311MQ4 2025: $330MQ1 2026: $358MQ2 2026: $361MQ3 2026: $372M
Q4 2023: $165MQ1 2024: $185MQ2 2024: $197MQ3 2024: $232MQ4 2024: $258MQ1 2025: $275MQ2 2025: $280MQ3 2025: $311MQ4 2025: $330MQ1 2026: $358MQ2 2026: $361MQ3 2026: $372M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$372.2M+20%
Q2 2026$360.7M+29%
Q1 2026$358.4M+30%
Q4 2025$330.5M+28%
Q3 2025$310.7M+34%
Q2 2025$280.1M+42%
Q1 2025$275.2M+49%
Q4 2024$257.9M+56%

PAY's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $372M last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over PAY on cash flow, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

PAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: $50MQ2 2025: $31MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: $45MQ1 2026: $30MQ2 2026: $49MQ3 2026: $43M
Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: $50MQ2 2025: $31MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: $45MQ1 2026: $30MQ2 2026: $49MQ3 2026: $43M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$43.4M+24%
Q2 2026$48.7M+55%
Q1 2026$30.4M-40%
Q4 2025$45M+62%
Q3 2025$35M+425%
Q2 2025$31.4M+76%
Q1 2025$50.4M+365%
Q4 2024$27.8M+14%

PAY generated $168M in free cash flow over the past year, up 16% from the year before.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over PAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 125MQ1 2024: 127MQ2 2024: 127MQ3 2024: 128MQ4 2024: 128MQ1 2025: 129MQ2 2025: 129MQ3 2025: 129MQ4 2025: 129MQ1 2026: 129MQ2 2026: 129MQ3 2026: 130M
Q4 2023: 125MQ1 2024: 127MQ2 2024: 127MQ3 2024: 128MQ4 2024: 128MQ1 2025: 129MQ2 2025: 129MQ3 2025: 129MQ4 2025: 129MQ1 2026: 129MQ2 2026: 129MQ3 2026: 130M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1%+1.3M shares
1 year+0.8%+1.1M shares
3 years+3.7%+4.7M shares
5 years+4.7%+5.9M shares
Available history+18%+19.8M shares

PAY has 130M diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

PAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -5.3xQ1 2024: -4.0xQ2 2024: -3.8xQ3 2024: -3.3xQ4 2024: -3.3xQ1 2025: -3.4xQ2 2025: -3.4xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -3.3xQ1 2026: -3.2xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -3.0x
Q4 2023: -5.3xQ1 2024: -4.0xQ2 2024: -3.8xQ3 2024: -3.3xQ4 2024: -3.3xQ1 2025: -3.4xQ2 2025: -3.4xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -3.3xQ1 2026: -3.2xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.0xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.3xNet Cash

PAY has the edge over NVDA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

PAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.0Neutral
Stochastic27.5Neutral

PAY's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA has the edge over PAY on valuation relative to its sector.

PAY PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPAYSector medianRelative
PE46x28x66% above
PE %44339 pts below

PAY is trading at 46x earnings, a 66% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

PAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$32.24.7% above
20 week MA$33.50.8% above
50 week MA$29.216% above
100 week MA$30.710% above
200 week MA$23.842% above

PAY has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

PAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$30.5$31.6+3.4%
2022$31.6$7.16-77%
2023$7.16$17.9+150%
2024$17.9$33.0+85%
2025$33.0$31.5-4.6%
2026 YTD$31.5$33.8+7.2%

PAY has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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