NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over PATH overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

PATH

UiPath Inc.

71
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

PATH's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

PATH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

PATH's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over PATH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PATH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE162x324x485x647x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE162x324x485x647x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$13.10—
Cheap20x$13.08-0.2%
Current20x$13.10—
Fair23x$15.26+16%
Expensive403x$270+1960%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PATH's PE is in its cheap range at 20x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

PATH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

PATH has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PATH, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PATH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$18.97
Downside-25%$9.89

Calculated from the latest close: $13.10 on Nov 12.

PATH trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $7.91 over the past year, up 125% from the year before, and higher year over year for 13 quarters in a row.

PATH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.28Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.19Q4 2024: $-0.15Q1 2025: $-0.13Q2 2025: $-0.12Q3 2025: $0.03Q4 2025: $0.42Q1 2026: $0.52Q2 2026: $0.60Q3 2026: $0.67Forward: $0.88
Q4 2023: $-0.28Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.19Q4 2024: $-0.15Q1 2025: $-0.13Q2 2025: $-0.12Q3 2025: $0.03Q4 2025: $0.42Q1 2026: $0.52Q2 2026: $0.60Q3 2026: $0.67Forward: $0.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.88+31%
Q3 2026$0.67+2133%
Q2 2026$0.60+$0.72
Q1 2026$0.52+$0.65
Q4 2025$0.42+$0.57
Q3 2025$0.03+$0.22
Q2 2025-$0.12+$0.03
Q1 2025-$0.13+$0.03
Q4 2024-$0.15+$0.13

PATH's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $0.67 over the past year, more than ten times what it earned the year before, and higher year over year for 18 quarters in a row.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over PATH on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

PATH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $326MQ1 2024: $405MQ2 2024: $335MQ3 2024: $316MQ4 2024: $355MQ1 2025: $424MQ2 2025: $357MQ3 2025: $362MQ4 2025: $411MQ1 2026: $481MQ2 2026: $418MQ3 2026: $410M
Q4 2023: $326MQ1 2024: $405MQ2 2024: $335MQ3 2024: $316MQ4 2024: $355MQ1 2025: $424MQ2 2025: $357MQ3 2025: $362MQ4 2025: $411MQ1 2026: $481MQ2 2026: $418MQ3 2026: $410M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$410.3M+13%
Q2 2026$418.4M+17%
Q1 2026$481.1M+14%
Q4 2025$411.1M+16%
Q3 2025$361.7M+14%
Q2 2025$356.6M+6.4%
Q1 2025$423.6M+4.5%
Q4 2024$354.7M+8.8%

PATH's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $410M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over PATH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PATH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $41MQ1 2024: $142MQ2 2024: $99MQ3 2024: $45MQ4 2024: $23MQ1 2025: $139MQ2 2025: $106MQ3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $179MQ2 2026: $129MQ3 2026: $29M
Q4 2023: $41MQ1 2024: $142MQ2 2024: $99MQ3 2024: $45MQ4 2024: $23MQ1 2025: $139MQ2 2025: $106MQ3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $179MQ2 2026: $129MQ3 2026: $29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$29.3M-30%
Q2 2026$129.2M+22%
Q1 2026$179.3M+29%
Q4 2025$25.1M+8.2%
Q3 2025$41.6M-7.5%
Q2 2025$106.2M+7.5%
Q1 2025$138.7M-2.2%
Q4 2024$23.2M-44%

PATH generated $363M in free cash flow over the past year, up 17% from the year before.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has 24.3B diluted shares, down 1% from a year ago, with $55.3B in buybacks over the past year.

PATH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 567MQ1 2024: 564MQ2 2024: 570MQ3 2024: 568MQ4 2024: 551MQ1 2025: 560MQ2 2025: 548MQ3 2025: 543MQ4 2025: 539MQ1 2026: 545MQ2 2026: 528MQ3 2026: 523M
Q4 2023: 567MQ1 2024: 564MQ2 2024: 570MQ3 2024: 568MQ4 2024: 551MQ1 2025: 560MQ2 2025: 548MQ3 2025: 543MQ4 2025: 539MQ1 2026: 545MQ2 2026: 528MQ3 2026: 523M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-4.8M shares
1 year-3.7%-19.9M shares
3 years-7.1%-39.9M shares
5 years-0.7%-3.5M shares
Available history+6.3%+30.9M shares

PATH has the edge over NVDA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

PATH Net Leverage

Q4 2025: -29.4xQ1 2026: -11.8xQ2 2026: -5.2xQ3 2026: -3.4x
Q4 2025: -29.4xQ1 2026: -11.8xQ2 2026: -5.2xQ3 2026: -3.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-11.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-29.4xNet Cash

PATH has the edge over NVDA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

PATH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.6Neutral
Stochastic24.9Neutral

PATH's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

PATH PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPATHSector medianRelative
PE20x28x30% below
PE %204222 pts below

PATH has the edge over NVDA on valuation relative to its sector.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

PATH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.21% below
20 week MA$13.74% below
50 week MA$12.91.4% above
100 week MA$12.82.3% above
200 week MA$14.812% below

PATH has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA has the edge over PATH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PATH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$74.8$44.4-41%
2022$44.4$12.1-73%
2023$12.1$24.8+105%
2024$24.8$12.9-48%
2025$12.9$16.8+31%
2026 YTD$16.8$13.1-22%

PATH's yearly returns have swung widely, from +105% in 2023 to −73% in 2022. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

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