NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over PAAI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

PAAI

Paradium.AI, Inc.

30
Fundamentals24/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential57/ 100

PAAI trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

PAAI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
Strong
Weak

PAAI's cash flow is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

PAAI PE Valuation

PAAI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

PAAI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong decline
Decline
--
Limited
--

Analysts expect PAAI's earnings and revenue to decline, though with profitability holding steady.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PAAI, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PAAI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+133%$1.42
Downside-57%$0.26

Calculated from the latest close: $0.61 on Nov 12.

PAAI trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over PAAI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

PAAI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.49Q1 2024: $-5.36Q2 2024: $-4.76Q3 2024: $-4.17Q4 2024: $-3.90Q1 2025: $0.09Q2 2025: $2.65Q3 2025: $2.68Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $2.48Q2 2026: $0.20Q3 2026: $-0.02Forward: $0.01
Q4 2023: $-2.49Q1 2024: $-5.36Q2 2024: $-4.76Q3 2024: $-4.17Q4 2024: $-3.90Q1 2025: $0.09Q2 2025: $2.65Q3 2025: $2.68Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $2.48Q2 2026: $0.20Q3 2026: $-0.02Forward: $0.01
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.01—
Q3 2026-$0.02-101%
Q2 2026$0.20-92%
Q1 2026$2.48+2656%
Q4 2025$2.62+$6.52
Q3 2025$2.68+$6.85
Q2 2025$2.65+$7.41
Q1 2025$0.09+$5.45
Q4 2024-$3.90-$1.41

PAAI has swung to a loss: it lost $0.02 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over PAAI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PAAI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $34MQ4 2024: $36MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $45MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $28MQ1 2026: $20MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: $21M
Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $34MQ4 2024: $36MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $45MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $28MQ1 2026: $20MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: $21M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.5M-31%
Q2 2026$22.2M-51%
Q1 2026$20.4M-36%
Q4 2025$28.2M-22%
Q3 2025$29.8M-11%
Q2 2025$45M+66%
Q1 2025$31.8M+9.9%
Q4 2024$36.2M-49%

PAAI's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $21M last quarter, down 31% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

PAAI has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 347% versus its history, compared with NVDA at up 290%.

PAAI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: −$9MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $90,000Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: −$9MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $90,000Q3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q1 2026$2M-46%
Q4 2025$13.1M+$21.7M
Q3 2025$12.2M+$14.5M
Q1 2025$3.7M+$5.6M
Q4 2024-$8.6M-$6.1M
Q4 2023-$2.5M-176%
Q4 2022$3.3M+$9.8M
Q3 2022-$7.3M-569%

PAAI's free cash flow has turned positive after five years mostly in the red: $27M over the past year.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over PAAI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PAAI Total Shares

Q1 2024: 26MQ2 2024: 29MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 35MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 47MQ3 2026: 48M
Q1 2024: 26MQ2 2024: 29MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 35MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 47MQ3 2026: 48M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+112K shares
1 year-0.2%-84.5K shares
3 years+116%+25.5M shares
5 years+355%+37.2M shares
Available history+2725%+45.9M shares

PAAI has 48M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA has the edge over PAAI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PAAI Net Leverage

Q3 2024: 40.3xQ4 2024: 9.2xQ1 2025: 4.0xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 3.8xQ3 2026: 7.2x
Q3 2024: 40.3xQ4 2024: 9.2xQ1 2025: 4.0xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 3.8xQ3 2026: 7.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.2xHigh
Q2 20263.8xElevated
Q1 20262.4xModerate
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 20252.1xModerate
Q2 20252.3xModerate
Q1 20254.0xHigh
Q4 20249.2xHigh

PAAI's net debt is about 7.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.1 years a year ago.

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

PAAI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.6Neutral
Stochastic4.6Oversold

PAAI's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

PAAI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPAAISector medianRelative
PE4.5x28x84% below
PE %683533 pts above

PAAI has the edge over NVDA on valuation relative to its sector.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has the edge over PAAI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PAAI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.0039% below
20 week MA$1.0642% below
50 week MA$2.0971% below
100 week MA$3.1581% below
200 week MA$2.9779% below

PAAI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 79% below its 200-week average.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA has the edge over PAAI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PAAI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.7$13.0-22%
2021$13.0$14.3+10%
2022$14.3$9.40-34%
2023$9.40$2.38-75%
2024$2.38$1.38-42%
2025$1.38$4.18+203%
2026 YTD$4.18$0.61-85%

PAAI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +203% in 2025 to −75% in 2023. It's down 85% so far in 2026.

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