NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over OTEX overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

OTEX

Open Text Corporation

69
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation89/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

OTEX trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

OTEX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Under pressure

OTEX's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over OTEX in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

OTEX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x79x118x157x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x79x118x157x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward6.4x$24.81—
Current9.4x$24.81—
Cheap14x$35.71+44%
Fair31x$83.11+235%
Expensive53x$139+462%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OTEX's PE is in its cheap range at 9.4x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 6.4x.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

NVDA has the edge over OTEX on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

OTEX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Stable
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect OTEX's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OTEX, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

OTEX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$30.34
Downside-18%$20.25

Calculated from the latest close: $24.81 on Nov 12.

OTEX trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over OTEX on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OTEX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.47Q1 2024: $0.62Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $1.73Q4 2024: $2.46Q1 2025: $2.45Q2 2025: $1.65Q3 2025: $1.91Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $2.05Q2 2026: $2.58Q3 2026: $2.64Forward: $3.86
Q4 2023: $0.47Q1 2024: $0.62Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $1.73Q4 2024: $2.46Q1 2025: $2.45Q2 2025: $1.65Q3 2025: $1.91Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $2.05Q2 2026: $2.58Q3 2026: $2.64Forward: $3.86
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.86+46%
Q3 2026$2.64+38%
Q2 2026$2.58+56%
Q1 2026$2.05-16%
Q4 2025$1.70-31%
Q3 2025$1.91+10%
Q2 2025$1.65-3.5%
Q1 2025$2.45+295%
Q4 2024$2.46+423%

OTEX earned $2.64 per share over the past year, up 38% from the year before.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over OTEX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OTEX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-4%
Q2 2026$1.3B+2.9%
Q1 2026$1.3B+2.2%
Q4 2025$1.3B-0.6%
Q3 2025$1.3B+1.5%
Q2 2025$1.3B-3.8%
Q1 2025$1.3B-13%
Q4 2024$1.3B-13%

OTEX's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $1.2B last quarter, down 4% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over OTEX on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OTEX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $305MQ1 2024: $348MQ2 2024: $145MQ3 2024: −$117MQ4 2024: $307MQ1 2025: $374MQ2 2025: $124MQ3 2025: $101MQ4 2025: $279MQ1 2026: $305MQ2 2026: $122MQ3 2026: $139M
Q4 2023: $305MQ1 2024: $348MQ2 2024: $145MQ3 2024: −$117MQ4 2024: $307MQ1 2025: $374MQ2 2025: $124MQ3 2025: $101MQ4 2025: $279MQ1 2026: $305MQ2 2026: $122MQ3 2026: $139M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$138.5M+37%
Q2 2026$122M-1.6%
Q1 2026$304.9M-18%
Q4 2025$279.4M-8.9%
Q3 2025$101.2M+$218.4M
Q2 2025$124M-15%
Q1 2025$373.8M+7.4%
Q4 2024$306.7M+0.4%

OTEX generated $845M in free cash flow over the past year, down 6.7% from the year before.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has 24.3B diluted shares, down 1% from a year ago, with $55.3B in buybacks over the past year.

OTEX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 272MQ1 2024: 273MQ2 2024: 273MQ3 2024: 268MQ4 2024: 265MQ1 2025: 264MQ2 2025: 264MQ3 2025: 254MQ4 2025: 254MQ1 2026: 248MQ2 2026: 249MQ3 2026: 242M
Q4 2023: 272MQ1 2024: 273MQ2 2024: 273MQ3 2024: 268MQ4 2024: 265MQ1 2025: 264MQ2 2025: 264MQ3 2025: 254MQ4 2025: 254MQ1 2026: 248MQ2 2026: 249MQ3 2026: 242M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.9%-7.3M shares
1 year-4.6%-11.7M shares
3 years-11%-29.8M shares
5 years-11%-31.1M shares
Available history-11%-29.5M shares

OTEX has the edge over NVDA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA has the edge over OTEX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

OTEX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 6.1xQ1 2024: 5.2xQ2 2024: 3.5xQ3 2024: 3.8xQ4 2024: 3.7xQ1 2025: 3.7xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 3.6xQ1 2026: 3.6xQ2 2026: 3.2xQ3 2026: 3.2x
Q4 2023: 6.1xQ1 2024: 5.2xQ2 2024: 3.5xQ3 2024: 3.8xQ4 2024: 3.7xQ1 2025: 3.7xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 3.6xQ1 2026: 3.6xQ2 2026: 3.2xQ3 2026: 3.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.2xElevated
Q2 20263.2xElevated
Q1 20263.6xElevated
Q4 20253.6xElevated
Q3 20253.8xElevated
Q2 20253.9xElevated
Q1 20253.7xElevated
Q4 20243.7xElevated

OTEX's net debt is about 3.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.8 years a year ago.

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

OTEX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.9Neutral
Stochastic57.4Neutral

OTEX's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

OTEX PE vs Technology Sector

MetricOTEXSector medianRelative
PE9.4x28x66% below
PE %23533 pts below

OTEX has the edge over NVDA on valuation relative to its sector.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

OTEX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$24.80.2% above
20 week MA$24.22.5% above
50 week MA$25.11.1% below
100 week MA$27.610% below
200 week MA$31.822% below

OTEX has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA has the edge over OTEX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

OTEX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$44.1$45.7+3.8%
2021$45.7$47.4+3.6%
2022$47.4$29.0-39%
2023$29.0$42.0+45%
2024$42.0$28.3-33%
2025$28.3$33.5+18%
2026 YTD$33.5$24.8-26%

OTEX has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 26% so far in 2026.

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