NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over OLED overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

OLED

Universal Display Corporation

66
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation82/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

OLED trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

OLED Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Strong

OLED's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over OLED in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

OLED PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x58x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x58x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$89.89—
Forward20x$89.89—
Cheap26x$130+45%
Fair36x$177+96%
Expensive64x$316+251%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OLED's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 20x.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

OLED Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect OLED's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OLED, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

OLED Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$115.35
Downside-21%$71.05

Calculated from the latest close: $89.89 on Nov 12.

OLED trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over OLED on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OLED Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.24Q1 2024: $4.60Q2 2024: $4.66Q3 2024: $4.98Q4 2024: $4.65Q1 2025: $4.81Q2 2025: $5.12Q3 2025: $4.64Q4 2025: $5.08Q1 2026: $4.49Q2 2026: $4.14Q3 2026: $4.94Forward: $4.50
Q4 2023: $4.24Q1 2024: $4.60Q2 2024: $4.66Q3 2024: $4.98Q4 2024: $4.65Q1 2025: $4.81Q2 2025: $5.12Q3 2025: $4.64Q4 2025: $5.08Q1 2026: $4.49Q2 2026: $4.14Q3 2026: $4.94Forward: $4.50
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.50-8.8%
Q3 2026$4.94+6.5%
Q2 2026$4.14-19%
Q1 2026$4.49-6.7%
Q4 2025$5.08+9.2%
Q3 2025$4.64-6.8%
Q2 2025$5.12+9.9%
Q1 2025$4.81+4.6%
Q4 2024$4.65+9.7%

OLED earned $4.94 per share over the past year, up 6.5% from the year before.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over OLED on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OLED Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $158MQ1 2024: $165MQ2 2024: $159MQ3 2024: $162MQ4 2024: $162MQ1 2025: $166MQ2 2025: $172MQ3 2025: $140MQ4 2025: $173MQ1 2026: $142MQ2 2026: $152MQ3 2026: $160M
Q4 2023: $158MQ1 2024: $165MQ2 2024: $159MQ3 2024: $162MQ4 2024: $162MQ1 2025: $166MQ2 2025: $172MQ3 2025: $140MQ4 2025: $173MQ1 2026: $142MQ2 2026: $152MQ3 2026: $160M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$160.4M+15%
Q2 2026$152.2M-11%
Q1 2026$142.2M-14%
Q4 2025$172.9M+6.6%
Q3 2025$139.6M-14%
Q2 2025$171.8M+8.4%
Q1 2025$166.3M+0.6%
Q4 2024$162.3M+2.5%

OLED's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $160M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over OLED on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OLED Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: $65MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $66MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: $37MQ3 2025: $84MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: $100MQ2 2026: $20MQ3 2026: $96M
Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: $65MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $66MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: $37MQ3 2025: $84MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: $100MQ2 2026: $20MQ3 2026: $96M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$95.9M+14%
Q2 2026$20.3M-46%
Q1 2026$100.3M+473%
Q4 2025$15.1M-32%
Q3 2025$84.3M+27%
Q2 2025$37.5M-35%
Q1 2025$17.5M-73%
Q4 2024$22M-25%

OLED generated $232M in free cash flow over the past year, up 44% from the year before.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has 24.3B diluted shares, down 1% from a year ago, with $55.3B in buybacks over the past year.

OLED Total Shares

Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 48MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 47MQ3 2026: 46M
Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 48MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 47MQ3 2026: 46M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.9%-895K shares
1 year-4%-1.9M shares
3 years-3.9%-1.8M shares
5 years-3.3%-1.6M shares
Available history-2.6%-1.2M shares

OLED has the edge over NVDA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

OLED Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -0.4x
Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

OLED has the edge over NVDA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

OLED Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.7Neutral
Stochastic66.4Neutral

OLED's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

OLED PE vs Technology Sector

MetricOLEDSector medianRelative
PE18x28x35% below
PE %33532 pts below

OLED has the edge over NVDA on valuation relative to its sector.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

OLED Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$82.59% above
20 week MA$82.68.8% above
50 week MA$95.45.7% below
100 week MA$119.225% below
200 week MA$143.237% below

OLED has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA has the edge over OLED on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

OLED Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$212.7$233.2+9.6%
2021$233.2$159.4-32%
2022$159.4$106.7-33%
2023$106.7$191.3+79%
2024$191.3$149.7-22%
2025$149.7$119.6-20%
2026 YTD$119.6$89.9-25%

OLED has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 25% so far in 2026.

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