NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over OKTA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

OKTA

Okta, Inc.

66
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

OKTA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

OKTA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Unavailable

OKTA's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over OKTA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

OKTA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE36x73x109x145x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE36x73x109x145x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward43x$183—
Cheap62x$103-44%
Fair83x$138-24%
Expensive108x$179-1.8%
Current110x$183—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OKTA's PE is 110x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

OKTA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Broad
High

OKTA has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OKTA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

OKTA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$297.57
Downside-37%$114.31

Calculated from the latest close: $182.54 on Nov 12.

OKTA trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 125% for NVDA versus OKTA up 98%.

OKTA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.85Q1 2024: $-2.17Q2 2024: $-1.67Q3 2024: $-0.84Q4 2025: $1.11Q1 2026: $1.31Q2 2026: $1.38Q3 2026: $1.66Forward: $4.22
Q4 2023: $-2.85Q1 2024: $-2.17Q2 2024: $-1.67Q3 2024: $-0.84Q4 2025: $1.11Q1 2026: $1.31Q2 2026: $1.38Q3 2026: $1.66Forward: $4.22
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.22+154%
Q3 2024-$0.84+$2.84
Q2 2024-$1.67+$2.67
Q1 2024-$2.17+$2.99
Q4 2023-$2.85+$3.00
Q3 2023-$3.68+$2.29
Q2 2023-$4.34+$2.12
Q1 2023-$5.16+$0.57
Q4 2022-$5.85-$1.17

OKTA has returned to profit: it earned $1.66 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over OKTA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

OKTA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $584MQ1 2024: $605MQ2 2024: $617MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $665MQ1 2025: $682MQ2 2025: $688MQ3 2025: $728MQ4 2025: $742MQ1 2026: $761MQ2 2026: $765MQ3 2026: $805M
Q4 2023: $584MQ1 2024: $605MQ2 2024: $617MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $665MQ1 2025: $682MQ2 2025: $688MQ3 2025: $728MQ4 2025: $742MQ1 2026: $761MQ2 2026: $765MQ3 2026: $805M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$805M+11%
Q2 2026$765M+11%
Q1 2026$761M+12%
Q4 2025$742M+12%
Q3 2025$728M+13%
Q2 2025$688M+12%
Q1 2025$682M+13%
Q4 2024$665M+14%

OKTA's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $805M last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over OKTA on cash flow, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

OKTA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $153MQ1 2024: $171MQ2 2024: $218MQ3 2024: $81MQ4 2024: $158MQ1 2025: $285MQ2 2025: $240MQ3 2025: $165MQ4 2025: $214MQ1 2026: $256MQ2 2026: $276MQ3 2026: $233M
Q4 2023: $153MQ1 2024: $171MQ2 2024: $218MQ3 2024: $81MQ4 2024: $158MQ1 2025: $285MQ2 2025: $240MQ3 2025: $165MQ4 2025: $214MQ1 2026: $256MQ2 2026: $276MQ3 2026: $233M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$233M+41%
Q2 2026$276M+15%
Q1 2026$256M-10%
Q4 2025$214M+35%
Q3 2025$165M+104%
Q2 2025$240M+10%
Q1 2025$285M+67%
Q4 2024$158M+3.3%

OKTA generated $979M in free cash flow over the past year, up 15% from the year before.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has 24.3B diluted shares, down 1% from a year ago, with $55.3B in buybacks over the past year.

OKTA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 164MQ1 2024: 164MQ2 2024: 167MQ3 2024: 174MQ1 2025: 175MQ2 2025: 182MQ3 2025: 181MQ4 2025: 178MQ1 2026: 179MQ2 2026: 178MQ3 2026: 179M
Q4 2023: 164MQ1 2024: 164MQ2 2024: 167MQ3 2024: 174MQ1 2025: 175MQ2 2025: 182MQ3 2025: 181MQ4 2025: 178MQ1 2026: 179MQ2 2026: 178MQ3 2026: 179M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+1.1M shares
1 year-1.2%-2.2M shares
3 years+11%+17.5M shares
5 years+36%+47M shares
Available history+50%+59.8M shares

OKTA has the edge over NVDA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

OKTA Net Leverage

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

OKTA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.7Neutral
Stochastic54.8Neutral

OKTA's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA has the edge over OKTA on valuation relative to its sector.

OKTA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricOKTASector medianRelative
PE110x28x295% above
PE %883553 pts above

OKTA is trading at 110x earnings, a 295% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

OKTA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$199.88.6% below
20 week MA$171.36.6% above
50 week MA$121.650% above
100 week MA$108.868% above
200 week MA$95.691% above

OKTA has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

OKTA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$119.9$275.6+130%
2021$275.6$228.3-17%
2022$228.3$67.0-71%
2023$67.0$90.5+35%
2024$90.5$81.6-9.8%
2025$81.6$88.6+8.5%
2026 YTD$88.6$182.5+106%

OKTA has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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