NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over NXPI overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

NXPI

NXP Semiconductors N.V.

77
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NXPI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

NXPI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

NXPI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over NXPI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NXPI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE337x674x1011x1348x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE337x674x1011x1348x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$267—
Cheap19x$237-11%
Current21x$267—
Fair24x$302+13%
Expensive59x$745+179%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NXPI's PE is in its fair range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

NXPI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
High

NXPI has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NXPI, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NXPI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+40%$373.34
Downside-18%$219.26

Calculated from the latest close: $267.29 on Nov 12.

NXPI trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over NXPI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NXPI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $10.70Q1 2024: $10.82Q2 2024: $10.69Q3 2024: $10.47Q4 2024: $9.73Q1 2025: $9.18Q2 2025: $8.39Q3 2025: $8.08Q4 2025: $7.95Q1 2026: $10.46Q2 2026: $11.73Q3 2026: $12.73Forward: $17.59
Q4 2023: $10.70Q1 2024: $10.82Q2 2024: $10.69Q3 2024: $10.47Q4 2024: $9.73Q1 2025: $9.18Q2 2025: $8.39Q3 2025: $8.08Q4 2025: $7.95Q1 2026: $10.46Q2 2026: $11.73Q3 2026: $12.73Forward: $17.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$17.59+38%
Q3 2026$12.73+58%
Q2 2026$11.73+40%
Q1 2026$10.46+14%
Q4 2025$7.95-18%
Q3 2025$8.08-23%
Q2 2025$8.39-22%
Q1 2025$9.18-15%
Q4 2024$9.73-9.1%

NXPI earned $12.73 per share over the past year, up 58% from the year before.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over NXPI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NXPI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.4BQ1 2024: $3.1BQ2 2024: $3.1BQ3 2024: $3.3BQ4 2024: $3.1BQ1 2025: $2.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $3.3BQ1 2026: $3.2BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $3.8B
Q4 2023: $3.4BQ1 2024: $3.1BQ2 2024: $3.1BQ3 2024: $3.3BQ4 2024: $3.1BQ1 2025: $2.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $3.3BQ1 2026: $3.2BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $3.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.8B+19%
Q2 2026$3.5B+19%
Q1 2026$3.2B+12%
Q4 2025$3.3B+7.2%
Q3 2025$3.2B-2.4%
Q2 2025$2.9B-6.4%
Q1 2025$2.8B-9.3%
Q4 2024$3.1B-9.1%

NXPI's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $3.8B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over NXPI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NXPI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $962MQ1 2024: $625MQ2 2024: $576MQ3 2024: $593MQ4 2024: $261MQ1 2025: $426MQ2 2025: $696MQ3 2025: $508MQ4 2025: $793MQ1 2026: $714MQ2 2026: $791MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $962MQ1 2024: $625MQ2 2024: $576MQ3 2024: $593MQ4 2024: $261MQ1 2025: $426MQ2 2025: $696MQ3 2025: $508MQ4 2025: $793MQ1 2026: $714MQ2 2026: $791MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+137%
Q2 2026$791M+14%
Q1 2026$714M+68%
Q4 2025$793M+204%
Q3 2025$508M-14%
Q2 2025$696M+21%
Q1 2025$426M-32%
Q4 2024$261M-73%

NXPI's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for six years: $3.5B over the past year, up 85% from the year before.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over NXPI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NXPI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 261MQ1 2024: 259MQ2 2024: 259MQ3 2024: 258MQ4 2024: 258MQ1 2025: 255MQ2 2025: 254MQ3 2025: 254MQ4 2025: 254MQ1 2026: 254MQ2 2026: 254MQ3 2026: 254M
Q4 2023: 261MQ1 2024: 259MQ2 2024: 259MQ3 2024: 258MQ4 2024: 258MQ1 2025: 255MQ2 2025: 254MQ3 2025: 254MQ4 2025: 254MQ1 2026: 254MQ2 2026: 254MQ3 2026: 254M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-190K shares
1 year-0.2%-479K shares
3 years-2.8%-7.3M shares
5 years-6.5%-17.5M shares
Available history-11%-32.1M shares

NXPI has 254M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA has the edge over NXPI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NXPI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.6xHealthy
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20252.3xModerate
Q2 20252.1xModerate
Q1 20251.9xHealthy
Q4 20241.7xHealthy

NXPI's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.3 years a year ago.

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

NXPI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.5Neutral
Stochastic72.1Neutral

NXPI's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NXPI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNXPISector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %36351 pt above

NXPI has the edge over NVDA on valuation relative to its sector.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

NXPI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$243.69.7% above
20 week MA$244.89.2% above
50 week MA$244.69.3% above
100 week MA$227.218% above
200 week MA$222.420% above

NXPI has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

NXPI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$128.2$157.3+23%
2021$157.3$227.4+45%
2022$227.4$157.7-31%
2023$157.7$229.7+46%
2024$229.7$213.8-6.9%
2025$213.8$222.9+4.3%
2026 YTD$222.9$267.3+20%

NXPI has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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