NTRA

Natera, Inc.

62
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

NTRA offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has a slight edge over NTRA overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

NTRA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

NTRA's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

NTRA PE Valuation

NTRA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NTRA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

NTRA has the edge over UNH on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NTRA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+46%$470.34
Downside-30%$225.62

Calculated from the latest close: $322.94 on Nov 12.

NTRA trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NTRA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NTRA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.78Q1 2024: $-3.11Q2 2024: $-2.44Q3 2024: $-1.75Q4 2024: $-1.53Q1 2025: $-1.47Q2 2025: $-1.91Q3 2025: $-2.29Q4 2025: $-1.52Q1 2026: $-1.62Q2 2026: $-1.35Q3 2026: $-1.13
Q4 2023: $-3.78Q1 2024: $-3.11Q2 2024: $-2.44Q3 2024: $-1.75Q4 2024: $-1.53Q1 2025: $-1.47Q2 2025: $-1.91Q3 2025: $-2.29Q4 2025: $-1.52Q1 2026: $-1.62Q2 2026: $-1.35Q3 2026: $-1.13
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.13+$1.16
Q2 2026-$1.35+$0.56
Q1 2026-$1.62-$0.15
Q4 2025-$1.52+$0.01
Q3 2025-$2.29-$0.54
Q2 2025-$1.91+$0.53
Q1 2025-$1.47+$1.64
Q4 2024-$1.53+$2.25

NTRA is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.13 per share over the past year, against $6.10 at its worst in mid-2022.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH has the edge over NTRA on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NTRA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $311MQ1 2024: $368MQ2 2024: $413MQ3 2024: $440MQ4 2024: $476MQ1 2025: $502MQ2 2025: $547MQ3 2025: $592MQ4 2025: $665MQ1 2026: $697MQ2 2026: $753MQ3 2026: $794M
Q4 2023: $311MQ1 2024: $368MQ2 2024: $413MQ3 2024: $440MQ4 2024: $476MQ1 2025: $502MQ2 2025: $547MQ3 2025: $592MQ4 2025: $665MQ1 2026: $697MQ2 2026: $753MQ3 2026: $794M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$794M+34%
Q2 2026$752.8M+38%
Q1 2026$696.6M+39%
Q4 2025$665.5M+40%
Q3 2025$592.2M+35%
Q2 2025$546.6M+32%
Q1 2025$501.8M+36%
Q4 2024$476.1M+53%

NTRA has the edge over UNH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH's revenue has held roughly level: $113B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

NTRA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$68MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: −$8MQ3 2024: $35MQ4 2024: $35MQ1 2025: $23MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $37MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: $18MQ2 2026: −$9MQ3 2026: $5M
Q4 2023: −$68MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: −$8MQ3 2024: $35MQ4 2024: $35MQ1 2025: $23MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $37MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: $18MQ2 2026: −$9MQ3 2026: $5M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.3M-86%
Q2 2026-$8.6M-174%
Q1 2026$18M-20%
Q4 2025$37.8M+8.8%
Q3 2025$37M+4.3%
Q2 2025$11.7M+$19.4M
Q1 2025$22.6M+239%
Q4 2024$34.8M+$102.4M

NTRA has burned cash in most quarters: $52M over the past year, down 51% from the year before.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $22.8B over the past year.

NTRA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 115MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 123MQ3 2024: 124MQ4 2024: 125MQ1 2025: 135MQ2 2025: 136MQ3 2025: 137MQ4 2025: 137MQ1 2026: 142MQ2 2026: 143MQ3 2026: 144M
Q4 2023: 115MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 123MQ3 2024: 124MQ4 2024: 125MQ1 2025: 135MQ2 2025: 136MQ3 2025: 137MQ4 2025: 137MQ1 2026: 142MQ2 2026: 143MQ3 2026: 144M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+788K shares
1 year+5%+6.9M shares
3 years+25%+28.9M shares
5 years+56%+51.5M shares
Available history+107%+74.5M shares

NTRA has 144M diluted shares, up 5% from a year ago.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has the edge over NTRA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NTRA Net Leverage

NTRA's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

NTRA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.8Neutral
Stochastic43.5Neutral

NTRA's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

NTRA PE vs Healthcare Sector

NTRA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH is trading at 23x earnings, a 11% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

NTRA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$383.616% below
20 week MA$336.84.1% below
50 week MA$263.722% above
100 week MA$214.850% above
200 week MA$147.1120% above

NTRA has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 120% above its 200-week average.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has the edge over NTRA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NTRA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$33.7$111.7+232%
2021$111.7$93.8-16%
2022$93.8$41.5-56%
2023$41.5$62.6+51%
2024$62.6$160.3+156%
2025$160.3$233.7+46%
2026 YTD$233.7$322.9+38%

NTRA has the edge over UNH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has finished three years in a row lower, and it's up 22% so far in 2026.

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