NTRA

Natera, Inc.

62
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

NTRA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR has the edge over NTRA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

NTRA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

NTRA's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NTRA PE Valuation

NTRA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

NTRA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NTRA's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for OSCR, with profitability improving.

NTRA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+46%$470.34
Downside-30%$225.62

Calculated from the latest close: $322.94 on Nov 12.

NTRA trails OSCR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NTRA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NTRA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.78Q1 2024: $-3.11Q2 2024: $-2.44Q3 2024: $-1.75Q4 2024: $-1.53Q1 2025: $-1.47Q2 2025: $-1.91Q3 2025: $-2.29Q4 2025: $-1.52Q1 2026: $-1.62Q2 2026: $-1.35Q3 2026: $-1.13
Q4 2023: $-3.78Q1 2024: $-3.11Q2 2024: $-2.44Q3 2024: $-1.75Q4 2024: $-1.53Q1 2025: $-1.47Q2 2025: $-1.91Q3 2025: $-2.29Q4 2025: $-1.52Q1 2026: $-1.62Q2 2026: $-1.35Q3 2026: $-1.13
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.13+$1.16
Q2 2026-$1.35+$0.56
Q1 2026-$1.62-$0.15
Q4 2025-$1.52+$0.01
Q3 2025-$2.29-$0.54
Q2 2025-$1.91+$0.53
Q1 2025-$1.47+$1.64
Q4 2024-$1.53+$2.25

NTRA is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.13 per share over the past year, against $6.10 at its worst in mid-2022.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has the edge over NTRA on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NTRA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $311MQ1 2024: $368MQ2 2024: $413MQ3 2024: $440MQ4 2024: $476MQ1 2025: $502MQ2 2025: $547MQ3 2025: $592MQ4 2025: $665MQ1 2026: $697MQ2 2026: $753MQ3 2026: $794M
Q4 2023: $311MQ1 2024: $368MQ2 2024: $413MQ3 2024: $440MQ4 2024: $476MQ1 2025: $502MQ2 2025: $547MQ3 2025: $592MQ4 2025: $665MQ1 2026: $697MQ2 2026: $753MQ3 2026: $794M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$794M+34%
Q2 2026$752.8M+38%
Q1 2026$696.6M+39%
Q4 2025$665.5M+40%
Q3 2025$592.2M+35%
Q2 2025$546.6M+32%
Q1 2025$501.8M+36%
Q4 2024$476.1M+53%

NTRA's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $794M last quarter, up 34% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over NTRA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NTRA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$68MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: −$8MQ3 2024: $35MQ4 2024: $35MQ1 2025: $23MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $37MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: $18MQ2 2026: −$9MQ3 2026: $5M
Q4 2023: −$68MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: −$8MQ3 2024: $35MQ4 2024: $35MQ1 2025: $23MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $37MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: $18MQ2 2026: −$9MQ3 2026: $5M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.3M-86%
Q2 2026-$8.6M-174%
Q1 2026$18M-20%
Q4 2025$37.8M+8.8%
Q3 2025$37M+4.3%
Q2 2025$11.7M+$19.4M
Q1 2025$22.6M+239%
Q4 2024$34.8M+$102.4M

NTRA has burned cash in most quarters: $52M over the past year, down 51% from the year before.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR has the edge over NTRA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NTRA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 115MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 123MQ3 2024: 124MQ4 2024: 125MQ1 2025: 135MQ2 2025: 136MQ3 2025: 137MQ4 2025: 137MQ1 2026: 142MQ2 2026: 143MQ3 2026: 144M
Q4 2023: 115MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 123MQ3 2024: 124MQ4 2024: 125MQ1 2025: 135MQ2 2025: 136MQ3 2025: 137MQ4 2025: 137MQ1 2026: 142MQ2 2026: 143MQ3 2026: 144M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+788K shares
1 year+5%+6.9M shares
3 years+25%+28.9M shares
5 years+56%+51.5M shares
Available history+107%+74.5M shares

NTRA has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

NTRA Net Leverage

NTRA's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has more cash than debt.

NTRA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.8Neutral
Stochastic43.5Neutral

NTRA's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

NTRA PE vs Healthcare Sector

NTRA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR is trading at 13x earnings, a 50% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

NTRA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$383.616% below
20 week MA$336.84.1% below
50 week MA$263.722% above
100 week MA$214.850% above
200 week MA$147.1120% above

NTRA has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 120% above its 200-week average.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR has the edge over NTRA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NTRA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$33.7$111.7+232%
2021$111.7$93.8-16%
2022$93.8$41.5-56%
2023$41.5$62.6+51%
2024$62.6$160.3+156%
2025$160.3$233.7+46%
2026 YTD$233.7$322.9+38%

NTRA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +232% in 2020 to −56% in 2022. It's up 38% so far in 2026.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over NTRA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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