NTR

Nutrien Ltd.

68
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation65/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

NTR's fundamentals are strong: its operating margin rose 4 points to 15% and earnings per share grew 77%. At 14x earnings, it's trading below its usual 19x. Analysts expect earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

NTR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Healthy

NTR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NTR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE88x177x265x353x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE88x177x265x353x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.3x$36.14-49%
Forward13x$71.22—
Current14x$71.22—
Fair19x$92.91+30%
Expensive39x$191+168%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NTR's PE is in its fair range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NTR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NTR's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NTR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$86.86
Downside-15%$60.44

Calculated from the latest close: $71.22 on Nov 12.

NTR's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +22% against −15%.

NTR Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $4.34Q4 2023: $2.55Q1 2024: $1.73Q2 2024: $1.61Q3 2024: $1.50Q4 2024: $1.37Q1 2025: $1.07Q2 2025: $2.79Q3 2025: $3.69Q4 2025: $4.66Q1 2026: $4.91Q2 2026: $4.94Forward: $5.38
Q3 2023: $4.34Q4 2023: $2.55Q1 2024: $1.73Q2 2024: $1.61Q3 2024: $1.50Q4 2024: $1.37Q1 2025: $1.07Q2 2025: $2.79Q3 2025: $3.69Q4 2025: $4.66Q1 2026: $4.91Q2 2026: $4.94Forward: $5.38
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.38+8.9%
Q2 2026$4.94+77%
Q1 2026$4.91+359%
Q4 2025$4.66+240%
Q3 2025$3.69+146%
Q2 2025$2.79+73%
Q1 2025$1.07-38%
Q4 2024$1.37-46%
Q3 2024$1.50-65%

NTR's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.94 over the past year, against $14.08 in late 2022.

NTR Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $5.6BQ4 2023: $5.7BQ1 2024: $5.4BQ2 2024: $10.2BQ3 2024: $5.3BQ4 2024: $5.1BQ1 2025: $5.1BQ2 2025: $10.4BQ3 2025: $6BQ4 2025: $5.3BQ1 2026: $6BQ2 2026: $10.8B
Q3 2023: $5.6BQ4 2023: $5.7BQ1 2024: $5.4BQ2 2024: $10.2BQ3 2024: $5.3BQ4 2024: $5.1BQ1 2025: $5.1BQ2 2025: $10.4BQ3 2025: $6BQ4 2025: $5.3BQ1 2026: $6BQ2 2026: $10.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$10.8B+3.6%
Q1 2026$6B+19%
Q4 2025$5.3B+5.1%
Q3 2025$6B+12%
Q2 2025$10.4B+2.8%
Q1 2025$5.1B-5.4%
Q4 2024$5.1B-10%
Q3 2024$5.3B-5%

NTR's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $10.8B last quarter, up 3.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

NTR Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$1.1BQ4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: −$840MQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: −$1.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: −$1.4BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: −$934MQ4 2025: $2.2BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2B
Q3 2023: −$1.1BQ4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: −$840MQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: −$1.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: −$1.4BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: −$934MQ4 2025: $2.2BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$2B-5.7%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$247.9M
Q4 2025$2.2B-9.6%
Q3 2025-$933.8M+$503.2M
Q2 2025$2.1B+65%
Q1 2025-$1.4B-$542M
Q4 2024$2.4B-27%
Q3 2024-$1.4B-$334M

NTR still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $2.1B over the past year.

NTR Total Shares

Q3 2023: 495MQ4 2023: 495MQ1 2024: 495MQ2 2024: 495MQ3 2024: 495MQ4 2024: 493MQ1 2025: 490MQ2 2025: 488MQ3 2025: 486MQ4 2025: 483MQ1 2026: 482MQ2 2026: 480M
Q3 2023: 495MQ4 2023: 495MQ1 2024: 495MQ2 2024: 495MQ3 2024: 495MQ4 2024: 493MQ1 2025: 490MQ2 2025: 488MQ3 2025: 486MQ4 2025: 483MQ1 2026: 482MQ2 2026: 480M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-1.8M shares
1 year-1.6%-7.8M shares
3 years-3.2%-16.1M shares
5 years-16%-92.1M shares
Available history-16%-93.9M shares

NTR has 480M diluted shares, down 1.6% from a year ago, with $617M in buybacks over the past year.

NTR Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 2.3xQ4 2023: 2.4xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 2.8xQ1 2025: 3.4xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.4xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 2.1xQ2 2026: 1.9x
Q3 2023: 2.3xQ4 2023: 2.4xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 2.8xQ1 2025: 3.4xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.4xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 2.1xQ2 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.9xHealthy
Q1 20262.1xModerate
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 20252.4xModerate
Q2 20252.5xModerate
Q1 20253.4xElevated
Q4 20242.8xModerate
Q3 20243.5xElevated

NTR's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.5 years a year ago.

NTR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.3Neutral
Stochastic35.8Neutral

NTR's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 36 (neutral).

NTR PE vs Basic Materials Sector

MetricNTRSector medianRelative
PE14x19x23% below
PE %34406 pts below

NTR is trading at 14x earnings, a 23% discount to the Basic Materials sector's median of 19x.

NTR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$70.41.2% above
20 week MA$70.70.7% above
50 week MA$69.82% above
100 week MA$62.514% above
200 week MA$60.118% above

NTR is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 18% above its 200-week average.

NTR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$48.1$47.3-1.7%
2021$47.3$75.0+59%
2022$75.0$74.1-1.3%
2023$74.1$56.3-24%
2024$56.3$44.3-21%
2025$44.3$62.8+42%
2026 YTD$62.8$71.2+13%

NTR has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's up 13% so far in 2026.

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