NTCT

NetScout Systems, Inc.

78
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation84/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

NTCT's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 18x earnings, less than half its usual 43x. Analysts expect earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

NTCT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Strong

NTCT's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.

NTCT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE64x128x192x256x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE64x128x192x256x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$32.55—
Current18x$32.55—
Cheap24x$42.31+30%
Fair43x$75.24+131%
Expensive111x$196+501%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NTCT's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

NTCT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NTCT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NTCT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$44.30
Downside-11%$28.81

Calculated from the latest close: $32.55 on Nov 12.

NTCT's one-year upside scenario is about three times its downside: +36% against −11%.

NTCT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.68Q1 2024: $-2.07Q2 2024: $-8.21Q3 2024: $-8.37Q4 2024: $-5.83Q1 2025: $-5.12Q2 2025: $1.03Q3 2025: $1.25Q4 2025: $1.33Q1 2026: $1.30Q2 2026: $1.64Q3 2026: $1.76Forward: $2.76
Q4 2023: $-1.68Q1 2024: $-2.07Q2 2024: $-8.21Q3 2024: $-8.37Q4 2024: $-5.83Q1 2025: $-5.12Q2 2025: $1.03Q3 2025: $1.25Q4 2025: $1.33Q1 2026: $1.30Q2 2026: $1.64Q3 2026: $1.76Forward: $2.76
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.76+57%
Q3 2026$1.76+41%
Q2 2026$1.64+59%
Q1 2026$1.30+$6.42
Q4 2025$1.33+$7.16
Q3 2025$1.25+$9.62
Q2 2025$1.03+$9.24
Q1 2025-$5.12-$3.05
Q4 2024-$5.83-$4.15

NTCT earned $1.76 per share over the past year, up 41% from the year before.

NTCT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $218MQ1 2024: $203MQ2 2024: $175MQ3 2024: $191MQ4 2024: $252MQ1 2025: $205MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $219MQ4 2025: $251MQ1 2026: $203MQ2 2026: $210MQ3 2026: $222M
Q4 2023: $218MQ1 2024: $203MQ2 2024: $175MQ3 2024: $191MQ4 2024: $252MQ1 2025: $205MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $219MQ4 2025: $251MQ1 2026: $203MQ2 2026: $210MQ3 2026: $222M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$222.2M+1.4%
Q2 2026$210.4M+13%
Q1 2026$203M-1%
Q4 2025$250.7M-0.5%
Q3 2025$219M+15%
Q2 2025$186.7M+7%
Q1 2025$205M+0.8%
Q4 2024$252M+16%

NTCT's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $222M last quarter, up 1.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

NTCT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $92MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: $40MQ1 2025: $140MQ2 2025: $72MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $59MQ1 2026: $150MQ2 2026: $47MQ3 2026: −$16M
Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $92MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: $40MQ1 2025: $140MQ2 2025: $72MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $59MQ1 2026: $150MQ2 2026: $47MQ3 2026: −$16M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$15.8M-457%
Q2 2026$47.3M-34%
Q1 2026$150.1M+7.1%
Q4 2025$59.3M+50%
Q3 2025$4.4M+$9M
Q2 2025$71.7M+93%
Q1 2025$140.1M+52%
Q4 2024$39.6M+211%

NTCT usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$16M, but it generated $241M over the past year.

NTCT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 71MQ1 2024: 71MQ2 2024: 71MQ3 2024: 72MQ4 2024: 73MQ1 2025: 72MQ2 2025: 72MQ3 2025: 73MQ4 2025: 74MQ1 2026: 73MQ2 2026: 75MQ3 2026: 74M
Q4 2023: 71MQ1 2024: 71MQ2 2024: 71MQ3 2024: 72MQ4 2024: 73MQ1 2025: 72MQ2 2025: 72MQ3 2025: 73MQ4 2025: 74MQ1 2026: 73MQ2 2026: 75MQ3 2026: 74M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-660K shares
1 year+1.4%+1M shares
3 years+1.6%+1.1M shares
5 years-1.5%-1.2M shares
Available history-1%-763K shares

NTCT has 74M diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago, despite $106M in buybacks over the past year.

NTCT Net Leverage

Q2 2025: -3.2xQ3 2025: -2.9xQ4 2025: -3.2xQ1 2026: -3.5xQ2 2026: -3.0xQ3 2026: -2.3x
Q2 2025: -3.2xQ3 2025: -2.9xQ4 2025: -3.2xQ1 2026: -3.5xQ2 2026: -3.0xQ3 2026: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.2xNet Cash
Q3 2023-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2023-1.4xNet Cash

NTCT has more cash than debt.

NTCT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.9Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NTCT's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

NTCT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNTCTSector medianRelative
PE18x28x34% below
PE %03535 pts below

NTCT is trading at 18x earnings, a 34% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NTCT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$37.714% below
20 week MA$38.916% below
50 week MA$35.07% below
100 week MA$29.211% above
200 week MA$26.622% above

NTCT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 22% above its 200-week average.

NTCT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$24.0$27.7+15%
2021$27.7$33.2+20%
2022$33.2$32.6-1.8%
2023$32.6$22.0-33%
2024$22.0$21.7-1.4%
2025$21.7$27.9+29%
2026 YTD$27.9$32.6+17%

NTCT has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 17% so far in 2026.

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