NOK

Nokia Oyj

65
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

NOK offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TSM

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited

76
Fundamentals92/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

TSM has the edge over NOK overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

NOK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong

NOK's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

TSM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Unavailable
Unavailable
Strong

TSM's balance sheet is currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue, profitability and cash flow.

NOK PE Valuation

NOK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TSM PE Valuation

TSM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NOK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NOK, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TSM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for TSM, with profitability improving.

NOK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+47%$12.15
Downside-31%$5.71

Calculated from the latest close: $8.28 on Nov 12.

NOK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TSM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$508.50
Downside-18%$334.36

Calculated from the latest close: $405.49 on Nov 12.

TSM trails NOK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NOK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.13Q1 2024: $0.16Q2 2024: $0.07Q3 2024: $0.08Q4 2024: $0.15Q1 2025: $0.05Q2 2025: $0.11Q3 2025: $0.09Q4 2025: $0.13Q1 2026: $0.16Q2 2026: $0.14Q3 2026: $0.15
Q4 2023: $0.13Q1 2024: $0.16Q2 2024: $0.07Q3 2024: $0.08Q4 2024: $0.15Q1 2025: $0.05Q2 2025: $0.11Q3 2025: $0.09Q4 2025: $0.13Q1 2026: $0.16Q2 2026: $0.14Q3 2026: $0.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.15+67%
Q2 2026$0.14+27%
Q1 2026$0.16+220%
Q4 2025$0.13-13%
Q3 2025$0.09+13%
Q2 2025$0.11+57%
Q1 2025$0.05-69%
Q4 2024$0.15+15%

NOK's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.15 over the past year, against $0.85 in early 2023.

TSM Earnings Per Share

TSM and NOK do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

NOK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.3BQ1 2024: $4.9BQ2 2024: $5BQ3 2024: $4.8BQ4 2024: $6.6BQ1 2025: $4.9BQ2 2025: $5.1BQ3 2025: $5.4BQ4 2025: $6.8BQ1 2026: $5BQ2 2026: $5.3BQ3 2026: $5.7B
Q4 2023: $6.3BQ1 2024: $4.9BQ2 2024: $5BQ3 2024: $4.8BQ4 2024: $6.6BQ1 2025: $4.9BQ2 2025: $5.1BQ3 2025: $5.4BQ4 2025: $6.8BQ1 2026: $5BQ2 2026: $5.3BQ3 2026: $5.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.7B+6.1%
Q2 2026$5.3B+5.9%
Q1 2026$5B+2.4%
Q4 2025$6.8B+2.4%
Q3 2025$5.4B+12%
Q2 2025$5.1B+1.8%
Q1 2025$4.9B-1.2%
Q4 2024$6.6B+4.9%

NOK's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $5.7B last quarter, up 6.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

TSM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --

TSM and NOK do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

NOK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $438MQ3 2024: $754MQ4 2024: $56MQ1 2025: $801MQ2 2025: $98MQ3 2025: $477MQ4 2025: $252MQ1 2026: $699MQ2 2026: −$832MQ3 2026: −$112M
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $438MQ3 2024: $754MQ4 2024: $56MQ1 2025: $801MQ2 2025: $98MQ3 2025: $477MQ4 2025: $252MQ1 2026: $699MQ2 2026: −$832MQ3 2026: −$112M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$112M-123%
Q2 2026-$832.1M-951%
Q1 2026$698.8M-13%
Q4 2025$252.2M+354%
Q3 2025$476.6M-37%
Q2 2025$97.8M-78%
Q1 2025$801M-25%
Q4 2024$55.5M-97%

NOK usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$112M, but it generated $7M over the past year.

TSM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --

TSM and NOK do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

NOK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 5.5BQ1 2024: 5.6BQ2 2024: 5.5BQ3 2024: 5.5BQ4 2024: 5.5BQ1 2025: 5.4BQ2 2025: 5.5BQ3 2025: 5.5BQ4 2025: 5.5BQ1 2026: 5.7BQ2 2026: 5.8BQ3 2026: 5.7B
Q4 2023: 5.5BQ1 2024: 5.6BQ2 2024: 5.5BQ3 2024: 5.5BQ4 2024: 5.5BQ1 2025: 5.4BQ2 2025: 5.5BQ3 2025: 5.5BQ4 2025: 5.5BQ1 2026: 5.7BQ2 2026: 5.8BQ3 2026: 5.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-56.5M shares
1 year+4.7%+257M shares
3 years+2.6%+148M shares
5 years+0.9%+54M shares
Available history+2.2%+123M shares

NOK has 5.7B diluted shares, up 4.7% from a year ago.

TSM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 5.2BQ1 2024: 5.2BQ2 2024: 5.2BQ3 2024: 5.2BQ4 2024: 5.2BQ1 2025: 5.2BQ2 2025: 5.2BQ3 2025: 5.2BQ4 2025: 5.2BQ1 2026: 5.2BQ2 2026: 5.2BQ3 2026: 5.2B
Q4 2023: 5.2BQ1 2024: 5.2BQ2 2024: 5.2BQ3 2024: 5.2BQ4 2024: 5.2BQ1 2025: 5.2BQ2 2025: 5.2BQ3 2025: 5.2BQ4 2025: 5.2BQ1 2026: 5.2BQ2 2026: 5.2BQ3 2026: 5.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+45.8K shares
1 year0%+391K shares
3 years0%+528K shares
5 years0%+324K shares
Available history0%+324K shares

TSM has the edge over NOK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NOK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash

NOK has more cash than debt.

TSM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.6xQ3 2026: -0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.6xQ3 2026: -0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash

TSM has the edge over NOK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NOK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic18.3Oversold

NOK's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

TSM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.8Neutral
Stochastic28.9Neutral

TSM's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).

NOK PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNOKSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

NOK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TSM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricTSMSector medianRelative
PE27x28x3.3% below
PE %453510 pts above

TSM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NOK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.149.4% below
20 week MA$9.9217% below
50 week MA$9.6614% below
100 week MA$7.3513% above
200 week MA$5.6746% above

NOK has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 46% above its 200-week average.

TSM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$424.44.4% below
20 week MA$422.44% below
50 week MA$386.54.9% above
100 week MA$304.533% above
200 week MA$215.688% above

TSM has the edge over NOK on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NOK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$3.63$3.89+7.2%
2021$3.89$6.19+59%
2022$6.19$4.64-25%
2023$4.64$3.42-26%
2024$3.42$4.48+31%
2025$4.48$6.62+48%
2026 YTD$6.62$8.28+25%

NOK has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 25% so far in 2026.

TSM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$58.5$106.0+81%
2021$106.0$120.7+14%
2022$120.7$74.9-38%
2023$74.9$104.0+39%
2024$104.0$201.6+94%
2025$201.6$302.8+50%
2026 YTD$302.8$405.5+34%

TSM has the edge over NOK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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