NOG

Northern Oil and Gas, Inc.

51
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

NOG lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

NOG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Strong
Unavailable

NOG's cash flow is currently strong, but its revenue and profitability are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NOG PE Valuation

NOG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NOG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NOG, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NOG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+40%$34.65
Downside-28%$17.82

Calculated from the latest close: $24.74 on Nov 12.

NOG's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +40% against −28%.

NOG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $10.03Q1 2024: $6.16Q2 2024: $5.64Q3 2024: $8.32Q4 2024: $5.14Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.06Q3 2025: $1.77Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $-6.31Q2 2026: $-5.12Q3 2026: $-4.85Forward: $4.69
Q4 2023: $10.03Q1 2024: $6.16Q2 2024: $5.64Q3 2024: $8.32Q4 2024: $5.14Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.06Q3 2025: $1.77Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $-6.31Q2 2026: $-5.12Q3 2026: $-4.85Forward: $4.69
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.69—
Q3 2026-$4.85-374%
Q2 2026-$5.12-184%
Q1 2026-$6.31-198%
Q4 2025$0.39-92%
Q3 2025$1.77-79%
Q2 2025$6.06+7.4%
Q1 2025$6.42+4.2%
Q4 2024$5.14-49%

NOG has swung to a loss: it lost $4.85 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

NOG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $794MQ1 2024: $396MQ2 2024: $561MQ3 2024: $754MQ4 2024: $515MQ1 2025: $602MQ2 2025: $707MQ3 2025: $557MQ4 2025: $610MQ1 2026: $5MQ2 2026: $745MQ3 2026: $346M
Q4 2023: $794MQ1 2024: $396MQ2 2024: $561MQ3 2024: $754MQ4 2024: $515MQ1 2025: $602MQ2 2025: $707MQ3 2025: $557MQ4 2025: $610MQ1 2026: $5MQ2 2026: $745MQ3 2026: $346M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$345.9M-38%
Q2 2026$745.2M+5.4%
Q1 2026$5M-99%
Q4 2025$610.2M+18%
Q3 2025$556.6M-26%
Q2 2025$706.8M+26%
Q1 2025$602.1M+52%
Q4 2024$515M-35%

NOG's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $346M last quarter, down 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

NOG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $342MQ1 2024: $392MQ2 2024: $340MQ3 2024: $386MQ4 2024: $290MQ1 2025: $407MQ2 2025: $362MQ3 2025: $423MQ4 2025: $313MQ1 2026: $324MQ2 2026: $322MQ3 2026: $398M
Q4 2023: $342MQ1 2024: $392MQ2 2024: $340MQ3 2024: $386MQ4 2024: $290MQ1 2025: $407MQ2 2025: $362MQ3 2025: $423MQ4 2025: $313MQ1 2026: $324MQ2 2026: $322MQ3 2026: $398M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$397.7M-6%
Q2 2026$321.6M-11%
Q1 2026$323.6M-20%
Q4 2025$312.6M+7.7%
Q3 2025$422.9M+9.6%
Q2 2025$362.2M+6.4%
Q1 2025$406.8M+3.8%
Q4 2024$290.3M-15%

NOG's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for six years: $1.4B over the past year, down 8.6% from the year before.

NOG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 92MQ1 2024: 102MQ2 2024: 102MQ3 2024: 101MQ4 2024: 101MQ1 2025: 100MQ2 2025: 99MQ3 2025: 97MQ4 2025: 99MQ1 2026: 99MQ2 2026: 108MQ3 2026: 106M
Q4 2023: 92MQ1 2024: 102MQ2 2024: 102MQ3 2024: 101MQ4 2024: 101MQ1 2025: 100MQ2 2025: 99MQ3 2025: 97MQ4 2025: 99MQ1 2026: 99MQ2 2026: 108MQ3 2026: 106M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2%-2.1M shares
1 year+9.1%+8.8M shares
3 years+13%+12.2M shares
5 years+59%+39.3M shares
Available history+174%+67.2M shares

NOG has 106M diluted shares, up 9.1% from a year ago, despite $83M in buybacks over the past year.

NOG Net Leverage

NOG's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NOG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.4Neutral
Stochastic57.4Neutral

NOG's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

NOG PE vs Energy Sector

MetricNOGSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

NOG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NOG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$25.42.6% below
20 week MA$24.03.1% above
50 week MA$24.31.8% above
100 week MA$26.35.8% below
200 week MA$31.622% below

NOG's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 22% below its 200-week average.

NOG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$23.5$8.96-62%
2021$8.96$19.9+122%
2022$19.9$31.8+59%
2023$31.8$37.1+17%
2024$37.1$36.0-2.8%
2025$36.0$21.4-41%
2026 YTD$21.4$24.7+16%

NOG's yearly returns have swung widely, from +122% in 2021 to −62% in 2020. It's up 16% so far in 2026.

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