NOA

North American Construction Group Ltd.

43
Fundamentals46/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NOA's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 7.2%, but its operating margin fell 3 points to 7.5%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

NOA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Stable
Under pressure

NOA's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

NOA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.3x$7.25-22%
Current12x$9.34—
Fair13x$9.84+5.3%
Expensive16x$12.63+35%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NOA's PE is 12x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

NOA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NOA, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NOA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+37%$12.79
Downside-26%$6.89

Calculated from the latest close: $9.34 on Nov 12.

NOA's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +37% against −26%.

NOA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.58Q4 2023: $1.44Q1 2024: $1.25Q2 2024: $1.25Q3 2024: $1.31Q4 2024: $1.03Q1 2025: $0.91Q2 2025: $0.84Q3 2025: $0.91Q4 2025: $0.78Q1 2026: $0.77Q2 2026: $0.78
Q3 2023: $1.58Q4 2023: $1.44Q1 2024: $1.25Q2 2024: $1.25Q3 2024: $1.31Q4 2024: $1.03Q1 2025: $0.91Q2 2025: $0.84Q3 2025: $0.91Q4 2025: $0.78Q1 2026: $0.77Q2 2026: $0.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.78-7.1%
Q1 2026$0.77-15%
Q4 2025$0.78-24%
Q3 2025$0.91-31%
Q2 2025$0.84-33%
Q1 2025$0.91-27%
Q4 2024$1.03-28%
Q3 2024$1.31-17%

NOA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.78 over the past year, against $1.74 in mid-2023.

NOA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $137MQ4 2023: $229MQ1 2024: $209MQ2 2024: $194MQ3 2024: $202MQ4 2024: $215MQ1 2025: $240MQ2 2025: $225MQ3 2025: $223MQ4 2025: $215MQ1 2026: $225MQ2 2026: $282M
Q3 2023: $137MQ4 2023: $229MQ1 2024: $209MQ2 2024: $194MQ3 2024: $202MQ4 2024: $215MQ1 2025: $240MQ2 2025: $225MQ3 2025: $223MQ4 2025: $215MQ1 2026: $225MQ2 2026: $282M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$282M+25%
Q1 2026$225M-6.1%
Q4 2025$214.7M-0.1%
Q3 2025$223M+11%
Q2 2025$225.4M+16%
Q1 2025$239.6M+15%
Q4 2024$214.8M-6.3%
Q3 2024$201.7M+47%

NOA's revenue is growing: $282M last quarter, up 25% from the same quarter a year ago.

NOA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$1MQ4 2023: $50MQ1 2024: −$41MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$11MQ4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: −$30MQ2 2025: −$7MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: −$13MQ2 2026: −$5M
Q3 2023: −$1MQ4 2023: $50MQ1 2024: −$41MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$11MQ4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: −$30MQ2 2025: −$7MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: −$13MQ2 2026: −$5M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$4.9M+$2.5M
Q1 2026-$13.4M+$16.4M
Q4 2025$4.4M-71%
Q3 2025$17.6M+$28.7M
Q2 2025-$7.4M+$2.9M
Q1 2025-$29.8M+$11M
Q4 2024$15.4M-69%
Q3 2024-$11.2M-$9.8M

NOA's free cash flow has turned positive after three years mostly in the red: $4M over the past year.

NOA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 33MQ4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 29MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 28M
Q3 2023: 33MQ4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 29MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 28M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2%-561K shares
1 year-14%-4.6M shares
3 years-15%-5.1M shares
5 years-6.9%-2.1M shares
Available history-16%-5.4M shares

NOA has 28M diluted shares, down 14% from a year ago, with $36M in buybacks over the past year.

NOA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 1.9xQ4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.6xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 1.8xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 3.1x
Q3 2023: 1.9xQ4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.6xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 1.8xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 3.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20262.6xModerate
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20251.8xHealthy
Q2 20252.7xModerate
Q1 20252.5xModerate
Q4 20242.6xModerate
Q3 20242.4xModerate

NOA's net debt is about 3.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.6 years a year ago.

NOA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI28.1Oversold
Stochastic13.6Oversold

NOA's weekly RSI is 28 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

NOA PE vs Energy Sector

MetricNOASector medianRelative
PE12x13x8.3% below
PE %456116 pts below

NOA is trading at 12x earnings, in line with the Energy sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

NOA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.217% below
20 week MA$12.626% below
50 week MA$13.832% below
100 week MA$15.038% below
200 week MA$17.647% below

NOA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 47% below its 200-week average.

NOA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$12.2$9.37-23%
2021$9.37$14.4+53%
2022$14.4$12.9-10%
2023$12.9$20.9+62%
2024$20.9$21.2+1.5%
2025$21.2$13.8-35%
2026 YTD$13.8$9.34-32%

NOA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 32% so far in 2026.

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