NNI

Nelnet, Inc.

41
Fundamentals42/ 100
Valuation37/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

NNI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has the edge over NNI overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

NNI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

NNI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NNI.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

NNI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.1x$53.77-57%
Fair15x$110-12%
Forward15x$125—
Current16x$125—
Expensive26x$200+60%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NNI's PE is in its fair range at 16x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 15x.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI has the edge over NNI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NNI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect NNI's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

SOFI has the edge over NNI on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

NNI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+10%$136.85
Downside-16%$105.18

Calculated from the latest close: $124.83 on Nov 12.

NNI trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NNI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NNI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.45Q1 2024: $3.71Q2 2024: $4.19Q3 2024: $3.05Q4 2024: $5.02Q1 2025: $5.31Q2 2025: $9.05Q3 2025: $11.92Q4 2025: $11.79Q1 2026: $11.50Q2 2026: $8.38Q3 2026: $7.57Forward: $8.43
Q4 2023: $2.45Q1 2024: $3.71Q2 2024: $4.19Q3 2024: $3.05Q4 2024: $5.02Q1 2025: $5.31Q2 2025: $9.05Q3 2025: $11.92Q4 2025: $11.79Q1 2026: $11.50Q2 2026: $8.38Q3 2026: $7.57Forward: $8.43
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.43+11%
Q3 2026$7.57-36%
Q2 2026$8.38-7.4%
Q1 2026$11.50+117%
Q4 2025$11.79+135%
Q3 2025$11.92+291%
Q2 2025$9.05+116%
Q1 2025$5.31+43%
Q4 2024$5.02+105%

NNI has the edge over SOFI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

NNI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $70MQ1 2024: $74MQ2 2024: $66MQ3 2024: $72MQ4 2024: $80MQ1 2025: $83MQ2 2025: $79MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: $102MQ2 2026: $96MQ3 2026: $101M
Q4 2023: $70MQ1 2024: $74MQ2 2024: $66MQ3 2024: $72MQ4 2024: $80MQ1 2025: $83MQ2 2025: $79MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: $102MQ2 2026: $96MQ3 2026: $101M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$101.4M+19%
Q2 2026$96M+21%
Q1 2026$101.6M+23%
Q4 2025$107.1M+34%
Q3 2025$85.3M+18%
Q2 2025$79.4M+20%
Q1 2025$82.7M+11%
Q4 2024$80.1M+15%

NNI's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $101M last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI has the edge over NNI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NNI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $58MQ1 2024: $189MQ2 2024: $123MQ3 2024: $133MQ4 2024: $198MQ1 2025: $88MQ2 2025: $78MQ3 2025: $101MQ4 2025: $130MQ1 2026: $62MQ2 2026: $72MQ3 2026: $188M
Q4 2023: $58MQ1 2024: $189MQ2 2024: $123MQ3 2024: $133MQ4 2024: $198MQ1 2025: $88MQ2 2025: $78MQ3 2025: $101MQ4 2025: $130MQ1 2026: $62MQ2 2026: $72MQ3 2026: $188M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$187.9M+87%
Q2 2026$71.6M-8.3%
Q1 2026$61.6M-30%
Q4 2025$130.1M-34%
Q3 2025$100.8M-24%
Q2 2025$78.1M-36%
Q1 2025$87.8M-53%
Q4 2024$197.9M+239%

NNI has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

NNI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 37MQ2 2024: 37MQ3 2024: 36MQ4 2024: 37MQ1 2025: 36MQ2 2025: 36MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 36MQ3 2026: 36M
Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 37MQ2 2024: 37MQ3 2024: 36MQ4 2024: 37MQ1 2025: 36MQ2 2025: 36MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 36MQ3 2026: 36M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-192K shares
1 year-1.3%-471K shares
3 years-4.4%-1.7M shares
5 years-7.1%-2.8M shares
Available history-10%-4.2M shares

NNI has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

NNI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 70.4xQ1 2024: 45.6xQ2 2024: 37.2xQ3 2024: 45.8xQ4 2024: 25.5xQ1 2025: 26.4xQ2 2025: 15.7xQ3 2025: 12.2xQ4 2025: 12.1xQ1 2026: 12.8xQ2 2026: 16.6xQ3 2026: 18.1x
Q4 2023: 70.4xQ1 2024: 45.6xQ2 2024: 37.2xQ3 2024: 45.8xQ4 2024: 25.5xQ1 2025: 26.4xQ2 2025: 15.7xQ3 2025: 12.2xQ4 2025: 12.1xQ1 2026: 12.8xQ2 2026: 16.6xQ3 2026: 18.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202618.1xHigh
Q2 202616.6xHigh
Q1 202612.8xHigh
Q4 202512.1xHigh
Q3 202512.2xHigh
Q2 202515.7xHigh
Q1 202526.4xHigh
Q4 202425.5xHigh

NNI's net debt is about 18 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 12 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NNI.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has the edge over NNI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NNI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.5Neutral
Stochastic32.3Neutral

NNI's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

NNI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricNNISector medianRelative
PE16x13x27% above
PE %57636 pts below

NNI has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

NNI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$125.20.3% below
20 week MA$128.42.8% below
50 week MA$130.44.3% below
100 week MA$124.30.5% above
200 week MA$110.713% above

NNI has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.

NNI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$58.5$68.7+17%
2021$68.7$97.6+42%
2022$97.6$89.6-8.2%
2023$89.6$88.2-1.5%
2024$88.2$106.2+20%
2025$106.2$135.7+28%
2026 YTD$135.7$124.8-8%

NNI has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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