NMAX

Newsmax, Inc.

68
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

NMAX has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDDT

Reddit, Inc.

70
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

RDDT has a slight edge over NMAX overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

NMAX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NMAX's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

RDDT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

RDDT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NMAX PE Valuation

LevelPEPriceVs current
Current75x$7.29—
Forward2,187x$7.29—
CheapN/AN/AN/A
FairN/AN/AN/A
ExpensiveN/AN/AN/A

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NMAX has the edge over RDDT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

RDDT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward16x$99.55—
Current20x$99.55—
Cheap35x$171+72%
Fair46x$228+129%
Expensive53x$262+163%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RDDT's PE is 20x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

NMAX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect NMAX to return to profit, with revenue growing.

RDDT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

RDDT has the edge over NMAX on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

NMAX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$11.91
Downside-39%$4.48

Calculated from the latest close: $7.29 on Nov 12.

NMAX trails RDDT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDDT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+77%$175.99
Downside-41%$58.49

Calculated from the latest close: $99.55 on Nov 12.

RDDT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NMAX, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NMAX Earnings Per Share

Q2 2024: $-1.92Q3 2024: $-1.70Q4 2024: $-1.44Q1 2025: $-0.80Q2 2025: $-1.25Q3 2025: $-1.19Q4 2025: $-1.13Q1 2026: $-0.66Q2 2026: $-0.05Q3 2026: $0.10Forward: $0.00
Q2 2024: $-1.92Q3 2024: $-1.70Q4 2024: $-1.44Q1 2025: $-0.80Q2 2025: $-1.25Q3 2025: $-1.19Q4 2025: $-1.13Q1 2026: $-0.66Q2 2026: $-0.05Q3 2026: $0.10Forward: $0.00
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.00-97%
Q3 2026$0.10+$1.29
Q2 2026-$0.05+$1.20
Q1 2026-$0.66+$0.14
Q4 2025-$1.13+$0.31
Q3 2025-$1.19+$0.51
Q2 2025-$1.25+$0.67

RDDT has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 92% for NMAX versus RDDT down 39%.

RDDT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.32+29%
Q3 2024-$7.98-$7.17
Q2 2024-$8.19-$7.15
Q1 2024-$8.38-$7.25
Q4 2023-$0.56+$0.41
Q3 2023-$0.81-$0.02
Q2 2023-$1.04-$0.48
Q1 2023-$1.13-$0.48
Q4 2022-$0.97-$0.19

RDDT has returned to profit: it earned $4.90 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

NMAX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $44MQ4 2024: $48MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $46MQ3 2025: $45MQ4 2025: $52MQ1 2026: $52MQ2 2026: $54MQ3 2026: $69M
Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $44MQ4 2024: $48MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $46MQ3 2025: $45MQ4 2025: $52MQ1 2026: $52MQ2 2026: $54MQ3 2026: $69M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$69M+52%
Q2 2026$54.1M+17%
Q1 2026$51.7M+14%
Q4 2025$52.2M+9.6%
Q3 2025$45.3M+4%
Q2 2025$46.4M+18%
Q1 2025$45.3M+12%
Q4 2024$47.7M+26%

NMAX's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2024: $69M last quarter, up 52% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDDT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$895M+53%
Q2 2026$804.9M+61%
Q1 2026$663.4M+69%
Q4 2025$725.6M+70%
Q3 2025$584.9M+68%
Q2 2025$499.6M+78%
Q1 2025$392.4M+61%
Q4 2024$427.7M+71%

RDDT has the edge over NMAX on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NMAX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1MQ1 2024: −$3MQ2 2024: −$4MQ3 2024: −$14MQ4 2024: −$28MQ1 2025: −$16MQ2 2025: −$24MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: −$1MQ3 2026: $10M
Q4 2023: $1MQ1 2024: −$3MQ2 2024: −$4MQ3 2024: −$14MQ4 2024: −$28MQ1 2025: −$16MQ2 2025: −$24MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: −$1MQ3 2026: $10M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$9.6M+$78.8M
Q2 2026-$1.3M+$22.6M
Q1 2026-$2.9M+$12.9M
Q4 2025$1.8M+$29.8M
Q3 2025-$69.2M-$55.2M
Q2 2025-$23.8M-$19.6M
Q1 2025-$15.8M-$12.4M
Q4 2024-$28M-2550%

NMAX's free cash flow has turned positive after two years mostly in the red: $7M over the past year.

RDDT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$362.6M+98%
Q2 2026$260.7M+135%
Q1 2026$311.2M+146%
Q4 2025$263.6M+196%
Q3 2025$183.1M+161%
Q2 2025$110.8M+308%
Q1 2025$126.6M+333%
Q4 2024$89.2M+$111.2M

RDDT has the edge over NMAX on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NMAX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 82MQ1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 128MQ4 2024: 128MQ1 2025: 45MQ2 2025: 128MQ3 2025: 128MQ4 2025: 108MQ1 2026: 128MQ2 2026: 129MQ3 2026: 129M
Q4 2023: 82MQ1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 128MQ4 2024: 128MQ1 2025: 45MQ2 2025: 128MQ3 2025: 128MQ4 2025: 108MQ1 2026: 128MQ2 2026: 129MQ3 2026: 129M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-60.2K shares
1 year+0.6%+745K shares
3 years+57%+47.1M shares

NMAX has 129M diluted shares, up 0.6% from a year ago.

RDDT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-169K shares
1 year-0.4%-868K shares
3 years+24%+38.5M shares
5 years+24%+38.5M shares

RDDT has the edge over NMAX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NMAX Net Leverage

Q3 2026: -2.1x
Q3 2026: -2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.1xNet Cash

NMAX has the edge over RDDT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

RDDT Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-5.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-13.1xNet Cash

RDDT has more cash than debt.

NMAX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.7Neutral
Stochastic5.5Oversold

NMAX's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

RDDT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.8Neutral
Stochastic6.5Oversold

RDDT's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

NMAX PE vs Communication Services Sector

RDDT PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricRDDTSector medianRelative
PE20x16x23% above
PE %52318 pts below

RDDT is trading at 20x earnings, a 23% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.

NMAX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.7617% below
20 week MA$9.2321% below
50 week MA$8.049.3% below

RDDT has stronger trend alignment. NMAX is above 0 of 3 weekly averages versus RDDT above 0 of 4.

RDDT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$130.624% below
20 week MA$151.734% below
50 week MA$165.040% below
100 week MA$167.140% below

RDDT is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 100-week average.

NMAX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$45.0$8.67-81%
2026 YTD$8.67$7.29-16%

NMAX has the edge over RDDT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RDDT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$46.0$173.5+277%
2025$173.5$225.8+30%
2026 YTD$225.8$99.6-56%

RDDT has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's down 56% so far in 2026.

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