NLY

Annaly Capital Management, Inc.

36
Fundamentals45/ 100
Valuation9/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

NLY's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 11x earnings, more than twice its usual 4.3x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.

OPEN

Opendoor Technologies Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score OPEN yet.

NLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Stable
N/A
N/A

NLY's profitability is currently stable. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for real estate companies like NLY.

OPEN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
N/A
N/A

OPEN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for real estate companies like OPEN.

NLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap2.9x$4.54-74%
Fair4.3x$6.70-62%
Forward5.6x$17.57โ€”
Expensive9.6x$15.12-14%
Current11x$17.57โ€”

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NLY's PE is in its expensive range at 11x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 5.6x.

OPEN PE Valuation

OPEN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Growth
--
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect NLY's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady.

OPEN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect OPEN's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$20.17
Downside-12%$15.38

Calculated from the latest close: $17.57 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare NLY and OPEN's risk to reward.

OPEN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $1.24 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare NLY and OPEN's risk to reward.

NLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.61Q1 2024: $-0.97Q2 2025: $1.04Q3 2025: $2.19Q4 2025: $2.92Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $4.13Q3 2026: $1.57Forward: $3.13
Q4 2023: $-3.61Q1 2024: $-0.97Q2 2025: $1.04Q3 2025: $2.19Q4 2025: $2.92Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $4.13Q3 2026: $1.57Forward: $3.13
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.13+99%
Q3 2026$1.57-28%
Q2 2026$4.13+297%
Q1 2024-$0.97+$1.46
Q4 2023-$3.61-175%
Q3 2023-$4.87-161%
Q2 2023-$4.36-143%
Q1 2023-$2.43-135%
Q4 2022$4.80-25%

NLY has the edge over OPEN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

OPEN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.42Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.58Q3 2024: $-0.53Q4 2024: $-0.56Q1 2025: $-0.52Q2 2025: $-0.43Q3 2025: $-0.44Q4 2025: $-1.70Q1 2026: $-1.76Q2 2026: $-1.89Q3 2026: $-2.00
Q4 2023: $-0.42Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.58Q3 2024: $-0.53Q4 2024: $-0.56Q1 2025: $-0.52Q2 2025: $-0.43Q3 2025: $-0.44Q4 2025: $-1.70Q1 2026: $-1.76Q2 2026: $-1.89Q3 2026: $-2.00
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.00-$1.56
Q2 2026-$1.89-$1.46
Q1 2026-$1.76-$1.24
Q4 2025-$1.70-$1.14
Q3 2025-$0.44+$0.09
Q2 2025-$0.43+$0.15
Q1 2025-$0.52-$0.10
Q4 2024-$0.56-$0.14

OPEN lost $2.00 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last five quarters.

NLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --

NLY and OPEN do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

OPEN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $870MQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $915MQ4 2025: $736MQ1 2026: $720MQ2 2026: $883MQ3 2026: $1B
Q4 2023: $870MQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $915MQ4 2025: $736MQ1 2026: $720MQ2 2026: $883MQ3 2026: $1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1B+12%
Q2 2026$883M-44%
Q1 2026$720M-38%
Q4 2025$736M-32%
Q3 2025$915M-34%
Q2 2025$1.6B+3.7%
Q1 2025$1.2B-2.4%
Q4 2024$1.1B+25%

OPEN's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $1B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

NLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $379MQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $477MQ3 2024: โˆ’$1.7BQ4 2024: $2.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$156MQ2 2025: $181MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $644MQ1 2026: โˆ’$1.4BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $2.9B
Q4 2023: $379MQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $477MQ3 2024: โˆ’$1.7BQ4 2024: $2.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$156MQ2 2025: $181MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $644MQ1 2026: โˆ’$1.4BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $2.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9B+11752%
Q2 2026$1.6B+796%
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$1.2B
Q4 2025$644.3M-77%
Q3 2025$24.1M+$1.7B
Q2 2025$180.7M-62%
Q1 2025-$156.3M-109%
Q4 2024$2.8B+642%

NLY has the edge over OPEN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

OPEN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$551MQ1 2024: โˆ’$186MQ2 2024: โˆ’$407MQ3 2024: $56MQ4 2024: โˆ’$83MQ1 2025: โˆ’$283MQ2 2025: $821MQ3 2025: $432MQ4 2025: $67MQ1 2026: โˆ’$250MQ2 2026: โˆ’$723MQ3 2026: โˆ’$836M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$551MQ1 2024: โˆ’$186MQ2 2024: โˆ’$407MQ3 2024: $56MQ4 2024: โˆ’$83MQ1 2025: โˆ’$283MQ2 2025: $821MQ3 2025: $432MQ4 2025: $67MQ1 2026: โˆ’$250MQ2 2026: โˆ’$723MQ3 2026: โˆ’$836M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$836M-294%
Q2 2026-$723M-188%
Q1 2026-$250M+$33M
Q4 2025$67M+$150M
Q3 2025$432M+671%
Q2 2025$821M+$1.2B
Q1 2025-$283M-$97M
Q4 2024-$83M+$468M

OPEN's free cash flow was โˆ’$1.7B over the past year, against $887M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for real estate companies like OPEN.

NLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 495MQ1 2024: 501MQ3 2024: 517MQ4 2024: 523MQ1 2025: 588MQ2 2025: 621MQ3 2025: 658MQ4 2025: 641MQ1 2026: 724MQ2 2026: 740MQ3 2026: 764M
Q4 2023: 495MQ1 2024: 501MQ3 2024: 517MQ4 2024: 523MQ1 2025: 588MQ2 2025: 621MQ3 2025: 658MQ4 2025: 641MQ1 2026: 724MQ2 2026: 740MQ3 2026: 764M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+24.1M shares
1 year+16%+107M shares
3 years+55%+270M shares
5 years+117%+412M shares
Available history+113%+406M shares

NLY has the edge over OPEN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OPEN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 657MQ1 2024: 682MQ2 2024: 693MQ3 2024: 705MQ4 2024: 699MQ1 2025: 724MQ2 2025: 729MQ3 2025: 742MQ1 2026: 959MQ2 2026: 966MQ3 2026: 949M
Q4 2023: 657MQ1 2024: 682MQ2 2024: 693MQ3 2024: 705MQ4 2024: 699MQ1 2025: 724MQ2 2025: 729MQ3 2025: 742MQ1 2026: 959MQ2 2026: 966MQ3 2026: 949M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.7%-16.3M shares
1 year+30%+220M shares
3 years+42%+282M shares
5 years+61%+361M shares
Available history+1042%+866M shares

OPEN has 949M diluted shares, up 30% from a year ago.

NLY Net Leverage

OPEN Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2022337.2xHigh

OPEN's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for real estate companies like OPEN.

NLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI26.5Oversold
Stochastic8.6Oversold

NLY's weekly RSI is 27 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

OPEN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI20.6Oversold
Stochastic1.2Oversold

OPEN's weekly RSI is 21 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 1 (oversold).

NLY PE vs Real Estate Sector

MetricNLYSector medianRelative
PE11x24x53% below
PE %912368 pts above

NLY is trading at 11x earnings, a 53% discount to the Real Estate sector's median of 24x.

OPEN PE vs Real Estate Sector

OPEN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$18.65.4% below
20 week MA$21.016% below
50 week MA$21.920% below
100 week MA$21.117% below
200 week MA$20.314% below

NLY is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

OPEN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.9737% below
20 week MA$3.0059% below
50 week MA$4.3772% below
100 week MA$3.7467% below
200 week MA$3.1360% below

OPEN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 60% below its 200-week average.

NLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$39.0$33.8-13%
2021$33.8$32.8-3%
2022$32.8$22.5-31%
2023$22.5$19.4-14%
2024$19.4$18.9-2.2%
2025$18.9$23.1+22%
2026 YTD$23.1$17.6-24%

NLY has the edge over OPEN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

OPEN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.9$27.4+150%
2021$27.4$14.9-46%
2022$14.9$1.02-93%
2023$1.02$4.48+339%
2024$4.48$1.67-63%
2025$1.67$6.01+260%
2026 YTD$6.01$1.24-79%

OPEN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +339% in 2023 to โˆ’93% in 2022. It's down 79% so far in 2026.

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