NKSH

National Bankshares, Inc.

69
Fundamentals80/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

NKSH has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has a slight edge over NKSH overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

NKSH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

NKSH's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NKSH.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

NKSH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.3x13x19x25x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.3x13x19x25x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.6x$32.39-18%
Forward10x$39.59—
Current12x$39.59—
Fair13x$42.43+7.2%
Expensive17x$56.42+42%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKSH's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI has the edge over NKSH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NKSH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NKSH, with profitability improving.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SOFI, with profitability improving.

NKSH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+34%$53.04
Downside-12%$34.69

Calculated from the latest close: $39.59 on Nov 12.

NKSH trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NKSH, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKSH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.66Q1 2024: $2.26Q2 2024: $1.55Q3 2024: $1.45Q4 2024: $1.24Q1 2025: $1.38Q2 2025: $1.79Q3 2025: $2.06Q4 2025: $2.49Q1 2026: $2.76Q2 2026: $3.19Q3 2026: $3.36Forward: $3.85
Q4 2023: $2.66Q1 2024: $2.26Q2 2024: $1.55Q3 2024: $1.45Q4 2024: $1.24Q1 2025: $1.38Q2 2025: $1.79Q3 2025: $2.06Q4 2025: $2.49Q1 2026: $2.76Q2 2026: $3.19Q3 2026: $3.36Forward: $3.85
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.85+15%
Q3 2026$3.36+63%
Q2 2026$3.19+78%
Q1 2026$2.76+100%
Q4 2025$2.49+101%
Q3 2025$2.06+42%
Q2 2025$1.79+15%
Q1 2025$1.38-39%
Q4 2024$1.24-53%

NKSH has the edge over SOFI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

NKSH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $16MQ3 2026: $16M
Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $16MQ3 2026: $16M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.4M+16%
Q2 2026$15.7M+18%
Q1 2026$15.3M+19%
Q4 2025$15.3M+25%
Q3 2025$14.2M+21%
Q2 2025$13.3M+21%
Q1 2025$12.8M+23%
Q4 2024$12.2M+14%

NKSH's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $16M last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI has the edge over NKSH on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NKSH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: $7M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: $7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$7.1M+33%
Q2 2026$3.3M+118%
Q1 2026$3.1M+92%
Q4 2025$6.7M+50%
Q2 2025$1.5M+$4.5M
Q1 2025$1.6M-58%
Q2 2024-$2.9M-173%
Q1 2024$3.8M-11%

NKSH has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

NKSH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 6MQ1 2024: 6MQ2 2024: 6MQ3 2024: 6MQ4 2024: 6MQ1 2025: 6MQ2 2025: 6MQ3 2025: 6MQ4 2025: 6MQ1 2026: 6MQ2 2026: 6MQ3 2026: 6M
Q4 2023: 6MQ1 2024: 6MQ2 2024: 6MQ3 2024: 6MQ4 2024: 6MQ1 2025: 6MQ2 2025: 6MQ3 2025: 6MQ4 2025: 6MQ1 2026: 6MQ2 2026: 6MQ3 2026: 6M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1.3K shares
1 year+0.1%+5.1K shares
3 years+8.1%+479K shares
5 years+3.7%+226K shares
Available history-3.2%-212K shares

NKSH has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

NKSH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -7.3xQ2 2024: -8.4xQ3 2024: -4.3xQ4 2024: -10.5xQ1 2025: -10.6xQ2 2025: -6.3xQ3 2025: -2.5xQ4 2025: -2.9xQ1 2026: -2.7xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -7.3xQ2 2024: -8.4xQ3 2024: -4.3xQ4 2024: -10.5xQ1 2025: -10.6xQ2 2025: -6.3xQ3 2025: -2.5xQ4 2025: -2.9xQ1 2026: -2.7xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-6.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-10.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-10.5xNet Cash

NKSH has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NKSH.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has the edge over NKSH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NKSH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.8Neutral
Stochastic18.9Oversold

NKSH's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

NKSH PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricNKSHSector medianRelative
PE12x13x9.5% below
PE %426321 pts below

NKSH has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

NKSH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$41.34.2% below
20 week MA$40.62.4% below
50 week MA$37.75% above
100 week MA$32.920% above
200 week MA$31.825% above

NKSH has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.

NKSH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$46.1$31.7-31%
2021$31.7$35.6+12%
2022$35.6$39.8+12%
2023$39.8$32.4-19%
2024$32.4$28.4-12%
2025$28.4$33.9+19%
2026 YTD$33.9$39.6+17%

NKSH has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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