NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks cheap: trading at 18x earnings, below its usual 33x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady, though they disagree widely on how much.

ZGN

Ermenegildo Zegna N.V.

There isn't enough reported data to score ZGN yet.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

ZGN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Strong
Unavailable
Strong

ZGN's profitability and balance sheet are currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76โ€”
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76โ€”
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over ZGN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ZGN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap23x$9.68-29%
Fair26x$10.98-19%
Current41x$13.57โ€”
Expensive54x$22.47+66%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ZGN's PE is 41x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ZGN Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for ZGN to show an outlook.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare NKE and ZGN's risk to reward.

ZGN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $13.57 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare NKE and ZGN's risk to reward.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

ZGN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.41Q4 2025: $0.42
Q4 2024: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.41Q4 2025: $0.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q4 2025$0.42+27%

ZGN and NKE do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

ZGN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2020: $680MQ2 2021: $676MQ4 2021: $760MQ2 2022: $810MQ4 2022: $849MQ2 2023: $1BQ4 2023: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2020: $680MQ2 2021: $676MQ4 2021: $760MQ2 2022: $810MQ4 2022: $849MQ2 2023: $1BQ4 2023: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1.1B+7.9%
Q4 2025$1.1B+0.3%
Q2 2025$1B-3.4%
Q4 2024$1.1B-1.5%
Q2 2024$1.1B+6.3%
Q4 2023$1.1B+31%
Q2 2023$1B+24%
Q4 2022$848.6M+12%

ZGN has the edge over NKE in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: โˆ’$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: โˆ’$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was โˆ’$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

ZGN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2020: $131MQ2 2021: $82MQ4 2021: $138MQ2 2022: $14MQ4 2022: $94MQ2 2023: $91MQ4 2023: $152MQ2 2024: $81MQ4 2024: $118MQ2 2025: $71MQ4 2025: $213MQ2 2026: $123M
Q4 2020: $131MQ2 2021: $82MQ4 2021: $138MQ2 2022: $14MQ4 2022: $94MQ2 2023: $91MQ4 2023: $152MQ2 2024: $81MQ4 2024: $118MQ2 2025: $71MQ4 2025: $213MQ2 2026: $123M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$122.7M+73%
Q4 2025$212.6M+80%
Q2 2025$70.7M-12%
Q4 2024$118.3M-22%
Q2 2024$80.6M-11%
Q4 2023$151.6M+61%
Q2 2023$91M+552%
Q4 2022$94.1M-32%

ZGN generated $524M in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has the edge over ZGN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ZGN Total Shares

Q4 2020: 222MQ2 2021: 203MQ4 2021: 205MQ2 2022: 239MQ4 2022: 242MQ4 2023: 252MQ2 2024: 253MQ4 2024: 254MQ2 2025: 256MQ4 2025: 261MQ2 2026: 270M
Q4 2020: 222MQ2 2021: 203MQ4 2021: 205MQ2 2022: 239MQ4 2022: 242MQ4 2023: 252MQ2 2024: 253MQ4 2024: 254MQ2 2025: 256MQ4 2025: 261MQ2 2026: 270M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.4%+8.8M shares
1 year+6.7%+17M shares
3 years+12%+27.9M shares

ZGN has 270M diluted shares, up 6.7% from a year ago.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ZGN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low
Q2 20240.4xVery low
Q4 20230.3xVery low

ZGN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

ZGN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.6Neutral
Stochastic54.9Neutral

ZGN's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE has the edge over ZGN on valuation relative to its sector.

ZGN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricZGNSector medianRelative
PE41x18x128% above
PE %785523 pts above

ZGN is trading at 41x earnings, a 128% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

ZGN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.23% above
20 week MA$13.41.3% above
50 week MA$12.211% above
100 week MA$10.430% above
200 week MA$11.221% above

ZGN has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

ZGN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$12.0$12.00%
2022$12.0$10.0-17%
2023$10.0$11.6+16%
2024$11.6$8.35-28%
2025$8.35$10.5+25%
2026 YTD$10.5$13.6+30%

ZGN has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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