NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

YETI

YETI Holdings, Inc.

70
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

YETI has the edge over NKE overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

YETI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

YETI's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over YETI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

YETI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x39x58x77x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x39x58x77x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$38.30—
Current16x$38.30—
Cheap17x$41.93+9.5%
Fair25x$59.81+56%
Expensive53x$128+233%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

YETI's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

YETI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
High

YETI has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE trails YETI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

YETI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$56.99
Downside-16%$32.35

Calculated from the latest close: $38.30 on Nov 12.

YETI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NKE, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

YETI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.94Q1 2024: $2.00Q2 2024: $2.15Q3 2024: $2.32Q4 2024: $2.05Q1 2025: $2.07Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $1.91Q1 2026: $2.03Q2 2026: $1.96Q3 2026: $2.29Q4 2026: $2.41Forward: $3.26
Q4 2023: $1.94Q1 2024: $2.00Q2 2024: $2.15Q3 2024: $2.32Q4 2024: $2.05Q1 2025: $2.07Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $1.91Q1 2026: $2.03Q2 2026: $1.96Q3 2026: $2.29Q4 2026: $2.41Forward: $3.26
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.26+35%
Q3 2026$2.41+26%
Q2 2026$2.29+9.6%
Q1 2026$1.96-5.3%
Q4 2025$2.03-1%
Q3 2025$1.91-18%
Q2 2025$2.09-2.8%
Q1 2025$2.07+3.5%
Q4 2024$2.05+5.7%

YETI has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

YETI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $520MQ1 2024: $341MQ2 2024: $463MQ3 2024: $478MQ4 2024: $547MQ1 2025: $351MQ2 2025: $446MQ3 2025: $488MQ1 2026: $584MQ2 2026: $380MQ3 2026: $484MQ4 2026: $509M
Q4 2023: $520MQ1 2024: $341MQ2 2024: $463MQ3 2024: $478MQ4 2024: $547MQ1 2025: $351MQ2 2025: $446MQ3 2025: $488MQ1 2026: $584MQ2 2026: $380MQ3 2026: $484MQ4 2026: $509M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$509.4M+4.4%
Q2 2026$483.9M+8.5%
Q1 2026$380.4M+8.3%
Q4 2025$583.7M+6.8%
Q3 2025$487.8M+1.9%
Q2 2025$445.9M-3.8%
Q1 2025$351.1M+2.9%
Q4 2024$546.5M+5.1%

YETI has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

YETI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $159MQ1 2024: −$114MQ2 2024: $45MQ3 2024: $74MQ4 2024: $215MQ1 2025: −$89MQ2 2025: $50MQ3 2025: $63MQ1 2026: $162MQ2 2026: −$44MQ3 2026: $48MQ4 2026: $67M
Q4 2023: $159MQ1 2024: −$114MQ2 2024: $45MQ3 2024: $74MQ4 2024: $215MQ1 2025: −$89MQ2 2025: $50MQ3 2025: $63MQ1 2026: $162MQ2 2026: −$44MQ3 2026: $48MQ4 2026: $67M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$67.4M+7.1%
Q2 2026$48.1M-4.1%
Q1 2026-$43.8M+$45.4M
Q4 2025$162M-25%
Q3 2025$62.9M-15%
Q2 2025$50.2M+12%
Q1 2025-$89.2M+$25.1M
Q4 2024$215.1M+35%

YETI has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

YETI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 87MQ1 2024: 87MQ2 2024: 85MQ3 2024: 85MQ4 2024: 86MQ1 2025: 84MQ2 2025: 83MQ3 2025: 81MQ1 2026: 82MQ2 2026: 77MQ3 2026: 76MQ4 2026: 74M
Q4 2023: 87MQ1 2024: 87MQ2 2024: 85MQ3 2024: 85MQ4 2024: 86MQ1 2025: 84MQ2 2025: 83MQ3 2025: 81MQ1 2026: 82MQ2 2026: 77MQ3 2026: 76MQ4 2026: 74M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.1%-1.6M shares
1 year-8.9%-7.3M shares
3 years-15%-13.4M shares
5 years-16%-14.6M shares
Available history-14%-12.2M shares

YETI has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

YETI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.3xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: 0.1xQ4 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: -1.3xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: 0.1xQ4 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

YETI has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

YETI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.1Neutral
Stochastic24.9Neutral

YETI's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

YETI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricYETISector medianRelative
PE16x18x12% below
PE %74740 pts below

YETI has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has the edge over YETI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

YETI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$42.08.7% below
20 week MA$44.514% below
50 week MA$44.213% below
100 week MA$39.22.4% below
200 week MA$40.24.6% below

YETI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 4.6% below its 200-week average.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

YETI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.0$73.1+109%
2021$73.1$83.4+14%
2022$83.4$41.5-50%
2023$41.5$51.8+25%
2024$51.8$39.4-24%
2025$39.4$45.8+16%
2026 YTD$45.8$38.3-16%

YETI has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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