NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks cheap: trading at 18x earnings, below its usual 33x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady, though they disagree widely on how much.

XELB

Xcel Brands, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score XELB yet.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

XELB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Weak
Strong

XELB's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76โ€”
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76โ€”
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.

XELB PE Valuation

XELB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

XELB Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for XELB to show an outlook.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare NKE and XELB's risk to reward.

XELB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $0.35 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare NKE and XELB's risk to reward.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 7.2% for NKE versus XELB down 236%.

XELB Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-10.20Q4 2023: $-10.70Q1 2024: $-10.90Q2 2024: $-9.00Q3 2024: $-10.30Q4 2024: $-16.05Q1 2025: $-14.13Q2 2025: $-15.89Q3 2025: $-14.01
Q3 2023: $-10.20Q4 2023: $-10.70Q1 2024: $-10.90Q2 2024: $-9.00Q3 2024: $-10.30Q4 2024: $-16.05Q1 2025: $-14.13Q2 2025: $-15.89Q3 2025: $-14.01
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2025-$14.01-$3.71
Q2 2025-$15.89-$6.89
Q1 2025-$14.13-$3.23
Q4 2024-$16.05-$5.35
Q3 2024-$10.30-$0.10
Q2 2024-$9.00+$0.70
Q1 2024-$10.90-$7.80
Q4 2023-$10.70-$8.70

XELB lost $14.01 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE has the edge over XELB on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

XELB Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $3MQ4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: $1MQ2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $1M
Q3 2023: $3MQ4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: $1MQ2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $1M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1.1M-15%
Q1 2026$1.1M-14%
Q4 2025$1.2M-3.4%
Q3 2025$1.1M-42%
Q2 2025$1.3M-55%
Q1 2025$1.3M-39%
Q4 2024$1.2M-47%
Q3 2024$1.9M-27%

XELB's revenue has slid since its 2019 peak: $1M last quarter, down 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: โˆ’$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: โˆ’$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

XELB has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 16% versus its history, compared with NKE at down 52%.

XELB Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: โˆ’$1MQ4 2023: โˆ’$4MQ1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: โˆ’$432,000Q4 2024: โˆ’$1MQ1 2025: โˆ’$1MQ2 2025: โˆ’$2MQ3 2025: โˆ’$1MQ4 2025: โˆ’$2MQ1 2026: --Q2 2026: --
Q3 2023: โˆ’$1MQ4 2023: โˆ’$4MQ1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: โˆ’$432,000Q4 2024: โˆ’$1MQ1 2025: โˆ’$1MQ2 2025: โˆ’$2MQ3 2025: โˆ’$1MQ4 2025: โˆ’$2MQ1 2026: --Q2 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2025-$1.8M-$418K
Q3 2025-$1.4M-$966K
Q4 2024-$1.4M+$2.3M
Q3 2024-$432K+$913K
Q4 2023-$3.7M-$571K
Q3 2023-$1.3M+$1.1M
Q2 2023$1.4M+$9.3M
Q1 2023-$3M-$2.1M

XELB has burned cash in most quarters: โˆ’$7M over the past year, against โˆ’$7M the year before.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has the edge over XELB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

XELB Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2MQ4 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 2MQ3 2024: 2MQ4 2024: 2MQ1 2025: 2MQ2 2025: 2MQ3 2025: 4MQ1 2026: 6MQ2 2026: 6M
Q3 2023: 2MQ4 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 2MQ3 2024: 2MQ4 2024: 2MQ1 2025: 2MQ2 2025: 2MQ3 2025: 4MQ1 2026: 6MQ2 2026: 6M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4.3%+256K shares
1 year+159%+3.8M shares
3 years+214%+4.2M shares
5 years+220%+4.2M shares
Available history+225%+4.3M shares

XELB has 6M diluted shares, up 159% from a year ago, despite $190,000 in buybacks over the past year.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

XELB Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2023-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 201911.0xHigh
Q3 20191.9xHealthy

XELB has more cash than debt.

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

XELB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI27.2Oversold
Stochastic11.5Oversold

XELB's weekly RSI is 27 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

XELB PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricXELBSector medianRelative
PEN/A18xโ€”

XELB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has the edge over XELB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

XELB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.5030% below
20 week MA$0.8860% below
50 week MA$1.3674% below
100 week MA$1.8781% below
200 week MA$5.5794% below

XELB is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 94% below its 200-week average.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has the edge over XELB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

XELB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.0$11.4-29%
2021$11.4$12.0+5.3%
2022$12.0$7.40-38%
2023$7.40$12.9+74%
2024$12.9$4.85-62%
2025$4.85$1.37-72%
2026 YTD$1.37$0.35-74%

XELB has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 74% so far in 2026.

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