NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over WSM overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

WSM

Williams-Sonoma, Inc.

55
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation25/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

WSM offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

WSM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

WSM's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over WSM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

WSM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.3x15x22x29x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.3x15x22x29x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9x$87.36-65%
Fair17x$164-34%
Expensive22x$212-15%
Forward25x$250—
Current26x$250—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WSM's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

WSM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

WSM has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE trails WSM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

WSM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$319.40
Downside-20%$200.67

Calculated from the latest close: $250.38 on Nov 12.

WSM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NKE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

WSM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.18Q1 2024: $7.28Q2 2024: $8.13Q3 2024: $8.31Q4 2024: $8.45Q1 2025: $8.79Q2 2025: $8.61Q3 2025: $8.87Q4 2025: $8.87Q1 2026: $8.84Q2 2026: $8.92Q3 2026: $9.76Forward: $10.16
Q4 2023: $7.18Q1 2024: $7.28Q2 2024: $8.13Q3 2024: $8.31Q4 2024: $8.45Q1 2025: $8.79Q2 2025: $8.61Q3 2025: $8.87Q4 2025: $8.87Q1 2026: $8.84Q2 2026: $8.92Q3 2026: $9.76Forward: $10.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$10.16+4.1%
Q3 2026$9.76+10%
Q2 2026$8.92+3.6%
Q1 2026$8.84+0.6%
Q4 2025$8.87+5%
Q3 2025$8.87+6.7%
Q2 2025$8.61+5.9%
Q1 2025$8.79+21%
Q4 2024$8.45+18%

WSM has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

WSM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $2.3BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $2.4BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $2B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $2.3BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $2.4BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2B+6.7%
Q2 2026$1.8B+4.4%
Q1 2026$2.4B-4.3%
Q4 2025$1.9B+4.6%
Q3 2025$1.8B+2.7%
Q2 2025$1.7B+4.2%
Q1 2025$2.5B+8%
Q4 2024$1.8B-2.9%

WSM has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

WSM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $248MQ1 2024: $621MQ2 2024: $187MQ3 2024: $215MQ4 2024: $170MQ1 2025: $566MQ2 2025: $61MQ3 2025: $231MQ4 2025: $248MQ1 2026: $516MQ2 2026: $99MQ3 2026: $481M
Q4 2023: $248MQ1 2024: $621MQ2 2024: $187MQ3 2024: $215MQ4 2024: $170MQ1 2025: $566MQ2 2025: $61MQ3 2025: $231MQ4 2025: $248MQ1 2026: $516MQ2 2026: $99MQ3 2026: $481M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$480.8M+108%
Q2 2026$98.6M+63%
Q1 2026$516M-8.9%
Q4 2025$248.1M+46%
Q3 2025$230.7M+7.3%
Q2 2025$60.7M-68%
Q1 2025$566.3M-8.8%
Q4 2024$170.1M-32%

WSM has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

WSM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 130MQ1 2024: 131MQ2 2024: 131MQ3 2024: 130MQ4 2024: 127MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 125MQ3 2025: 124MQ4 2025: 123MQ1 2026: 123MQ2 2026: 120MQ3 2026: 119M
Q4 2023: 130MQ1 2024: 131MQ2 2024: 131MQ3 2024: 130MQ4 2024: 127MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 125MQ3 2025: 124MQ4 2025: 123MQ1 2026: 123MQ2 2026: 120MQ3 2026: 119M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-1M shares
1 year-3.8%-4.7M shares
3 years-7.9%-10.2M shares
5 years-22%-34.3M shares
Available history-25%-39.5M shares

WSM has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

WSM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.6x
Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash

WSM has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

WSM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.1Neutral
Stochastic66.6Neutral

WSM's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 67 (neutral).

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE has the edge over WSM on valuation relative to its sector.

WSM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricWSMSector medianRelative
PE26x18x42% above
PE %984751 pts above

WSM is trading at 26x earnings, a 42% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

WSM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$245.71.9% above
20 week MA$237.15.6% above
50 week MA$213.118% above
100 week MA$197.327% above
200 week MA$151.365% above

WSM has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

WSM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.5$53.8+47%
2021$53.8$84.5+57%
2022$84.5$60.1-29%
2023$60.1$100.9+68%
2024$100.9$186.1+84%
2025$186.1$188.6+1.4%
2026 YTD$188.6$250.4+33%

WSM has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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