NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over WEN overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

WEN

The Wendy's Company

49
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential21/ 100
Risk potential48/ 100

WEN trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

WEN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Weak

WEN's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over WEN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

WEN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x27x40x53x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x27x40x53x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$5.76-30%
Current16x$8.18—
Fair23x$11.48+40%
Expensive39x$19.70+141%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WEN's PE is in its cheap range at 16x.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

WEN Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for WEN to show an outlook.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WEN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

WEN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+12%$9.19
Downside-48%$4.26

Calculated from the latest close: $8.18 on Nov 12.

WEN trails NKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

WEN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.97Q1 2024: $0.98Q2 2024: $0.97Q3 2024: $0.94Q4 2024: $0.95Q1 2025: $0.94Q2 2025: $0.96Q3 2025: $0.94Q4 2025: $0.85Q1 2026: $0.78Q2 2026: $0.66Q3 2026: $0.51
Q4 2023: $0.97Q1 2024: $0.98Q2 2024: $0.97Q3 2024: $0.94Q4 2024: $0.95Q1 2025: $0.94Q2 2025: $0.96Q3 2025: $0.94Q4 2025: $0.85Q1 2026: $0.78Q2 2026: $0.66Q3 2026: $0.51
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.51-46%
Q2 2026$0.66-31%
Q1 2026$0.78-17%
Q4 2025$0.85-11%
Q3 2025$0.940%
Q2 2025$0.96-1%
Q1 2025$0.94-4.1%
Q4 2024$0.95-2.1%

WEN's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.51 over the past year, against $0.98 in early 2024.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

WEN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $541MQ1 2024: $535MQ2 2024: $571MQ3 2024: $567MQ4 2024: $574MQ1 2025: $523MQ2 2025: $561MQ3 2025: $550MQ4 2025: $543MQ1 2026: $541MQ2 2026: $571MQ3 2026: $547M
Q4 2023: $541MQ1 2024: $535MQ2 2024: $571MQ3 2024: $567MQ4 2024: $574MQ1 2025: $523MQ2 2025: $561MQ3 2025: $550MQ4 2025: $543MQ1 2026: $541MQ2 2026: $571MQ3 2026: $547M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$547M-0.5%
Q2 2026$570.6M+1.7%
Q1 2026$540.6M+3.3%
Q4 2025$543M-5.5%
Q3 2025$549.5M-3%
Q2 2025$560.9M-1.7%
Q1 2025$523.5M-2.1%
Q4 2024$574.3M+6.2%

WEN has the edge over NKE on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

WEN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $47MQ1 2024: $83MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $123MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $68MQ2 2025: $39MQ3 2025: $104MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $48MQ2 2026: $81MQ3 2026: $62M
Q4 2023: $47MQ1 2024: $83MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $123MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $68MQ2 2025: $39MQ3 2025: $104MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $48MQ2 2026: $81MQ3 2026: $62M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$61.7M-41%
Q2 2026$81M+107%
Q1 2026$47.5M-30%
Q4 2025$31.4M+18%
Q3 2025$104.3M-15%
Q2 2025$39.2M+38%
Q1 2025$67.7M-18%
Q4 2024$26.6M-43%

WEN has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

WEN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 212MQ1 2024: 207MQ2 2024: 206MQ3 2024: 204MQ4 2024: 206MQ1 2025: 202MQ2 2025: 193MQ3 2025: 191MQ4 2025: 194MQ1 2026: 191MQ2 2026: 191MQ3 2026: 192M
Q4 2023: 212MQ1 2024: 207MQ2 2024: 206MQ3 2024: 204MQ4 2024: 206MQ1 2025: 202MQ2 2025: 193MQ3 2025: 191MQ4 2025: 194MQ1 2026: 191MQ2 2026: 191MQ3 2026: 192M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+589K shares
1 year+0.3%+548K shares
3 years-8.9%-18.8M shares
5 years-15%-33.3M shares
Available history-18%-43.3M shares

WEN has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over WEN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

WEN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.3xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.5xQ3 2024: 4.5xQ4 2024: 4.5xQ1 2025: 4.6xQ2 2025: 4.7xQ3 2025: 4.7xQ4 2025: 5.0xQ1 2026: 5.1xQ2 2026: 5.3xQ3 2026: 5.6x
Q4 2023: 4.3xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.5xQ3 2024: 4.5xQ4 2024: 4.5xQ1 2025: 4.6xQ2 2025: 4.7xQ3 2025: 4.7xQ4 2025: 5.0xQ1 2026: 5.1xQ2 2026: 5.3xQ3 2026: 5.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.6xHigh
Q2 20265.3xHigh
Q1 20265.1xHigh
Q4 20255.0xHigh
Q3 20254.7xHigh
Q2 20254.7xHigh
Q1 20254.6xHigh
Q4 20244.5xHigh

WEN's net debt is about 5.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.7 years a year ago.

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

WEN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.9Neutral
Stochastic59.6Neutral

WEN's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

WEN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricWENSector medianRelative
PE16x18x11% below
PE %254722 pts below

WEN has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

WEN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.9218% above
20 week MA$7.489.4% above
50 week MA$7.568.2% above
100 week MA$9.7716% below
200 week MA$14.744% below

WEN has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

WEN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$22.2$22.5+1.3%
2021$22.5$23.3+3.9%
2022$23.3$23.1-0.9%
2023$23.1$19.5-16%
2024$19.5$16.5-15%
2025$16.5$8.35-49%
2026 YTD$8.35$8.18-2%

WEN has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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