NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has a slight edge over VSXY overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
VSXY
Victoria's Secret & Company
VSXY offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
VSXY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
VSXY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE has the edge over VSXY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
VSXY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.8x | $30.32 | -71% |
| Fair | 14x | $60.95 | -42% |
| Forward | 20x | $105 | — |
| Current | 23x | $105 | — |
| Expensive | 24x | $108 | +3.3% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VSXY's PE is in its expensive range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
VSXY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
VSXY has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
VSXY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.24 | +17% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.49 | +139% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.51 | +21% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.93 | -5.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.13 | +8.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.88 | +7.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.08 | +56% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.05 | +47% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.96 | +69% |
VSXY has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE's operating margin was 8.2% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
VSXY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.6B | +10% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.6B | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.3B | +7.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.5B | +9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.5B | +3% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.4B | -0.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.1B | +1.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.3B | +6.5% |
VSXY has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 16% | +13 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4.9% | +3.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 10% | -2.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -1.3% | +2.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.8% | -1.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1.5% | -0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 13% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | -3.5% | +1.8 points |
VSXY has the edge over NKE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
VSXY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $328M | +273% |
| Q2 2026 | -$191M | +$2M |
| Q1 2026 | $649M | +0.5% |
| Q4 2025 | -$232M | +$67M |
| Q3 2025 | $88M | +60% |
| Q2 2025 | -$193M | -$38M |
| Q1 2025 | $646M | +16% |
| Q4 2024 | -$299M | -$38M |
VSXY has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has the edge over VSXY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
VSXY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | +2.4% | +2M shares |
| 3 years | +9.1% | +7M shares |
| 5 years | -4.9% | -4.4M shares |
VSXY has 84M diluted shares, up 2.4% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $100M |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE has the edge over VSXY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
VSXY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 2.2x | Moderate |
VSXY's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.6 years a year ago.
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
VSXY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 65.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 83.0 | Overbought |
VSXY's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 83 (overbought).
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE has the edge over VSXY on valuation relative to its sector.
VSXY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | VSXY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23x | 18x | 29% above |
| PE % | 82 | 55 | 27 pts above |
VSXY is trading at 23x earnings, a 29% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.
VSXY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $93.1 | 12% above |
| 20 week MA | $87.2 | 20% above |
| 50 week MA | $69.2 | 51% above |
| 100 week MA | $47.9 | 119% above |
| 200 week MA | $36.4 | 188% above |
VSXY has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.
VSXY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $42.1 | $49.1 | +17% |
| 2022 | $49.1 | $40.4 | -18% |
| 2023 | $40.4 | $26.5 | -34% |
| 2024 | $26.5 | $42.3 | +59% |
| 2025 | $42.3 | $53.8 | +27% |
| 2026 YTD | $53.8 | $104.6 | +94% |
VSXY has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.