NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has the edge over VNCE overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
VNCE
Vince Holding Corp.
VNCE offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
VNCE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
VNCE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE has the edge over VNCE in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
VNCE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 1.2x | $0.70 | -95% |
| Fair | 8.6x | $4.91 | -62% |
| Expensive | 22x | $12.74 | -1.3% |
| Current | 23x | $12.91 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VNCE's PE is in its expensive range at 23x.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
VNCE Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for VNCE to show an outlook.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
VNCE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $0.57 | +$1.92 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.70 | +$2.93 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.49 | +$2.00 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.48 | -500% |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.35 | -1327% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.23 | -192% |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.51 | -174% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.37 | -76% |
VNCE has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE's operating margin was 8.2% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
VNCE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $81.8M | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $64M | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $83.7M | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $85.1M | +6.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $73.2M | -1.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $57.9M | -2.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $80M | +6.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $80.2M | -4.7% |
VNCE has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 17% | +1.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | -4.1% | +3.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | -3.5% | +34 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.4% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +14 points |
| Q2 2025 | -7.7% | -17 points |
| Q1 2025 | -37% | -35 points |
| Q4 2024 | 7.2% | +3.8 points |
VNCE has the edge over NKE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
VNCE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $17.4M | +730% |
| Q2 2026 | -$9.1M | +$4.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $15.5M | -27% |
| Q4 2025 | -$5.7M | -211% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.1M | +$6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$13.2M | -$8.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $21.2M | +49% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.1M | -21% |
VNCE has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has the edge over VNCE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
VNCE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.7% | +343K shares |
| 1 year | +1.8% | +231K shares |
| 3 years | +5.7% | +710K shares |
| 5 years | +11% | +1.3M shares |
| Available history | +10% | +1.2M shares |
VNCE has 13M diluted shares, up 1.8% from a year ago.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE has the edge over VNCE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
VNCE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q3 2024 | 4.4x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q1 2024 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q4 2023 | 1.7x | Healthy |
VNCE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.4 years a year ago.
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
VNCE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 67.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 80.2 | Overbought |
VNCE's weekly RSI is 67 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE has the edge over VNCE on valuation relative to its sector.
VNCE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | VNCE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23x | 18x | 26% above |
| PE % | 85 | 47 | 38 pts above |
VNCE is trading at 23x earnings, a 26% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.
VNCE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $11.8 | 9.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $8.76 | 47% above |
| 50 week MA | $5.72 | 126% above |
| 100 week MA | $4.03 | 220% above |
| 200 week MA | $3.58 | 261% above |
VNCE has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.
VNCE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $17.7 | $5.26 | -70% |
| 2021 | $5.26 | $8.50 | +62% |
| 2022 | $8.50 | $7.72 | -9.2% |
| 2023 | $7.72 | $3.46 | -55% |
| 2024 | $3.46 | $4.02 | +16% |
| 2025 | $4.02 | $4.39 | +9.2% |
| 2026 YTD | $4.39 | $12.9 | +194% |
VNCE has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.