NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over VIRC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

VIRC

Virco Mfg. Corporation

49
Fundamentals30/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

VIRC trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

VIRC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Healthy
Strong

VIRC's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability is weak.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.

VIRC PE Valuation

VIRC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VIRC Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for VIRC to show an outlook.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VIRC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

VIRC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$7.91
Downside-19%$5.12

Calculated from the latest close: $6.36 on Nov 12.

VIRC trails NKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE has the edge over VIRC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

VIRC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.74Q1 2024: $1.34Q2 2024: $1.56Q3 2024: $1.65Q4 2024: $1.55Q1 2025: $1.32Q2 2025: $1.24Q3 2025: $0.85Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.16Q2 2026: $-0.07Q3 2026: $-0.17
Q4 2023: $1.74Q1 2024: $1.34Q2 2024: $1.56Q3 2024: $1.65Q4 2024: $1.55Q1 2025: $1.32Q2 2025: $1.24Q3 2025: $0.85Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.16Q2 2026: $-0.07Q3 2026: $-0.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.17-120%
Q2 2026-$0.07-106%
Q1 2026$0.16-88%
Q4 2025$0.25-84%
Q3 2025$0.85-48%
Q2 2025$1.24-21%
Q1 2025$1.32-1.5%
Q4 2024$1.55-11%

VIRC has swung to a loss: it lost $0.17 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE has the edge over VIRC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VIRC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $84MQ1 2024: $43MQ2 2024: $47MQ3 2024: $108MQ4 2024: $83MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $34MQ3 2025: $92MQ4 2025: $48MQ1 2026: $26MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: $87M
Q4 2023: $84MQ1 2024: $43MQ2 2024: $47MQ3 2024: $108MQ4 2024: $83MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $34MQ3 2025: $92MQ4 2025: $48MQ1 2026: $26MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: $87M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$87.5M-5%
Q2 2026$30.7M-9.1%
Q1 2026$26.2M-8%
Q4 2025$47.6M-42%
Q3 2025$92.1M-15%
Q2 2025$33.8M-28%
Q1 2025$28.5M-33%
Q4 2024$82.6M-1.9%

VIRC's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $87M last quarter, down 5% from the same quarter a year ago.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

VIRC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: $31MQ1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: −$21MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: −$12MQ2 2026: −$10MQ3 2026: $6M
Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: $31MQ1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: −$21MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: −$12MQ2 2026: −$10MQ3 2026: $6M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.9M+224%
Q2 2026-$10.1M+$11.4M
Q1 2026-$11.6M-$2.4M
Q4 2025$24.5M-21%
Q3 2025$1.8M-83%
Q2 2025-$21.5M-$15.9M
Q1 2025-$9.2M-328%
Q4 2024$31M-26%

VIRC has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

VIRC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 16MQ1 2024: 16MQ2 2024: 16MQ3 2024: 16MQ4 2024: 16MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 16MQ3 2026: 16M
Q4 2023: 16MQ1 2024: 16MQ2 2024: 16MQ3 2024: 16MQ4 2024: 16MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 16MQ3 2026: 16M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5K shares
1 year0%-6K shares
3 years-3.4%-557K shares
5 years-1.2%-192K shares
Available history+0.2%+27K shares

VIRC has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

VIRC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: 0.0xQ3 2026: -4.4x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: 0.0xQ3 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q2 20260.0xVery low
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.9xNet Cash

VIRC has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

VIRC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.6Neutral
Stochastic36.6Neutral

VIRC's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 37 (neutral).

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

VIRC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricVIRCSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

VIRC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

VIRC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.380.3% below
20 week MA$6.241.9% above
50 week MA$6.271.4% above
100 week MA$7.5416% below
200 week MA$8.4425% below

VIRC has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

VIRC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$4.38$2.51-43%
2021$2.51$3.02+20%
2022$3.02$4.30+42%
2023$4.30$12.0+180%
2024$12.0$10.6-12%
2025$10.6$6.43-39%
2026 YTD$6.43$6.36-1.1%

VIRC has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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