NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over VIPS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

VIPS

Vipshop Holdings Limited

52
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

VIPS's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

VIPS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Strong

VIPS's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.

VIPS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.0x18x27x36x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.0x18x27x36x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current4.1x$12.94—
Cheap6.8x$21.18+64%
Fair9.1x$28.63+121%
Expensive18x$57.81+347%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VIPS has the edge over NKE in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VIPS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

VIPS has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VIPS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

VIPS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$16.03
Downside-19%$10.46

Calculated from the latest close: $12.94 on Nov 12.

VIPS trails NKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

VIPS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.91Q4 2023: $2.17Q1 2024: $2.32Q2 2024: $2.28Q3 2024: $2.25Q4 2024: $2.15Q1 2025: $2.08Q2 2025: $1.99Q3 2025: $2.06Q4 2025: $2.13Q1 2026: $2.24Q2 2026: $3.13
Q3 2023: $1.91Q4 2023: $2.17Q1 2024: $2.32Q2 2024: $2.28Q3 2024: $2.25Q4 2024: $2.15Q1 2025: $2.08Q2 2025: $1.99Q3 2025: $2.06Q4 2025: $2.13Q1 2026: $2.24Q2 2026: $3.13
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.13+57%
Q1 2026$2.24+7.7%
Q4 2025$2.13-0.9%
Q3 2025$2.06-8.4%
Q2 2025$1.99-13%
Q1 2025$2.08-10%
Q4 2024$2.15-0.9%
Q3 2024$2.25+18%

VIPS has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE has the edge over VIPS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VIPS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $3.4BQ4 2023: $5.2BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $4BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $5BQ1 2025: $3.9BQ2 2025: $3.9BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $4BQ2 2026: $3.7B
Q3 2023: $3.4BQ4 2023: $5.2BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $4BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $5BQ1 2025: $3.9BQ2 2025: $3.9BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $4BQ2 2026: $3.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$3.7B-3.9%
Q1 2026$4B+0.6%
Q4 2025$4.9B-2.3%
Q3 2025$3.2B+3.4%
Q2 2025$3.9B-4%
Q1 2025$3.9B-5%
Q4 2024$5B-4.2%
Q3 2024$3.1B-9.2%

VIPS's revenue fell from its 2020 peak and has held roughly level since: $3.7B last quarter, down 3.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE has the edge over VIPS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VIPS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0$0
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0$0
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024$0$0
Q3 2024$0$0

VIPS's free cash flow has been positive every quarter since mid-2020: $0 over the past year, against $0 the year before.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

VIPS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 552MQ4 2023: 552MQ1 2024: 555MQ2 2024: 554MQ3 2024: 554MQ4 2024: 522MQ1 2025: 522MQ2 2025: 512MQ3 2025: 505MQ4 2025: 505MQ1 2026: 493MQ2 2026: 488M
Q3 2023: 552MQ4 2023: 552MQ1 2024: 555MQ2 2024: 554MQ3 2024: 554MQ4 2024: 522MQ1 2025: 522MQ2 2025: 512MQ3 2025: 505MQ4 2025: 505MQ1 2026: 493MQ2 2026: 488M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-4.6M shares
1 year-4.6%-23.7M shares
3 years-13%-71M shares
5 years-30%-213M shares
Available history-28%-187M shares

VIPS has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

VIPS Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -1.7xQ4 2023: -2.1xQ1 2024: -1.8xQ2 2024: -1.5xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -2.1xQ1 2025: -2.2xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: -1.7xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -1.1x
Q3 2023: -1.7xQ4 2023: -2.1xQ1 2024: -1.8xQ2 2024: -1.5xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -2.1xQ1 2025: -2.2xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: -1.7xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.1xNet Cash
Q3 2024-1.3xNet Cash

VIPS has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

VIPS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.1Neutral
Stochastic32.5Neutral

VIPS's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

VIPS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricVIPSSector medianRelative
PE4.1x18x77% below
PE %14746 pts below

VIPS has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

VIPS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.80.8% above
20 week MA$13.54.1% below
50 week MA$15.114% below
100 week MA$15.516% below
200 week MA$15.416% below

VIPS has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 16% below its 200-week average.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

VIPS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.5$26.3+81%
2021$26.3$8.46-68%
2022$8.46$13.5+59%
2023$13.5$17.8+32%
2024$17.8$13.3-25%
2025$13.3$19.5+46%
2026 YTD$19.5$12.9-34%

VIPS has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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