NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over VFS overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

VFS

VinFast Auto Ltd.

54
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

VFS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

VFS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

VFS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.

VFS PE Valuation

VFS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VFS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

VFS has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE trails VFS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VFS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+37%$4.19
Downside-26%$2.25

Calculated from the latest close: $3.06 on Nov 12.

VFS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NKE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE has the edge over VFS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

VFS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.96Q4 2023: $-1.01Q1 2024: $-1.02Q2 2024: $-1.12Q3 2024: $-1.09Q4 2024: $-1.29Q1 2025: $-1.34Q2 2025: $-1.36Q3 2025: $-1.54Q4 2025: $-1.62Q1 2026: $-1.79Q2 2026: $-2.09
Q3 2023: $-0.96Q4 2023: $-1.01Q1 2024: $-1.02Q2 2024: $-1.12Q3 2024: $-1.09Q4 2024: $-1.29Q1 2025: $-1.34Q2 2025: $-1.36Q3 2025: $-1.54Q4 2025: $-1.62Q1 2026: $-1.79Q2 2026: $-2.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$2.09-$0.73
Q1 2026-$1.79-$0.45
Q4 2025-$1.62-$0.33
Q3 2025-$1.54-$0.45
Q2 2025-$1.36-$0.24
Q1 2025-$1.34-$0.32
Q4 2024-$1.29-$0.28
Q3 2024-$1.09-$0.13

VFS lost $2.09 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

VFS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $322MQ4 2023: $378MQ1 2024: $254MQ2 2024: $338MQ3 2024: $480MQ4 2024: $643MQ1 2025: $635MQ2 2025: $647MQ3 2025: $705MQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $900MQ2 2026: $1.2B
Q3 2023: $322MQ4 2023: $378MQ1 2024: $254MQ2 2024: $338MQ3 2024: $480MQ4 2024: $643MQ1 2025: $635MQ2 2025: $647MQ3 2025: $705MQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $900MQ2 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1.2B+83%
Q1 2026$900.2M+42%
Q4 2025$1.5B+139%
Q3 2025$705M+47%
Q2 2025$646.9M+92%
Q1 2025$635.1M+150%
Q4 2024$642.5M+70%
Q3 2024$480.1M+49%

VFS has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE has the edge over VFS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

VFS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$1.1BQ4 2023: −$516MQ1 2024: −$671MQ2 2024: −$408MQ3 2024: −$559MQ4 2024: −$199MQ1 2025: −$729MQ2 2025: −$658MQ3 2025: −$692MQ4 2025: −$547MQ1 2026: −$714MQ2 2026: −$924M
Q3 2023: −$1.1BQ4 2023: −$516MQ1 2024: −$671MQ2 2024: −$408MQ3 2024: −$559MQ4 2024: −$199MQ1 2025: −$729MQ2 2025: −$658MQ3 2025: −$692MQ4 2025: −$547MQ1 2026: −$714MQ2 2026: −$924M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$924.2M-$265.9M
Q1 2026-$713.8M+$15.6M
Q4 2025-$546.8M-$348.2M
Q3 2025-$692.2M-$132.8M
Q2 2025-$658.3M-$250.1M
Q1 2025-$729.5M-$58.9M
Q4 2024-$198.6M+$317.5M
Q3 2024-$559.4M+$560.3M

VFS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$2.9B over the past year, against −$2.1B the year before.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

VFS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.3BQ4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.3BQ2 2024: 2.3BQ3 2024: 2.3BQ4 2024: 2.3BQ1 2025: 2.3BQ2 2025: 2.3BQ3 2025: 2.3BQ4 2025: 2.3BQ1 2026: 2.3BQ2 2026: 2.3B
Q3 2023: 2.3BQ4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.3BQ2 2024: 2.3BQ3 2024: 2.3BQ4 2024: 2.3BQ1 2025: 2.3BQ2 2025: 2.3BQ3 2025: 2.3BQ4 2025: 2.3BQ1 2026: 2.3BQ2 2026: 2.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%+723K shares
3 years+0.7%+17.3M shares

VFS has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

VFS Net Leverage

VFS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

VFS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.7Neutral
Stochastic50.6Neutral

VFS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 51 (neutral).

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

VFS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

VFS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has the edge over VFS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

VFS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.132.2% below
20 week MA$3.132.2% below
50 week MA$3.358.7% below
100 week MA$3.4311% below
200 week MA$5.7146% below

VFS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 46% below its 200-week average.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

VFS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$9.68$9.680%
2022$9.68$10.0+3.5%
2023$10.0$8.37-16%
2024$8.37$4.32-48%
2025$4.32$3.39-22%
2026 YTD$3.39$3.06-9.7%

VFS has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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