NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over UAA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

UAA

Under Armour, Inc.

44
Fundamentals42/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

UAA offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

UAA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak

UAA's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.

UAA PE Valuation

UAA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 44x next year's earnings.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

UAA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

UAA has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE trails UAA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UAA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+46%$7.13
Downside-31%$3.36

Calculated from the latest close: $4.90 on Nov 12.

UAA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NKE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE has the edge over UAA on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

UAA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.88Q1 2024: $0.54Q2 2024: $-0.18Q3 2024: $-0.03Q4 2024: $-0.29Q1 2025: $-0.47Q2 2025: $0.22Q3 2025: $-0.21Q4 2025: $-1.22Q1 2026: $-1.16Q2 2026: $-1.15Q3 2026: $-1.11Forward: $0.11
Q4 2023: $0.88Q1 2024: $0.54Q2 2024: $-0.18Q3 2024: $-0.03Q4 2024: $-0.29Q1 2025: $-0.47Q2 2025: $0.22Q3 2025: $-0.21Q4 2025: $-1.22Q1 2026: $-1.16Q2 2026: $-1.15Q3 2026: $-1.11Forward: $0.11
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.11—
Q3 2026-$1.11-$0.90
Q2 2026-$1.15-623%
Q1 2026-$1.16-$0.69
Q4 2025-$1.22-$0.93
Q3 2025-$0.21-$0.18
Q2 2025$0.22+$0.40
Q1 2025-$0.47-187%
Q4 2024-$0.29-133%

UAA is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $1.11 per share over the past year, against $1.64 at its worst in late 2020.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE has the edge over UAA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UAA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-6.9%
Q2 2026$1.1B-3.2%
Q1 2026$1.2B-0.8%
Q4 2025$1.3B-5.2%
Q3 2025$1.3B-4.7%
Q2 2025$1.1B-4.2%
Q1 2025$1.2B-11%
Q4 2024$1.4B-5.7%

UAA's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $1.2B last quarter, down 6.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE has the edge over UAA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

UAA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $380MQ1 2024: −$157MQ2 2024: $107MQ3 2024: −$367MQ4 2024: $263MQ1 2025: −$231MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: −$90MQ4 2025: $262MQ1 2026: −$347MQ2 2026: $95MQ3 2026: −$102M
Q4 2023: $380MQ1 2024: −$157MQ2 2024: $107MQ3 2024: −$367MQ4 2024: $263MQ1 2025: −$231MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: −$90MQ4 2025: $262MQ1 2026: −$347MQ2 2026: $95MQ3 2026: −$102M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$101.7M-$11.4M
Q2 2026$94.5M+601%
Q1 2026-$347.3M-$116.3M
Q4 2025$261.9M-0.4%
Q3 2025-$90.3M+$276.9M
Q2 2025$13.5M-87%
Q1 2025-$231M-$74.3M
Q4 2024$262.9M-31%

UAA's free cash flow was −$93M over the past year, against −$45M the year before.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

UAA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 448MQ1 2024: 451MQ2 2024: 436MQ3 2024: 436MQ4 2024: 437MQ1 2025: 432MQ2 2025: 427MQ3 2025: 428MQ4 2025: 425MQ1 2026: 427MQ2 2026: 432MQ3 2026: 430M
Q4 2023: 448MQ1 2024: 451MQ2 2024: 436MQ3 2024: 436MQ4 2024: 437MQ1 2025: 432MQ2 2025: 427MQ3 2025: 428MQ4 2025: 425MQ1 2026: 427MQ2 2026: 432MQ3 2026: 430M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-2.3M shares
1 year+0.3%+1.3M shares
3 years-5.3%-24M shares
5 years-9.2%-43.4M shares
Available history-5.4%-24.6M shares

UAA has 430M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

UAA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.9xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -5.6xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: -8.2xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 9.0x
Q4 2023: -0.9xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -5.6xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: -8.2xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 9.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20259.0xHigh
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q4 2024-8.2xNet Cash
Q3 20240.8xVery low
Q2 2024-5.6xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2023-0.9xNet Cash
Q3 20230.1xVery low

UAA's net debt is about 9.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

UAA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.7Neutral
Stochastic33.4Neutral

UAA's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

UAA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricUAASector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

UAA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

UAA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.831.4% above
20 week MA$5.5211% below
50 week MA$5.8016% below
100 week MA$6.0219% below
200 week MA$7.0430% below

UAA has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 30% below its 200-week average.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

UAA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.5$17.4-19%
2021$17.4$20.6+18%
2022$20.6$9.77-53%
2023$9.77$8.79-10%
2024$8.79$8.38-4.7%
2025$8.38$4.65-45%
2026 YTD$4.65$4.90+5.4%

UAA has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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