NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over TRIP overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

TRIP

Tripadvisor, Inc.

34
Fundamentals29/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

TRIP offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

TRIP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Under pressure
Strong

TRIP's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.

TRIP PE Valuation

TRIP has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

NKE has the edge over TRIP on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

TRIP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong decline
Decline
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect TRIP's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE trails TRIP on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TRIP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+51%$10.94
Downside-34%$4.75

Calculated from the latest close: $7.25 on Nov 12.

TRIP has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NKE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE has the edge over TRIP on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

TRIP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.08Q1 2024: $0.17Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.25Q4 2024: $0.04Q1 2025: $0.39Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.66Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.11Q2 2026: $0.02Q3 2026: $-3.07Forward: $0.61
Q4 2023: $0.08Q1 2024: $0.17Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.25Q4 2024: $0.04Q1 2025: $0.39Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.66Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.11Q2 2026: $0.02Q3 2026: $-3.07Forward: $0.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.61—
Q3 2026-$3.07-565%
Q2 2026$0.02-96%
Q1 2026$0.11-72%
Q4 2025$0.31+675%
Q3 2025$0.66+164%
Q2 2025$0.50+194%
Q1 2025$0.39+129%
Q4 2024$0.04-50%

TRIP has swung to a loss: it lost $3.07 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

TRIP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $390MQ1 2024: $395MQ2 2024: $497MQ3 2024: $532MQ4 2024: $411MQ1 2025: $398MQ2 2025: $529MQ3 2025: $553MQ4 2025: $411MQ1 2026: $382MQ2 2026: $442MQ3 2026: $436M
Q4 2023: $390MQ1 2024: $395MQ2 2024: $497MQ3 2024: $532MQ4 2024: $411MQ1 2025: $398MQ2 2025: $529MQ3 2025: $553MQ4 2025: $411MQ1 2026: $382MQ2 2026: $442MQ3 2026: $436M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$436.4M-21%
Q2 2026$441.9M-16%
Q1 2026$382.4M-3.9%
Q4 2025$411M0%
Q3 2025$553M+3.9%
Q2 2025$529M+6.4%
Q1 2025$398M+0.8%
Q4 2024$411M+5.4%

TRIP has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE has the edge over TRIP on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

TRIP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$35MQ1 2024: $123MQ2 2024: $36MQ3 2024: −$63MQ4 2024: −$26MQ1 2025: $83MQ2 2025: $177MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: −$122MQ1 2026: $101MQ2 2026: $138MQ3 2026: −$137M
Q4 2023: −$35MQ1 2024: $123MQ2 2024: $36MQ3 2024: −$63MQ4 2024: −$26MQ1 2025: $83MQ2 2025: $177MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: −$122MQ1 2026: $101MQ2 2026: $138MQ3 2026: −$137M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$136.7M-647%
Q2 2026$137.7M-22%
Q1 2026$101.3M+22%
Q4 2025-$122M-$96M
Q3 2025$25M+$88M
Q2 2025$177M+392%
Q1 2025$83M-33%
Q4 2024-$26M+$9M

TRIP's free cash flow was −$20M over the past year, against $259M the year before.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

TRIP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 145MQ1 2024: 138MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 144MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 141MQ2 2025: 130MQ3 2025: 124MQ4 2025: 131MQ1 2026: 115MQ2 2026: 118MQ3 2026: 118M
Q4 2023: 145MQ1 2024: 138MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 144MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 141MQ2 2025: 130MQ3 2025: 124MQ4 2025: 131MQ1 2026: 115MQ2 2026: 118MQ3 2026: 118M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-384K shares
1 year-5%-6.2M shares
3 years-18%-25.8M shares
5 years-19%-27M shares
Available history-16%-23.2M shares

TRIP has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

TRIP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.8xVery low
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 2024-1.3xNet Cash
Q3 2024-1.3xNet Cash

TRIP has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

TRIP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.1Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

TRIP's weekly RSI is 32 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE has the edge over TRIP on valuation relative to its sector.

TRIP PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTRIPSector medianRelative
PE461x18x2,458% above
PE %964749 pts above

TRIP has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has the edge over TRIP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TRIP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.4714% below
20 week MA$10.430% below
50 week MA$11.336% below
100 week MA$13.446% below
200 week MA$16.055% below

TRIP is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 55% below its 200-week average.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has the edge over TRIP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TRIP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$30.3$26.0-14%
2021$26.0$27.3+4.8%
2022$27.3$17.9-35%
2023$17.9$21.5+21%
2024$21.5$14.6-32%
2025$14.6$14.1-3.2%
2026 YTD$14.1$7.25-49%

TRIP has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 49% so far in 2026.

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