NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TPR

Tapestry, Inc.

71
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation39/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

TPR has the edge over NKE overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

TPR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Strong

TPR's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over TPR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TPR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x148x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x148x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap10x$79.97-40%
Fair13x$104-22%
Forward16x$133—
Current17x$133—
Expensive39x$303+128%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TPR's PE is in its fair range at 17x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TPR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

TPR has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE trails TPR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

TPR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+54%$204.34
Downside-13%$116.05

Calculated from the latest close: $132.63 on Nov 12.

TPR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NKE, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

TPR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.96Q1 2024: $3.78Q2 2024: $3.50Q3 2024: $3.45Q4 2024: $3.44Q1 2025: $3.79Q2 2025: $0.82Q3 2025: $1.31Q4 2025: $2.61Q1 2026: $3.31Q2 2026: $7.27Q3 2026: $7.75Forward: $8.46
Q4 2023: $3.96Q1 2024: $3.78Q2 2024: $3.50Q3 2024: $3.45Q4 2024: $3.44Q1 2025: $3.79Q2 2025: $0.82Q3 2025: $1.31Q4 2025: $2.61Q1 2026: $3.31Q2 2026: $7.27Q3 2026: $7.75Forward: $8.46
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.46+9.2%
Q3 2026$7.75+492%
Q2 2026$7.27+787%
Q1 2026$3.31-13%
Q4 2025$2.61-24%
Q3 2025$1.31-62%
Q2 2025$0.82-77%
Q1 2025$3.79+0.3%
Q4 2024$3.44-13%

TPR has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

TPR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.9B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.9B+11%
Q2 2026$1.9B+8.9%
Q1 2026$1.9B+21%
Q4 2025$2.5B+14%
Q3 2025$1.7B+13%
Q2 2025$1.7B+8.3%
Q1 2025$1.6B+6.9%
Q4 2024$2.2B+5.3%

TPR has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

TPR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $804MQ1 2024: $79MQ2 2024: $210MQ3 2024: $94MQ4 2024: $475MQ1 2025: $113MQ2 2025: $412MQ3 2025: $80MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $226MQ2 2026: $469MQ3 2026: $149M
Q4 2023: $804MQ1 2024: $79MQ2 2024: $210MQ3 2024: $94MQ4 2024: $475MQ1 2025: $113MQ2 2025: $412MQ3 2025: $80MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $226MQ2 2026: $469MQ3 2026: $149M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$149M+86%
Q2 2026$469M+14%
Q1 2026$225.8M+99%
Q4 2025$1B+118%
Q3 2025$80.2M-15%
Q2 2025$411.5M+96%
Q1 2025$113.4M+44%
Q4 2024$475.1M-41%

TPR has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

TPR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 232MQ1 2024: 234MQ2 2024: 233MQ3 2024: 236MQ4 2024: 225MQ1 2025: 214MQ2 2025: 223MQ3 2025: 216MQ4 2025: 210MQ1 2026: 208MQ2 2026: 210MQ3 2026: 205M
Q4 2023: 232MQ1 2024: 234MQ2 2024: 233MQ3 2024: 236MQ4 2024: 225MQ1 2025: 214MQ2 2025: 223MQ3 2025: 216MQ4 2025: 210MQ1 2026: 208MQ2 2026: 210MQ3 2026: 205M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.7%-5.7M shares
1 year-5.1%-11M shares
3 years-12%-28M shares
5 years-28%-80.7M shares
Available history-26%-72.2M shares

TPR has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over TPR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TPR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.7xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
Q4 2023: 0.7xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.9xVery low
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20261.3xHealthy
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20253.0xModerate
Q2 20252.3xModerate
Q1 20251.2xHealthy
Q4 20241.3xHealthy

TPR's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.0 years a year ago.

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

TPR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.7Neutral
Stochastic32.5Neutral

TPR's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

TPR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTPRSector medianRelative
PE17x18x5% below
PE %654718 pts above

TPR has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

TPR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$120.110% above
20 week MA$129.22.6% above
50 week MA$135.52.1% below
100 week MA$112.018% above
200 week MA$76.673% above

TPR has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

TPR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$26.9$30.9+15%
2021$30.9$41.3+34%
2022$41.3$37.4-9.3%
2023$37.4$36.8-1.6%
2024$36.8$65.9+79%
2025$65.9$131.3+99%
2026 YTD$131.3$132.6+1%

TPR has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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