NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over THCH overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

THCH

TH International Limited

38
Fundamentals32/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

THCH offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

THCH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

THCH's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.

THCH PE Valuation

THCH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

THCH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect THCH's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE trails THCH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

THCH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$1.92
Downside-35%$0.80

Calculated from the latest close: $1.24 on Nov 12.

THCH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NKE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE has the edge over THCH on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

THCH Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-4.75Q4 2023: $-4.53Q1 2024: $-4.01Q2 2024: $-3.10Q3 2024: $-2.75Q4 2024: $-1.91Q1 2025: $-1.50Q2 2025: $-1.63Q3 2025: $-1.56Q4 2025: $-1.99Q1 2026: $-2.23Q2 2026: $-2.33
Q3 2023: $-4.75Q4 2023: $-4.53Q1 2024: $-4.01Q2 2024: $-3.10Q3 2024: $-2.75Q4 2024: $-1.91Q1 2025: $-1.50Q2 2025: $-1.63Q3 2025: $-1.56Q4 2025: $-1.99Q1 2026: $-2.23Q2 2026: $-2.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$2.33-$0.70
Q1 2026-$2.23-$0.73
Q4 2025-$1.99-$0.08
Q3 2025-$1.56+$1.19
Q2 2025-$1.63+$1.47
Q1 2025-$1.50+$2.51
Q4 2024-$1.91+$2.62
Q3 2024-$2.75+$2.00

THCH is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.33 per share over the past year, against $5.40 at its worst in mid-2023.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE has the edge over THCH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

THCH Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $65MQ4 2023: $59MQ1 2024: $50MQ2 2024: $55MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $52MQ3 2025: $54MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: $38MQ2 2026: $41M
Q3 2023: $65MQ4 2023: $59MQ1 2024: $50MQ2 2024: $55MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $52MQ3 2025: $54MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: $38MQ2 2026: $41M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.9M-22%
Q1 2026$38.3M-15%
Q4 2025$45.7M-8.5%
Q3 2025$53.7M-0.4%
Q2 2025$52.4M-4.9%
Q1 2025$45.1M-9.5%
Q4 2024$49.9M-15%
Q3 2024$54M-17%

THCH's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $41M last quarter, down 22% from the same quarter a year ago.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE has the edge over THCH on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

THCH Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$5MQ4 2023: −$56MQ1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$32,866Q2 2025: −$176,334Q3 2025: −$257,072Q4 2025: −$11MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: $5M
Q3 2023: −$5MQ4 2023: −$56MQ1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$32,866Q2 2025: −$176,334Q3 2025: −$257,072Q4 2025: −$11MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: $5M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$5.1M+$5.3M
Q1 2026-$3.5M-$3.5M
Q4 2025-$11.3M-$6.5M
Q3 2025-$257.1K+$1.7M
Q2 2025-$176.3K-104%
Q1 2025-$32.9K+$4M
Q4 2024-$4.7M+$51.2M
Q3 2024-$2M+$2.6M

THCH has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$10M over the past year, against −$7M the year before.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

THCH Total Shares

Q3 2023: 32MQ4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33M
Q3 2023: 32MQ4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%-4.3K shares
3 years+6.7%+2M shares
5 years+21%+5.6M shares
Available history+21%+5.6M shares

THCH has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

THCH Net Leverage

THCH's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

THCH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.7Neutral
Stochastic33.1Neutral

THCH's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

THCH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

THCH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

THCH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.176% above
20 week MA$1.4011% below
50 week MA$1.7931% below
100 week MA$2.3247% below
200 week MA$6.0780% below

THCH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 80% below its 200-week average.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has the edge over THCH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

THCH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$49.1$48.9-0.4%
2022$48.9$15.7-68%
2023$15.7$8.75-44%
2024$8.75$3.73-57%
2025$3.73$2.19-41%
2026 YTD$2.19$1.24-43%

THCH has finished every year since 2021 lower, and it's down 43% so far in 2026.

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