NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has the edge over TDUP overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
TDUP
ThredUp Inc.
TDUP offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
TDUP Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TDUP's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.
TDUP PE Valuation
TDUP has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TDUP Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect TDUP's losses to grow, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE has the edge over TDUP on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
TDUP Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.20 | +$0.10 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.19 | +$0.30 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.18 | +$0.40 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.17 | +$0.52 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.30 | +$0.34 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.49 | +$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.58 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.69 | -$0.01 |
TDUP is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.20 per share over the past year, against $1.35 at its worst in late 2021.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE has the edge over TDUP on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TDUP Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $88.2M | +7.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $90.8M | +17% |
| Q1 2026 | $81.7M | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $79.7M | +188% |
| Q3 2025 | $82.2M | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $77.7M | -2.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $71.3M | -10% |
| Q4 2024 | $27.7M | -66% |
TDUP has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -6% | -0.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | -6.7% | 0 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.1% | -0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.4% | -64 points |
| Q3 2025 | -5.3% | +29 points |
| Q2 2025 | -6.8% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | -7.6% | +13 points |
| Q4 2024 | 55% | +73 points |
TDUP's operating margin was −6% last quarter, down 0.6 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE has the edge over TDUP on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
TDUP Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $12K | -99% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.8M | +$4.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $643K | -84% |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.2M | -182% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.4M | +207% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.9M | +$3.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.9M | +$4.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $3.9M | +$14.1M |
TDUP has burned cash in most quarters: −$752,000 over the past year, against $7M the year before.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has the edge over TDUP on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
TDUP Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.5% | +2M shares |
| 1 year | +6.4% | +7.9M shares |
| 3 years | +24% | +25.9M shares |
| 5 years | +40% | +37.4M shares |
| Available history | +70% | +54.3M shares |
TDUP has 132M diluted shares, up 6.4% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
TDUP Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
TDUP has more cash than debt.
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
TDUP Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 5.4 | Oversold |
TDUP's weekly RSI is 30 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
TDUP PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
TDUP has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has the edge over TDUP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
TDUP Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $2.00 | 25% below |
| 20 week MA | $3.36 | 55% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.39 | 66% below |
| 100 week MA | $5.27 | 72% below |
| 200 week MA | $3.68 | 59% below |
TDUP is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 59% below its 200-week average.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has the edge over TDUP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TDUP Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $20.0 | $13.3 | -34% |
| 2022 | $13.3 | $1.34 | -90% |
| 2023 | $1.34 | $2.25 | +68% |
| 2024 | $2.25 | $1.39 | -38% |
| 2025 | $1.39 | $6.23 | +348% |
| 2026 YTD | $6.23 | $1.50 | -76% |
TDUP's yearly returns have swung widely, from +348% in 2025 to −90% in 2022. It's down 76% so far in 2026.