NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has the edge over TCOM overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
TCOM
Trip.com Group Limited
TCOM's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
TCOM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
TCOM's cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.
TCOM PE Valuation
TCOM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TCOM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TCOM, with profitability holding steady.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
TCOM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $5.16 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.79 | +84% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.16 | +91% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.72 | +88% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.91 | +26% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.70 | +53% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.75 | +70% |
| Q3 2024 | $3.57 | +49% |
TCOM has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE has the edge over TCOM on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TCOM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $2.4B | +5.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.3B | +19% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.2B | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.1B | +16% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.9B | +23% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.4B | +16% |
TCOM has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -9.3% | -37 points |
| Q1 2026 | 24% | -1.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 16% | -1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 30% | -1.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | -0.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 26% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -3.2 points |
| Q3 2024 | 32% | +3.1 points |
TCOM's operating margin was −9.3% last quarter, down 37 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
TCOM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $2B | +$2B |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | -100% |
| Q4 2024 | $0 | $0 |
| Q3 2024 | $0 | -100% |
TCOM's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $2B over the past year, against $0 the year before.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
TCOM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -7.2% | -49.3M shares |
| 1 year | -9.1% | -63.4M shares |
| 3 years | -5.9% | -39.6M shares |
| 5 years | -0.5% | -3.1M shares |
| Available history | +5.1% | +30.7M shares |
TCOM has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $659.7M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
TCOM spent $660M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
TCOM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
TCOM has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
TCOM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 47.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 49.2 | Neutral |
TCOM's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 49 (neutral).
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
TCOM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TCOM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
TCOM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.
TCOM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $40.4 | 6.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $42.2 | 2.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $50.7 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.1 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $50.6 | 15% below |
TCOM has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has the edge over TCOM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TCOM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $34.6 | $32.0 | -7.6% |
| 2021 | $32.0 | $23.8 | -26% |
| 2022 | $23.8 | $34.0 | +43% |
| 2023 | $34.0 | $36.0 | +5.9% |
| 2024 | $36.0 | $70.6 | +96% |
| 2025 | $70.6 | $72.5 | +2.7% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.5 | $43.2 | -40% |
TCOM is down 40% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.