NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SVV
Savers Value Village, Inc.
SVV has the edge over NKE overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
SVV Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
SVV's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE has the edge over SVV in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
SVV PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 18x | $10.09 | — |
| Current | 25x | $10.09 | — |
| Cheap | 29x | $11.79 | +17% |
| Fair | 57x | $22.64 | +124% |
| Expensive | 72x | $28.97 | +187% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SVV's PE is in its cheap range at 25x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
SVV Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SVV, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
SVV Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.57 | +43% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.40 | +$0.42 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.16 | -20% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.14 | 0% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.14 | -18% |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.02 | -104% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.20 | -13% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.14 | -66% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.17 | -50% |
SVV has returned to profit: it earned $0.40 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE's operating margin was 8.2% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
SVV Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $463.1M | +8.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $448.2M | +7.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $403.2M | +8.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $464.7M | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $426.9M | +8.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $417.2M | +7.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $370.1M | +4.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $402M | +5% |
SVV has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.8% | +1.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 9.4% | +1.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3.1% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 9.3% | +1.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 8.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8.2% | -0.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.8% | -1.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -1.4 points |
SVV has the edge over NKE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
SVV Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $29.2M | +$35.5M |
| Q2 2026 | $44.8M | +104% |
| Q1 2026 | -$9.9M | +$10.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $53.2M | +77% |
| Q3 2025 | -$6.3M | -$3.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $21.9M | -26% |
| Q1 2025 | -$20.2M | +$8.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $30.1M | -44% |
SVV has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has the edge over SVV on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
SVV Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +63K shares |
| 1 year | +2.2% | +3.4M shares |
| 3 years | -0.7% | -1.1M shares |
| 5 years | -0.8% | -1.3M shares |
| Available history | -0.8% | -1.3M shares |
SVV has 159M diluted shares, up 2.2% from a year ago, despite $40M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $10M |
| Q2 2026 | $10.2M |
| Q1 2026 | $10.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $9.6M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $23.8M |
| Q1 2025 | $11.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $10.7M |
SVV spent $40M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 14% from the year before.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE has the edge over SVV on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
SVV Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.0x | Moderate |
SVV's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.5 years a year ago.
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
SVV Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 53.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 28.0 | Neutral |
SVV's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE has the edge over SVV on valuation relative to its sector.
SVV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | SVV | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25x | 18x | 40% above |
| PE % | 13 | 35 | 22 pts below |
SVV is trading at 25x earnings, a 40% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
SVV has stronger trend alignment. NKE is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus SVV above 4 of 4.
SVV Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.56 | 5.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $9.95 | 1.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $9.48 | 6.4% above |
| 100 week MA | $9.88 | 2.1% above |
SVV is in an uptrend: it's above all four of its weekly moving averages, and 2.1% above its 100-week average.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.
SVV Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $23.7 | $17.4 | -27% |
| 2024 | $17.4 | $10.3 | -41% |
| 2025 | $10.3 | $9.43 | -8.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $9.43 | $10.1 | +7% |
SVV has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.